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Eingeladener Vortrag
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Implementation and current situation of introducing the Directives 97/23/EC in the German legislaton
(2001)
The presentation reflects the questions that have been raised by member states and NGOs.
As background information details on the question how to choose a suitable salvage pressure receptacle (SPR) are provided. This leads to the need for deleting the volume limitation for SPRs and to the discussions in 2014 and 2016 on this issue.
As an adequate substitution for deleting the volume limit for SPRs it is proposed to limit the pressure receptacles to be stored in by a maximum pressure-volume-value of 1.5 Mio bar-litres.
After some explanations to standardisation projects currently also tackling this pV-limit, some risk-based safety criteria for a limitation are mentioned with the focus of the consequence level and the general avoidance of catastrophic worst case scenarios.
First the acceptance rates resulting from the analysis of different minimum burst ratios and standards are displayed and explained. Especially the problems resulting from a further reduction if the minimum burst ratio are shown.
For a better understanding of these results the process of analysing the acceptance rate is explained in detail. This contains the alleged contradiction between safety of samples due to its scatter while the rejected sample provides a higher mean strength.
Then the importance of batch testing is explained and leads to the recommendation to have a strong interaction between provided mean strength and requested maximum of production scatter.
Based on the preliminary presentations in this task force it is repeated how a basic population scatters and its degradation influences properties statistically. There is a remainder on the issue of accepting borderline populations due to the minimum burst ratio requirement.
Then it is explained in detail how the analysis of minimum requirements by a Monte-Carlo-simulation works. The result with respect to the further reduced minimum burst ratio of 2.0 is summarised and means a two-step approach of two scatter levels requiring two different minimum burst ratios.
The methods for evaluating batch tests are analysed. A proposal for integration a statistical analysis is described in detail.
Finally, the positive effect of proof testing is shown and its dependence from the real ageing is shown.
This ends in the recommendation to have a stronger and quantitative look on real ageing and to follow the 2 proposed sets of criteria for a safe usage of hydrogen storage systems.
This slides explain the functionality and the procedure of the UN-service life checks as they are operated by BAM as German authority. These are based on the probabilistic approach including evaluation of current safety level and its comparison with assessments of different status of degrdation including extrapolation towards end of safe service life.
The similarity to the approach for determiantion of retest periods by BAM is explained.
The set of slides summarises the expectations of participants discussed during the opening session. Then the most important aspects of the presentations during the first two days are compiled. At the end the conclusions coming out of a joint discussion are presented. This show what participants expect BAM to do for implementation of the PA in near future.
The presentation shows the basics on the graphic comparison of deterministic regulations and probabilistic safety requirements. In doing so, unsafe but approvable areas in the BAM-SPC (sample performance chart) becomes obvious; as the area of not approveable but safe strength properties does.
Finally the semi-porbabilistic approach of GTR#13 (global technical regulation for hydrogen vehicles) is analysed. Relevant figures show again potential of saving material and unsafe areas in case of high scatter at end of life.
There are several aspects that - dependent from the design of a pressure receptacle - cannot be checked by the currently mandatory inspection methods. Therefore, in some cases destructive tests are needed as alternatives. This requires the operation of statistical evaluation methods.
How it works and why it is necessary is shown for the examples of so called over-moulded cylinders and concerning composite cylinders.
Existing regulations and standards for the approval of composite cylinders in hydrogen service are currently based on deterministic criteria (ISO 11119-3, UN GTR No. 13). This paper provides a systematic analysis of the load cycle properties resulting from these regulations and standards. Their characteristics are compared with the probabilistic approach of the BAM. Based on Monte-Carlo simulations the available design range of all concepts is compared. In addition, the probability of acceptance for potentially unsafe design types is determined.
HYDROGEN ONBOARD STORAGE - AN INSERTION OF THE PROBABILISTIC APPROACH INTO STANDARDS & REGULATIONS?
(2005)
Dr Mair presents the competence centre “H2Safety@BAM”. He starts with a spectacular hydrogen accident on the Tempelhofer Feld (Berlin) in 1894, comes to the foundation of the competence centre in the context of the hydrogen strategies of Germany and the EU and explains their safety-focused orientation in order to create and maintain confidence in hydrogen technologies.
Beyond the long-term changes in energy supply, in Sept. 2022 there are enormous cost leaps in gas supply, which puts hydrogen as an energy carrier in a different light.
