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Parallel in time methods for solving initial value problems are a means to increase the parallelism of numerical simulations. Hybrid parareal schemes interleaving the parallel in time iteration with an iterative solution of the individual time steps are among the most efficient methods for general nonlinear problems. Despite the hiding of communication time behind computation, communication has in certain situations a significant impact on the total runtime. Here we present strict, yet no sharp, error bounds for hybrid parareal methods with inexact communication due to lossy data compression, and derive theoretical estimates of the impact of compression on parallel efficiency of the algorithms. These and some computational experiments suggest that compression is a viable method to make hybrid parareal schemes robust with respect to low bandwidth setups.
Background
Mathematical optimisation models have recently been applied to identify ideal Automatic External Defibrillator (AED) locations that maximise coverage of Out of Hospital Cardiac Arrest (OHCA). However, these fixed location models cannot relocate existing AEDs in a flexible way, and have nearly exclusively been applied to urban regions. We developed a flexible location model for AEDs, compared its performance to existing fixed location and population models, and explored how these perform across urban and rural regions.
Methods
Optimisation techniques were applied to AED deployment and OHCA coverage was assessed. A total of 2802 geolocated OHCAs occurred in Canton Ticino, Switzerland, from January 1st 2005 to December 31st 2015.
Results
There were 719 AEDs in Canton Ticino. 635 (23%) OHCA events occurred within 100m of an AED, with 306 (31%) in urban, and 329 (18%) in rural areas. Median distance from OHCA events to the nearest AED was 224m (168m urban vs. 269m rural). Flexible location models performed better than fixed location and population models, with the cost to deploy 20 new AEDs instead relocating 171 existing AEDs to new locations, improving OHCA coverage to 38%, compared to 26% using fixed models, and 24% with the population based model.
Conclusions
Optimisation models for AEDs placement are superior to population models and should be strongly considered by communities when selecting areas for AED deployment. Compared to other models, flexible location models increase overall OHCA coverage, and decreases the distance to nearby AEDs, even in rural areas, while saving significant financial resources.
Temperature-based estimation of time of death (ToD) can be per-
formed either with the help of simple phenomenological models of corpse
cooling or with detailed mechanistic (thermodynamic) heat transfer mod-
els. The latter are much more complex, but allow a higher accuracy of
ToD estimation as in principle all relevant cooling mechanisms can be
taken into account.
The potentially higher accuracy depends on the accuracy of tissue and
environmental parameters as well as on the geometric resolution. We in-
vestigate the impact of parameter variations and geometry representation
on the estimated ToD based on a highly detailed 3D corpse model, that
has been segmented and geometrically reconstructed from a computed to-
mography (CT) data set, differentiating various organs and tissue types.
In several inital value problems with particularly expensive right hand side evaluation or implicit step computation, there is a trade-off between accuracy and computational effort. We consider inexact spectral deferred correction (SDC) methods for solving such initial value problems. SDC methods are interpreted as fixed point iterations and, due to their corrective iterative nature, allow to exploit the accuracy-work-tradeoff for a reduction of the total computational effort. On one hand we derive error models bounding the total error in terms of the evaluation errors. On the other hand, we define work models describing the computational effort in terms of the evaluation accuracy. Combining both, a theoretically optimal local tolerance selection is worked out by minimizing the total work subject to achieving the requested tolerance. The properties of optimal local tolerances and the predicted efficiency gain compared to simpler heuristics, and a reasonable practical performance, are illustrated on simple numerical examples.
Estimation of time of death based on a single measurement of body
core temperature is a standard procedure in forensic medicine.
Mechanistic models using simulation of heat transport promise
higher accuracy than established phenomenological models in
particular in nonstandard situations, but involve many not exactly
known physical parameters. Identifying both time of death and
physical parameters from multiple temperature measurements is
one possibility to reduce the uncertainty significantly.
In this paper, we consider the inverse problem in a Bayesian setting
and perform both local and sampling-based uncertainty
quantification, where proper orthogonal decomposition is used as
model reduction for fast solution of the forward model. Based on
the local uncertainty quantification, optimal design of experiments
is performed in order to minimize the uncertainty in the time of
death estimate for a given number of measurements. For reasons
of practicability, temperature acquisition points are selected from
a set of candidates in different spatial and temporal locations.
Applied to a real corpse model, a significant accuracy improvement
is obtained already with a small number of measurements.