80.00.00 INTERDISCIPLINARY PHYSICS AND RELATED AREAS OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Refine
Document Type
- Doctoral Thesis (2) (remove)
Language
- English (2)
Has Fulltext
- no (2)
Is part of the Bibliography
- no (2)
Institute
Polymorphism is the property exhibited by many inorganic and organic molecules to crystallize in more than one crystal structure. There is a strong need for understanding the influencing factors on polymorphism, as it is responsible for differences in many physicochemical properties such as stability and solubility. Nearly 80 % of marketed drugs exhibit polymorphism. In this work, we took the model system of paracetamol to investigate the influence of solvent choice on its polymorphism. Different methods were developed and employed to understand the influence of small organic solvents on the crystallization of paracetamol. Non-equilibrium molecular dynamics simulations with periodic simulated annealing were used as a tool to probe the nature of precursors of the metastable intermediates occurring in the crystallization process. Using this method, it was found that the structures of the building blocks of crystals of paracetamol is governed by solvent-solute interactions. In situ Raman spectroscopy was used with a custom-made acoustic levitator to follow crystallization. This set-up is a reliable method for investigating solvent influence, attenuating heterogeneous nucleation and stabilizing other environmental factors. It was established that as a solvent, ethanol is much stronger than methanol in its effect of driving paracetamol solutions to their crystal form. The time-resolved Raman spectroscopy crystallization data was processed using a newly developed objective function based non-negative matrix factorization method (NMF). An orthogonal time-lapse photography was used in conjunction with NMF to get unique and accurate factors that pertain to the spectra and concentrations of different moieties of paracetamol crystallization existing as latent components in the untreated data.
This thesis firstly presents a nonlinear extended deterministic model for the transmission dynamics of tuberculosis, based on realistic assumptions and data collected from the WHO. This model enables a comprehensive qualitative analysis of various aspects in the outbreak and control of tuberculosis in Sub-Saharan Africa countries and successfully reproduces the epidemiology of tuberculosis in Cameroon for the past (from 1994-2010). Some particular properties of the model and its solution have been presented using the comparison theorem applied to the theory of differential equations. The existence and the stability of a disease free equilibrium has been discussed using the Perron-Frobenius theorem and Metzler stable matrices.
Furthermore, we computed the basic reproduction number, i.e. the number of cases that one case generates on average over the course of its infectious period. Rigorous qualitative analysis of the model reveals that, in contrast to the model without reinfections, the full model with reinfection exhibits the phenomenon of backward bifurcation, where a stable disease-free equilibrium coexists with a stable endemic equilibrium when a certain threshold quantity, known as the basic reproduction ratio (R0), is less than unity. The global stability of the disease-free equilibrium has been discussed using the concepts of Lyapunov stability and bifurcation theory.
With the help of a sensitivity analysis using data of Cameroon, we identified the relevant parameters which play a key role for the transmission and the control of the disease. This was possible applying sophisticated numerical methods (POEM) developed at ZIB. Using advanced approaches for optimal control considering the costs for chemoprophylaxis, treatment and educational campaigns should provide a framework for designing realistic cost effective strategies with different intervention methods. The forward-backward sweep method has been used to solve the numerical optimal control problem. The numerical result of the optimal control problem reveals that combined effort in education and chemoprophylaxis may lead to a reduction of 80\% in the number of infected people in 10 years.
The mathematical and numerical approaches developed in this thesis could be similarly applied in many other Sub-Saharan countries where TB is a public health problem.