Based on this, he presents the structure of the Competence Centre with its 5 competence areas and the corresponding contact persons. This is underpinned by a slide on each of the work packages in the fields of competence.
At the end of the presentation, he explains the focus of the competence area "Component Testing, Component Safety and Approval", for which he is responsible. This is the question of cost reduction by using the whole potential of digitalisation in connection with the safety surveillance of the storage systems. The run of a fully digital system is of great importance for both, for the hydrogen supply of large consumers via road and rail and for storage systems in stationary plants. A robust and well-thought-out digitalisation in all levels of documentation will lead to a new quality in monitoring safety porperties, integration of new components and cost reduction.
This presentation provides the main issue of a probabilistic based safety assessment.
It shows the differences in terms of survival rate between some current deterministic standards and the probabilistic approach.
It deals with three test procedures: slow burst test, cycle test and fire engulfment test.
This presentation shows the most important steps for developing the probabilistic approach PA with a lot of detailed information on test results. It discusses the necessitiy of performing a slow burst test, to which amount degradation can be accepted and how these interacts with aspects of costs etc.
The application range of CPV (composite pressure vessels)
is multifaceted. But also the failure forms and the spectrum of measurement methods is manifold. On various, at BAM observed effects, it is shown why the micromechanical analysis of the composites is of such great interest for the prediction of aging effects of CPVs.
This presentation provides general data about BAM, the structure of department 3 and a short impression of the application of pressure vessels for hydrogen in stationary use, supply chain and onboard storage.
It guides to the actions of BAM as competent authority on this area and shows a lot different methods for testing operated at BAM. Based on this additional research has been detected as necessary for a competent tackling of the tasks as competent authority. After having mentioned several important research projects a figure is presented that compares the development of regulations with relevant re-actions of BAM. The outcome was a concept of a risk based definition of accepted failure rates in combination with probability-oriented safety assessment over entire service life.
The second aspect raised at INERIS is the issue of advising the BMVI concerning pressure vessels for hydrogen. Since the pressure is high for saving material consumption and weight there is still high interest in changing regulatory requirements. Therefor we developed an approach for the display of minimum requirements of regulations in diagrams (sample performance charts; SPC) and the probabilistic analysis for these deterministic requirements. This is done by Monte-Carlo simulation and the analysis of acceptance rate and survival rate of basic populations all over the SPC.
This finally provide same knowledge of non-approvable but safe ranges of parameters and even approvable but non-safe constellations. In addition, this analysis allows to optimise deterministic requirements in regulations to the intended level of safety for approved populations of pressure vessels, which is shown on the example of the GTR#13.
This presentation explains how the evaluation of technical requirements in regulations effects safety level. This shown by using the Monte-Carlo experiment consequently.
The first step is to explain how deterministic requirements and how probabilistic requirements work. Then the statistical behaviour of the generally unknown basic population can be described and that his behaviour is independent from the regulatory approach. Subsequently, the concept of evaluating sample test results with respect to deterministic requirements is explained. The item “acceptance rate” of the basic population that is behind each sample and behind each individuum in a sample is defined. On this collective understanding, the differences in evaluation between the probabilistic approach PA and the most important RC&S are discussed. Some areas are validated in contradictorily. Then the parameters for acceptance of burst strength in the UN-GTR#13 are varied and opens the door for an accurate improvement of acceptance criteria. Finally, the special aspects of degradation in load cycle testing are shown. There, two aspects must be differentiated, the current reliability and its degradation by ongoing load cycles. This is a convincing argument against the very common opinion, which means that the number of hydraulically tested load cycles pro-vides a figure for the number of acceptable filling cycles.
This presentation mentions the most important safety items that should be improved from the perspective of Germany.
These are the improvement of the understanding and definition of term "safety", the agreement on procedures for the measurement of safety and the issue of degradation in combination with the safety level to be ensured until end of life.
For using probabilistic experience for the whole production adequate measures for surveillance of the production should additionally become mandatory to be taken into account.
The essential aspects of these issues are shortly explained and highlighted by especially aspects of the slow burst testing with respect to non-cycle fatigue sensitive designs and the hint on the general scatter of properties (Monte-Carlo simulation).
This presentation explains how BAM operates the PA approach for the life-time surveillance based on the measurement of degradation.
