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Statistical methods to design computer experiments usually rely on a Gaussian process (GP) surrogate model, and typically aim at selecting design points (combinations of algorithmic and model parameters) that minimize the average prediction variance, or maximize the prediction accuracy for the hyperparameters of the GP surrogate.
In many applications, experiments have a tunable precision, in the sense that one software parameter controls the tradeoff between accuracy and computing time (e.g., mesh size in FEM simulations or number of Monte-Carlo samples).
We formulate the problem of allocating a budget of computing time over a finite set of candidate points for the goals mentioned above. This is a continuous optimization problem, which is moreover convex whenever the tradeoff function accuracy vs. computing time is concave.
On the other hand, using non-concave weight functions can help to identify sparse designs. In addition, using sparse kernel approximations drastically reduce the cost per iteration of the multiplicative weights updates that can be used to solve this problem.
We introduce the class of spot-checking games (SC games). These games model
problems where the goal is to distribute fare inspectors over a toll network.
Although SC games are not zero-sum, we show that a Nash equilibrium
can be computed by linear programming.
The computation of a strong Stackelberg equilibrium is
more relevant for this problem, but we show that this is NP-hard.
However, we give some bounds on the \emph{price of spite},
which measures how the
payoff of the inspector
degrades when committing to a Nash equilibrium.
Finally, we demonstrate the quality of these bounds for a real-world application,
namely the enforcement of a truck toll on German motorways.
Let G be a directed acyclic graph with n arcs, a source s and a sink t. We introduce the cone K of flow matrices, which is a polyhedral cone
generated by the matrices $\vec{1}_P\vec{1}_P^T\in\RR^{n\times n}$, where
$\vec{1}_P\in\RR^n$ is the incidence vector of the (s,t)-path P.
We show that several hard flow (or path) optimization problems, that cannot be solved by using the standard arc-representation
of a flow, reduce to a linear optimization problem over $\mathcal{K}$.
This cone is intractable: we prove that the membership problem associated to $\mathcal{K}$
is NP-complete. However, the affine hull of this cone admits a nice description,
and we give an algorithm which computes in polynomial-time the decomposition of a matrix
$X\in \operatorname{span} \mathcal{K}$ as a linear combination of some $\vec{1}_P\vec{1}_P^T$'s.
Then, we provide two convergent approximation hierarchies, one of them based on a
completely positive representation of~K.
We illustrate this approach by computing bounds for
the quadratic shortest path problem, as well as
a maximum flow problem with pairwise arc-capacities.
Let G be a directed acyclic graph with n arcs, a source s and a sink t. We introduce the cone K of flow matrices, which is a polyhedral cone
generated by the matrices $\vec{1}_P\vec{1}_P^T\in\RR^{n\times n}$, where
$\vec{1}_P\in\RR^n$ is the incidence vector of the (s,t)-path P.
We show that several hard flow (or path) optimization problems, that cannot be solved by using the standard arc-representation
of a flow, reduce to a linear optimization problem over $\mathcal{K}$.
This cone is intractable: we prove that the membership problem associated to $\mathcal{K}$
is NP-complete. However, the affine hull of this cone admits a nice description,
and we give an algorithm which computes in polynomial-time the decomposition of a matrix
$X\in \operatorname{span} \mathcal{K}$ as a linear combination of some $\vec{1}_P\vec{1}_P^T$'s.
Then, we provide two convergent approximation hierarchies, one of them based on a
completely positive representation of~K.
We illustrate this approach by computing bounds for
the quadratic shortest path problem, as well as
a maximum flow problem with pairwise arc-capacities.
The problem of allocating operating rooms (OR) to surgical cases is a challenging task,
involving both combinatorial aspects and uncertainty handling. In this article,
we formulate this problem as a job shop scheduling problem, in which the job durations follow a lognormal distribution.
We propose to use a cutting-plane approach to solve a robust version of this optimization problem. To this end,
we develop an algorithm based on fixed-point iterations to solve the subproblems that
identify worst-case scenarios and generate cut inequalities. The procedure is illustrated with numerical experiments based
on real data from a major hospital in Berlin.
We present a game-theoretic approach to optimize the strategies of toll enforcement on a motorway network. In contrast to previous approaches, we consider a network with an arbitrary topology, and we handle the fact that users may choose their Origin-Destination path; in particular they may take a detour to avoid sections with a high control rate. We show that a Nash equilibrium can be computed with an LP (although the game is not zero-sum), and we give a MIP for the computation of a Stackelberg equilibrium. Experimental results based on an application to the enforcement of a truck toll on German motorways are presented.
