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The main challenge using numerical models as digital twins in real applications is the calibration and validation of the model based on uncertain measurement data. Therefore, model updating approaches which are inverse optimization processes are applied. This requires a huge number of computations of the same numerical model with slightly different model parameters. For that reason, model updating becomes computationally very expensive for real applications.
Model reduction, e.g. the proper generalized decomposition method, is a popular concept to decrease the computational effort of complex numerical simulations. Therefore, a reduced model of the structure of interest is derived and will be used as surrogate model in a Variational Bayesian procedure to create a very efficient digital twin of the structure.
An efficient model updating approach by means of a PGD reduced model with random field material stiffness parameters is shown. The random field allows, to calibrate the model considering parameter changes over the spatial direction. These changes can be caused by local damages as well as by production. As an exemplary application a demonstrator bridge is used. Digital twins can reduce the costs for maintenance and inspections especially for the costly civil infrastructure with high requirements at their performance over the whole lifetime. Currently, the current state of the structure is determined by regular manual and visual inspections within constant intervals. However, the critical sections are often not directly accessible or impossible to be instrumented at all. In this case, model-based approaches where a digital twin is set up can improve the process. Based on this digital twin, a prognosis of the future performance of the structure, e.g. the failure probability, can be computed.
The influences of the reduction degree, the mesh discretization as well as the correlation length in the PGD Bayesian approach are studied by means of the digital twin of a simple pre-stressed concrete two field bridge.