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Markov Decision Processes (MDP) or Partially Observable MDPs (POMDP) are
used for modelling situations in which the evolution of a process is partly random and
partly controllable. These MDP theories allow for computing the optimal control policy
for processes that can continuously or frequently be observed, even if only partially.
However, they cannot be applied if state observation is very costly and therefore rare
(in time). We present a novel MDP theory for rare, costly observations and derive the
corresponding Bellman equation. In the new theory, state information can be derived
for a particular cost after certain, rather long time intervals. The resulting information
costs enter into the total cost and thus into the optimization criterion. This approach
applies to many real world problems, particularly in the medical context, where the
medical condition is examined rather rarely because examination costs are high. At the
same time, the approach allows for efficient numerical realization. We demonstrate the
usefulness of the novel theory by determining, from the national economic perspective,
optimal therapeutic policies for the treatment of the human immunodefficiency virus
(HIV) in resource-rich and resource-poor settings. Based on the developed theory and
models, we discover that available drugs may not be utilized efficiently in resource-poor
settings due to exorbitant diagnostic costs.
Motivation: High-throughput proteomics techniques, such as mass spectrometry
(MS)-based approaches, produce very high-dimensional data-sets. In a clinical
setting one is often interested how MS spectra dier between patients of different
classes, for example spectra from healthy patients vs. spectra from patients
having a particular disease. Machine learning algorithms are needed to (a)
identify these discriminating features and (b) classify unknown spectra based on
this feature set. Since the acquired data is usually noisy, the algorithms should be
robust to noise and outliers, and the identied feature set should be as small as
possible.
Results: We present a new algorithm, Sparse Proteomics Analysis (SPA), based
on the theory of Compressed Sensing that allows to identify a minimal
discriminating set of features from mass spectrometry data-sets. We show how
our method performs on artificial and real-world data-sets.
A key task in the field of modeling and analyzing nonlinear dynamical systems is the recovery of unknown governing equations from measurement data only. There is a wide range of application areas for this important instance of system identification, ranging from industrial engineering and acoustic signal processing to stock market models. In order to find appropriate representations of underlying dynamical systems, various data-driven methods have been proposed by different communities. However, if the given data sets are high-dimensional, then these methods typically suffer from the curse of dimensionality. To significantly reduce the computational costs and storage consumption, we propose the method multidimensional approximation of nonlinear dynamical systems (MANDy) which combines data-driven methods with tensor network decompositions. The efficiency of the introduced approach will be illustrated with the aid of several high-dimensional nonlinear dynamical systems.
We investigate metastable dynamical systems subject to non-stationary forcing as they appear in molecular dynamics for systems driven by external fields. We show, that if the strength of the forcing is inversely proportional to the length of the slow metastable time scales of the unforced system, then the effective behavior of the forced system on slow time scales can be described by a low-dimensional reduced master equation. Our construction is explicit and uses the multiscale perturbation expansion method called two-timing, or method of multiple scales. The reduced master equation—a Markov state model—can be assembled by constructing two equilibrium Markov state models; one for the unforced system, and one for a slightly perturbed one.
We present a novel machine learning approach to understanding conformation dynamics of biomolecules. The approach combines kernel-based techniques that are popular in the machine learning community with transfer operator theory for analyzing dynamical systems in order to identify conformation dynamics based on molecular dynamics simulation data. We show that many of the prominent methods like Markov State Models, EDMD, and TICA can be regarded as special cases of this approach and that new efficient algorithms can be constructed based on this derivation. The results of these new powerful methods will be illustrated with several examples, in particular the alanine dipeptide and the protein NTL9.
Various feature selection algorithms have been proposed to identify cancer prognostic biomarkers. In recent years, however, their reproducibility is criticized. The performance of feature selection algorithms is shown to be affected by the datasets, underlying networks and evaluation metrics. One of the causes is the curse of dimensionality, which makes it hard to select the features that generalize well on independent data. Even the integration of biological networks does not mitigate this issue because the networks are large and many of their components are not relevant for the phenotype of interest. With the availability of multi-omics data, integrative approaches are being developed to build more robust predictive models. In this scenario, the higher data dimensions create greater challenges. We proposed a phenotype relevant network-based feature selection (PRNFS) framework and demonstrated its advantages in lung cancer prognosis prediction. We constructed cancer prognosis relevant networks based on epithelial mesenchymal transition (EMT) and integrated them with different types of omics data for feature selection. With less than 2.5% of the total dimensionality, we obtained EMT prognostic signatures that achieved remarkable prediction performance (average AUC values above 0.8), very significant sample stratifications, and meaningful biological interpretations. In addition to finding EMT signatures from different omics data levels, we combined these single-omics signatures into multi-omics signatures, which improved sample stratifications significantly. Both single- and multi-omics EMT signatures were tested on independent multi-omics lung cancer datasets and significant sample stratifications were obtained.
Paratuberculosis is a major disease in cattle that severely affects animal welfare and causes huge economic losses worldwide. Development of alternative diagnostic methods is of urgent need to control the disease. Recent studies suggest that long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) play a crucial role in regulating immune function and may confer valuable information about the disease. However, their role has not yet been investigated in cattle with respect to infection towards Paratuberculosis. Therefore, we investigated the alteration in genomic expression profiles of mRNA and lncRNA in bovine macrophages in response to Paratuberculosis infection using RNA-Seq. We identified 397 potentially novel lncRNA candidates in macrophages of which 38 were differentially regulated by the infection. A total of 820 coding genes were also significantly altered by the infection. Co-expression analysis of lncRNAs and their neighbouring coding genes suggest regulatory functions of lncRNAs in pathways related to immune response. For example, this included protein coding genes such as TNIP3, TNFAIP3 and NF-κB2 that play a role in NF-κB2 signalling, a pathway associated with immune response. This study advances our understanding of lncRNA roles during Paratuberculosis infection.