We present a game-theoretic approach to optimize the strategies of toll enforcement
on a motorway network. In contrast to previous approaches,
we consider a network with an arbitrary
topology, and we handle the fact that
users may choose their Origin-Destination path; in particular they may take a detour to
avoid sections with a high control rate. We show that a Nash equilibrium can be
computed with an LP (although the game is not zero-sum), and we give a MIP for the computation
of a Stackelberg equilibrium. Experimental results based on an application to the
enforcement of a truck toll on German motorways are presented.
We present the problem of planning mobile tours of inspectors on German motorways to enforce the payment of the toll for heavy good trucks. This is a special type of vehicle routing problem with the objective to conduct as good inspections as possible on the complete network. In addition, we developed a personalized crew rostering model, to schedule the crews of the tours. The planning of daily tours and the rostering are combined in a novel integrated approach and formulated as a complex and large scale Integer Program. The main focus of this paper extends our previous publications on how different requirements for the rostering can be modeled in detail. The second focus is on a bi-criteria analysis of the planning problem to find the balance between the control quality and the roster acceptance. Finally, computational results on real-world instances show the practicability of our method and how different input parameters influence the problem complexity.
We consider a stationary discrete-time linear process that can be observed by a finite number of sensors.
The experimental design for the observations consists of an allocation of available resources to these sensors.
We formalize the problem of selecting a design that maximizes the information matrix of the steady-state of the Kalman filter,
with respect to a standard optimality criterion, such as $D-$ or $A-$optimality.
This problem generalizes the optimal experimental design problem for a linear regression model with a finite design space and uncorrelated errors.
Finally, we show that under natural assumptions, a steady-state optimal design can be computed by semidefinite programming.
We consider a stationary discrete-time linear process that can be observed by a finite number of sensors. The experimental design for the observations consists of an allocation of available resources to these sensors. We formalize the problem of selecting a design that maximizes the information matrix of the steady-state of the Kalman filter, with respect to a standard optimality criterion, such as $D-$ or $A-$optimality. This problem generalizes the optimal experimental design problem for a linear regression model with a finite design space and uncorrelated errors. Finally, we show that under natural assumptions, a steady-state optimal design can be computed by semidefinite programming.
We present a new semidefinite representation for the trace of
a real function f applied to symmetric matrices, when a
semidefinite representation of the convex function f is known. Our construction
is intuitive, and yields a representation that is more compact than the previously known one.
We also show with the help of matrix geometric means and the Riemannian metric of the set of positive definite matrices
that for a rational number p in the interval (0,1],
the matrix X raised to the exponent p is the largest element
of a set represented by linear matrix inequalities.
We give numerical results for a problem inspired from the theory
of experimental designs, which show that the new semidefinite programming formulation
yields a speed-up factor in the order of 10.
In the past few years several applications of optimal experimental designs have emerged to optimize the measurements in communication networks. The optimal design problems arising from this kind of applications share three interesting properties: (i) measurements are only available at a small number of locations of the network; (ii) each monitor can simultaneously measure several quantities, which can be modeled by ``multiresponse experiments"; (iii) the observation matrices depend on the topology of the network. In this paper, we give an overview of these experimental design problems and recall recent results for the computation of optimal designs by Second Order Cone Programming (SOCP). New results for the network-monitoring of a discrete time process are presented. In particular, we show that the optimal design problem for the monitoring of an AR1 process can be reduced to the standard form and we give experimental results.
Network spot-checking games: Theory and application to toll enforcing in transportation networks
(2015)
We introduce the class of spot-checking games (SC games). These games model problems where the goal is to distribute fare inspectors over a toll network. In an SC game, the pure strategies of network users correspond to paths in a graph, and the pure strategies of the inspectors are subset of arcs to be controlled. Although SC games are not zero-sum, we show that a Nash equilibrium can be computed by linear programming. The computation of a strong Stackelberg equilibrium (SSE) is more relevant for this problem and we give a mixed integer programming (MIP) formulation for this problem. We show that the computation of such an equilibrium is NP-hard. More generally, we prove that it is NP-hard to compute a SSE in a polymatrix game, even if the game is pairwise zero-sum. Then, we give some bounds on the price of spite, which measures how the payoff of the inspector degrades when committing to a Nash equilibrium. Finally, we report computational experiments on instances constructed from real data, for an application to the enforcement of a truck toll in Germany. These numerical results show the efficiency of the proposed methods, as well as the quality of the bounds derived in this article.