The starting point is the sample performance chart (SPC) as developed by BAM. There it is possible to show minimum requirements, sample properties and lines of constant survival rates, these lines are called isoasfalia. The BAM provides a tool for the safety evaluation of results from sample testing. Then the interaction to the micro-mechanical approach of the FiBreMoD-project is linked with the idea of a degradation of strength and reliability. This leads to the methods of burst and cycle testing. For both methods examples are shown and degradation is explained by showing data of two design types. This visualise the determination of safe service life. Finally, statistical aspects of misinterpretation of test results and the reasons for the decision in favour of the slow burst tests are explained.
The presentation starts with some key figures about BAM. Then it introduces BAM's competence centre H2Safety@BAM and shows aspects of special competence of the centre. It closes with information about the engagement of BAM in European research projects on hydrogen and a reference to our bilingual paper about our hydrogen strategy.
This presentation explains how an PA-based approval concept could work and would substitute the most of deterministic requirements based on a risk based quantification of accepted failure rates.
The concept of a probabilistic approval approach is based on 5 separate types of requirements:
1. Testing and evaluation of properties at Beginning of Life (BoL)
2. Artificial aging with residual strength assessment
3. Testing against dedicated accidental loads
4. Surveillance of production quality
5. Surveillance of degradation/ check of estimated end of life (EoL)
Each of these aspects is visualised by photos and diagrams.
This presentation provides an impression of the boundary condition of the work on composite cylinders on a competent authority. It shows the various kinds of usage, the different tasks and duties around this kind of storage units and the wide spread of technical competence necessary for the substantial research when addressing the legislation. Based on this it shows how we react on changes in the regulations by research and how this influences the regulations, again. As an example, our probabilistic approach is mentioned and drafted for getting mentioned several times during the ongoing set of presentations.
Conventional approval requirements exclusively ask for minimum strength values, which have to be met. The probabilistic approach estimates how likely none of the comparatively manufactured units fails during operation.
Both questions are juxtaposed and compared here with respect to the load cycle tests. The influence of the sample sizes is discussed additionally.
The presentation is divided in two parts, each evaluates a different aspect of safety.
It starts with the analysis of consequences resulting from worst case ruptures of gas cylinders. The number of harmed persons and fatalities dependent from the pressure-volume product and the kind of stored gas. In parallel, there is a national accepted rule for accepted failure rates depending from this pV-product created by BAM. When combining both aspects it become clear that the pressure-volume product can be used as a good indicator for consequences. At a level of about 120 MPa m3 the maximum consequence starts to become catastrophic character. This shows the reason why the representatives of DIN insisted in limiting relevant pV-limits for tubes and cylinders to 1 Mio. bar litres.
The second part gives a raff overview on the parameters influencing the acceptance rates of borderline basic populations. This is added by some slides giving an idea for the improvement of the minimum burst requirement and finally completed by a proposal for improved acceptance criteria for the burst test.
The basic idea is: an increased pV-product of tubes has the be reflected by an increased safety level.
The presentation explains the intended way of BAM in tackling the safety issues in the project TAHYA.
The way how the term “safety” is used in TAHYA leads to the need for a more risk-based understanding of safety. Based on this, the Monte Carlo simulation is used to show where the weak points of current regulations are. Thus, a concept for optimization of relevant regulations, codes and standards will be elaborated during the project. For this purpose, it is helpful to improve the currently operated tool for Monte Carlo simulation, which will need additional data for monitoring the outcome. Strength data, that will be determined by BAM and the other partners during the already agreed test program can be used for this purpose without additional effort.
The introduction reflects the political background in Germany and worldwide concerning hydrogen as energy carrier. This leads to available hydrogen strategies and the reaction of BAM by launching the competence centre H2Safety@BAM. Fokus is set on the competence area TestCert, the special role of the division “Safety of Gas Storage Systems” there and its increasing success in research activities.
The main part explains the needs for a risk-controlled market ramp-up concerning hydrogen products and appropriate measures being under development in division 3.5: risk control, tools for consequence estimation and limitation, probabilistic assessment of end of safe life, the efficiency assessment and optimization of current regulations, the structural health monitoring (SHM) with necessary improvement of measures for quality management in the digital world of safety assessment. Last but not least, the wide range of full-scale testing and simulation of worst-case scenarios is explained.
