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We present a heuristic solution approach for the rolling stock rotation problem with predictive maintenance (RSRP-PdM). The task of this problem is to assign a sequence of trips to each of the vehicles and to schedule their maintenance such that all trips can be operated. Here, the health states of the vehicles are considered to be random variables distributed by a family of probability distribution functions, and the maintenance services should be scheduled based on the failure probability of the vehicles. The proposed algorithm first generates a solution by solving an integer linear program and then heuristically improves this solution by applying a local search procedure. For this purpose, the trips assigned to the vehicles are split up and recombined, whereby additional deadhead trips can be inserted between the partial assignments. Subsequently, the maintenance is scheduled by solving a shortest path problem in a state-expanded version of a space-time graph restricted to the trips of the individual vehicles. The solution approach is tested and evaluated on a set of test instances based on real-world timetables.
An Iterative Refinement Approach for the Rolling Stock Rotation Problem with Predictive Maintenance
(2024)
The rolling stock rotation problem with predictive maintenance (RSRP-PdM) involves the assignment of trips to a fleet of vehicles with integrated maintenance scheduling based on the predicted failure probability of the vehicles. These probabilities are determined by the health states of the vehicles, which are considered to be random variables distributed by a parameterized family of probability distribution functions. During the operation of the trips, the corresponding parameters get updated. In this article, we present a dual solution approach for RSRP-PdM and generalize a linear programming based lower bound for this problem to families of probability distribution functions with more than one parameter. For this purpose, we define a rounding function that allows for a consistent underestimation of the parameters and model the problem by a state-expanded event-graph in which the possible states are restricted to a discrete set. This induces a flow problem that is solved by an integer linear program. We show that the iterative refinement of the underlying discretization leads to solutions that converge from below to an optimal solution of the original instance. Thus, the linear relaxation of the considered integer linear program results in a lower bound for RSRP-PdM. Finally, we report on the results of computational experiments conducted on a library of test instances.
Die Metadatenqualität bestimmt wesentlich den Nutzen und Wert von Kulturerbedaten. ‚Gute‘ Metadaten erhöhen die Auffindbarkeit, Interoperabilität und Nutzbarkeit von Daten signifikant. Mit Blick auf Retrieval bzw. Discovery, Vernetzung im Kontext von Linked Open Data und
wissenschaftliches Data Mining hängt die Qualität dabei wesentlich von der Verwendung von maschinenlesbaren kontrollierten Vokabularen ab. Diese wird in der vorliegenden Arbeit quantitativ untersucht. Als Datengrundlage dienen die in der Deutschen Digitalen Bibliothek aggregierten Metadaten aus Berliner Museen (ca. 1,2 Millionen Metadatenobjekte im LIDO-Format)
Collaborative comparisons and combinations of epidemic models are used as policy-relevant evidence during epidemic outbreaks. In the process of collecting multiple model projections, such collaborations may gain or lose relevant information. Typically, modellers contribute a probabilistic summary at each time-step. We compared this to directly collecting simulated trajectories. We aimed to explore information on key epidemic quantities; ensemble uncertainty; and performance against data, investigating potential to continuously gain information from a single cross-sectional collection of model results. Methods We compared July 2022 projections from the European COVID-19 Scenario Modelling Hub. Five modelling teams projected incidence in Belgium, the Netherlands, and Spain. We compared projections by incidence, peaks, and cumulative totals. We created a probabilistic ensemble drawn from all trajectories, and compared to ensembles from a median across each model’s quantiles, or a linear opinion pool. We measured the predictive accuracy of individual trajectories against observations, using this in a weighted ensemble. We repeated this sequentially against increasing weeks of observed data. We evaluated these ensembles to reflect performance with varying observed data. Results. By collecting modelled trajectories, we showed policy-relevant epidemic characteristics. Trajectories contained a right-skewed distribution well represented by an ensemble of trajectories or a linear opinion pool, but not models’ quantile intervals. Ensembles weighted by performance typically retained the range of plausible incidence over time, and in some cases narrowed this by excluding some epidemic shapes. Conclusions. We observed several information gains from collecting modelled trajectories rather than quantile distributions, including potential for continuously updated information from a single model collection. The value of information gains and losses may vary with each collaborative effort’s aims, depending on the needs of projection users. Understanding the differing information potential of methods to collect model projections can support the accuracy, sustainability, and communication of collaborative infectious disease modelling efforts. Data availability All code and data available on Github: https://github.com/covid19-forecast-hub-europe/aggregation-info-loss
This paper proposes an almost feasible Sequential Linear Programming (afSLP) algorithm. In the first part, the practical limitations of previously proposed Feasible Sequential Linear Programming (FSLP) methods are discussed along with illustrative examples. Then, we present a generalization of FSLP based on a tolerance-tube method that addresses the shortcomings of FSLP. The proposed algorithm afSLP consists of two phases. Phase I starts from random infeasible points and iterates towards a relaxation of the feasible set. Once the tolerance-tube around the feasible set is reached, phase II is started and all future iterates are kept within the tolerance-tube. The novel method includes enhancements to the originally proposed tolerance-tube method that are necessary for global convergence. afSLP is shown to outperform FSLP and the state-of-the-art solver IPOPT on a SCARA robot optimization problem.
Für die Energiesystemforschung sind Software-Modelle ein Kernelement zur Analyse von Szenarien. Das Forschungsprojekt UNSEEN hatte das Ziel eine bisher unerreichte Anzahl an modellbasierten Energieszenarien zu berechnen, um Unsicherheiten – vor allem unter Nutzung linear optimierender Energiesystem-Modelle - besser bewerten zu können. Hierfür wurden umfangreiche Parametervariationen auf Energieszenarien angewendet und das wesentliche methodische Hindernis in diesem Zusammenhang adressiert: die rechnerische Beherrschbarkeit der zu lösenden mathematischen Optimierungsprobleme. Im Vorläuferprojekt BEAM-ME wurde mit der Entwicklung und Anwendung des Open-Source-Lösers PIPS-IPM++ die Grundlage für den Einsatz von High-Performance-Computing (HPC) zur Lösung dieser Modelle gelegt. In UNSEEN war dieser Löser die zentrale Komponente eines Workflows, welcher zur Generierung, Lösung und multi-kriteriellen Bewertung von Energieszenarien auf dem Hochleistungscomputer JUWELS am Forschungszentrum Jülich implementiert wurde. Zur effizienten Generierung und Kommunikation von Modellinstanzen für Methoden der mathematischen Optimierung auf HPC wurde eine weitere Workflow-Komponente von der GAMS Software GmbH entwickelt: der Szenariogenerator. Bei der Weiterentwicklung von Lösungsalgorithmen für linear optimierende Energie-Systemmodelle standen gemischt-ganzzahlige Optimierungsprobleme im Fokus, welche für die Modellierung konkreter Infrastrukturen und Maßnahmen zur Umsetzung der Energiewende gelöst werden müssen. Die in diesem Zusammenhang stehenden Arbeiten zur Entwicklung von Algorithmen wurden von der Technischen Universität Berlin verantwortet. Bei Design und Implementierung dieser Methoden wurde sie vom Zuse Instituts Berlin unterstützt.