We propose an algorithm to approximate the distribution of the completion time (makespan)
and the tardiness costs of a project, when durations are lognormally distributed. This problem arises naturally for the optimization of surgery scheduling,
where it is very common to assume lognormal procedure times. We present an analogous of Clark's formulas to compute the moments of the maximum of a set of
lognormal variables. Then, we use moment matching formulas to approximate the earliest starting time of each activity of the project by a shifted lognormal variable.
This approach can be seen as a lognormal variant of a state-of-the-art method used for the statistical static timing analysis (SSTA) of digital circuits.
We carried out numerical experiments with instances based on real data from the application to surgery scheduling. We obtained very
promising results, especially for the approximation of the mean overtime in operating rooms,
for which our algorithm yields results of a similar quality to Monte-Carlo simulations
requiring an amount of computing time several orders of magnitude larger.
Let the design of an experiment be represented by an $s-$dimensional vector $w$ of weights with nonnegative components. Let the quality of $w$ for the estimation of the parameters of the statistical model be measured by the criterion of $D-$optimality, defined as the $m$th root of the determinant of the information matrix $M(w)=\sum_{i=1}^s w_i A_i A_i^T$, where $A_i$,$i=1,\ldots,s$ are known matrices with $m$ rows.
In this paper, we show that the criterion of $D-$optimality is second-order cone representable. As a result, the method of second-order cone programming can be used to compute an approximate $D-$optimal design with any system of linear constraints on the vector of weights. More importantly, the proposed characterization allows us to compute an exact $D-$optimal design, which is possible thanks to high-quality branch-and-cut solvers specialized to solve mixed integer second-order cone programming problems. Our results extend to the case of the criterion of $D_K-$optimality, which measures the quality of $w$ for the estimation of a linear parameter subsystem defined by a full-rank coefficient matrix $K$.
We prove that some other widely used criteria are also second-order cone representable, for instance, the criteria of $A-$, $A_K$-, $G-$ and $I-$optimality.
We present several numerical examples demonstrating the efficiency and general applicability of the proposed method. We show that in many cases the mixed integer second-order cone programming approach allows us to find a provably optimal exact design, while the standard heuristics systematically miss the optimum.
We prove a mathematical programming characterisation of approximate partial D-optimality under general linear constraints. We use this characterisation with a branch-and-bound method to compute a list of all exact D-optimal designs for estimating a pair of treatment contrasts in the presence of a nuisance time trend up to the size of 24 consecutive trials.
We prove a mathematical programming characterisation of approximate partial D-optimality under general linear constraints. We use this characterisation with a branch-and-bound method to compute a list of all exact D-optimal designs for estimating a pair of treatment contrasts in the presence of a nuisance time trend up to the size of 24 consecutive trials.
We study a family of combinatorial optimization problems defined by a parameter $p\in[0,1]$, which involves spectral functions applied to positive semidefinite matrices, and has some application in the theory of optimal experimental design. This family of problems tends to a generalization of the classical maximum coverage problem as $p$ goes to $0$, and to a trivial instance of the knapsack problem as $p$ goes to $1$. In this article, we establish a matrix inequality which shows that the objective function is submodular for all $p\in[0,1]$, from which it follows that the greedy approach, which has often been used for this problem, always gives a design within $1-1/e$ of the optimum. We next study the design found by rounding the solution of the continuous relaxed problem, an approach which has been applied by several authors. We prove an inequality which generalizes a classical result from the theory of optimal designs, and allows us to give a rounding procedure with an approximation factor which tends to $1$ as $p$ goes to $1$.
Let $G$ be a directed acyclic graph with $n$ arcs, a source $s$ and a sink $t$. We introduce the cone $K$ of flow matrices, which is a polyhedral cone
generated by the matrices $1_P 1_P^T \in R^{n\times n}$, where
$1_P\in R^n$ is the incidence vector of the $(s,t)$-path $P$.
Several combinatorial problems reduce to a linear optimization problem over $K$.
This cone is intractable, but we provide two convergent approximation hierarchies, one of them based on a
completely positive representation of $K$.
We illustrate this approach by computing bounds for a maximum flow problem with pairwise arc-capacities.
Let $G$ be a directed acyclic graph with $n$ arcs, a source $s$ and a sink $t$. We introduce the cone $K$ of flow matrices, which is a polyhedral cone
generated by the matrices $1_P 1_P^T \in R^{n\times n}$, where
$1_P\in R^n$ is the incidence vector of the $(s,t)$-path $P$.
Several combinatorial problems reduce to a linear optimization problem over $K$.
This cone is intractable, but we provide two convergent approximation hierarchies, one of them based on a
completely positive representation of $K$.
We illustrate this approach by computing bounds for a maximum flow problem with pairwise arc-capacities.