Safety criteria for the transport of hydrogen in permanently mounted composite pressure vessels
(2019)
The recent growing of the net of hydrogen fuelling stations increases the demands to transport compressed hydrogen on road by tube-trailers in composite pressure vessels. As transport regulation the ADR is applicable in Europe and adjoined regions and used for national transport in EU. This regulation provides requirements based on the burst pressure of each individual pressure vessel, regardless the capabilities of the transported hydrogen and relevant consequences resulting from worst case scenarios. In 2012, BAM (German Federal Institute for Materials Research and Testing) introduced consequence-dependent requirements and established them in national requirements concerning the “UN service life checks” etc.) to consider the transported volume and pressure of gases. However, this results in a stringent requirement in case of using large pressure vessels (tubes) on tube-trailers. In the studies presented here, the key safety factors for using hydrogen trailers are identified and reviewed through some safety measures from some countries like Japan, USA and China. Subsequently, the risk, chance, failure consequences of using trailers are evaluated, in addition, the difficulties for approving huge pressure vessels (large tubes) are addressed. There, a maximum acceptable pressure-volume product is defined. Finally, a performance-based criterion for the balance of chance and risk of hydrogen trailers is suggested to add into regulations and consequently into standards for hydrogen trailers.
Safety aspects of the storage containments of hydrogen are independent from the kind of usage: The main criteria is the resistance against the pressure load. On the 2nd level there are aspects specific to the usage as e.g. crash loads etc.
Safety is achieved when the probability (frequency) of a failure during the service life is acceptable!
But an aspect common for all usages is the scatter of properties resulting from the material and the production. Therefore, it is worth to have a look on the current approach of minimum burst ratios from an unknown point of view: the basic populations of a product – based on exemplarily assessments.
According to this approach, several diagrams with Monte-Carlo generated basic populations in new and aged conditions have been shown. Thus, it has been demonstrated that not the conditions at the begin of life are the critical ones. No, the end of life properties are the critical ones.
This has been combined with the acceptance rate of borderline basic populations. The approach of minimum burst ratios leads to the acceptance rate of 40 % and higher for the approval of critical basic populations – critical due to their production scatter.
This problem becomes much more critical when taking into account the unknown effects of degradation and in-service ageing.
Therefore, we cannot support the proposed reduction of minimum burst ratio without having a stronger assessment of production scatter.
The presentation starts with the first agreement of making a national attempt for the introduction of a pV-limit for hydrogen transport. It explains aspects of the technical development, provides an impression of catastrophic incidents, and explains the difference between risk control and consequence limitation. Then the process of determining consequences and the result from the discussion at the UN-WG are explained. The next part summarises the approach for counting the number of impacted persons as a function of the model of pressure wave, the pressure peak, the limits of injured persons and the population density. Finally, the latest state of the discussion and the subsequent recommendations for a pV-value and the adequate phrases for explanation are introduced.
Storage
(2018)
The whole conference focused on gaps in research concerning hydrogen and hydrogen safety. This presentation focus on storage aspects and shows the current gaps in research from the point of view of the authors. They have differences in background, from university via manufacturer and safety institute to hydrogen operating industry. The different purposes of storage are covered (onboard storage, stationary storage and transport of gases) as well as the different designs (steel to pure composite/plastic).
The presentation explains the term “safety” in a broader sense and leads to the need for a more risk-based understanding of safety. Based on this, the Monte Carlo simulation is used to show where the weak points of the ECE R 134 are and in which direction the GTR 13 could be optimized during the currently running phase 2. For this purpose, it is helpful to improve the currently operated tool for Monte Carlo simulation, for which BAM introduced the research idea “MoCaSiB”.
The reduced volume method has found a particular zone to be used for evaluating the strength of unidirectional composite materials. To validate the method, modelling an experimental test where it has the same basic assumption of the model had been carried out. The result was favourable as the model can predict the average value from the experiment and also the time dependent effect.
The presentation summarizes all the safety concerns that have led DIN to reject an ISO project about extremely large gas/hydrogen transport units.
The core point is the consequence potential, which has increased considerably with the scope of the standardization project in comparison with state of the art systems. At the same time, there is a lack of an approach to take into account the reliability requirements that depend on the consequences, at least up to the level of a catastrophe.