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Explicit modeling of antibody levels for infectious disease simulations in the context of SARS-CoV-2
(2023)
Measurable levels of immunoglobulin G antibodies develop after infections with and vaccinations against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). These antibody levels are dynamic: due to waning, antibody levels will drop over time. During the COVID-19 pandemic, multiple models predicting infection dynamics were used by policymakers to support the planning of public health policies. Explicitly integrating antibody and waning effects into the models is crucial for reliable calculations of individual infection risk. However, only few approaches have been suggested that explicitly treat these effects. This paper presents a methodology that explicitly models antibody levels and the resulting protection against infection for individuals within an agent-based model. The model was developed in response to the complexity of different immunization sequences and types and is based on neutralization titer studies. This approach allows complex population studies with explicit antibody and waning effects. We demonstrate the usefulness of our model in two use cases.
Analyzing mass spectrometry-based proteomics data with deep learning (DL) approaches poses several challenges due to the high dimensionality, low sample size, and high level of noise. Additionally, DL-based workflows are often hindered to be integrated into medical settings due to the lack of interpretable explanation. We present DLearnMS, a DL biomarker detection framework, to address these challenges on proteomics instances of liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry (LC-MS) - a well-established tool for quantifying complex protein mixtures. Our DLearnMS framework learns the clinical state of LC-MS data instances using convolutional neural networks. Based on the trained neural networks, we show how biomarkers can be identified using layer-wise relevance propagation. This enables detecting discriminating regions of the data and the design of more robust networks. One of the main advantages over other established methods is that no explicit preprocessing step is needed in our DLearnMS framework. Our evaluation shows that DLearnMS outperforms conventional LC-MS biomarker detection approaches in identifying fewer false positive peaks while maintaining a comparable amount of true positives peaks.
Large-scale perturbations in the microbiome constitution are strongly correlated, whether as a driver or a consequence, with the health and functioning of human physiology. However, understanding the difference in the microbiome profiles of healthy and ill individuals can be complicated due to the large number of complex interactions among microbes. We propose to model these interactions as a time-evolving graph whose nodes are microbes and edges are interactions among them. Motivated by the need to analyse such complex interactions, we develop a method that learns a low-dimensional representation of the time-evolving graph and maintains the dynamics occurring in the high-dimensional space. Through our experiments, we show that we can extract graph features such as clusters of nodes or edges that have the highest impact on the model to learn the low-dimensional representation. This information can be crucial to identify microbes and interactions among them that are strongly correlated with clinical diseases. We conduct our experiments on both synthetic and real-world microbiome datasets.
Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir is an oral treatment for mild to moderate COVID-19 cases with a high risk for a severe course of the disease. For this paper, a comprehensive literature review was performed, leading to a summary of currently available data on Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir’s ability to reduce the risk of progressing to a severe disease state. Herein, the focus lies on publications that include comparisons between patients receiving Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir and a control group. The findings can be summarized as follows: Data from the time when the Delta-variant was dominant show that Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir reduced the risk of hospitalization or death by 88.9% for unvaccinated, non-hospitalized high-risk individuals. Data from the time when the Omicron variant was dominant found decreased relative risk reductions for various vaccination statuses: between 26% and 65% for hospitalization. The presented papers that differentiate between unvaccinated and vaccinated individuals agree that unvaccinated patients benefit more from treatment with Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir. However, when it comes to the dependency of potential on age and comorbidities, further studies are necessary. From the available data, one can conclude that Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir cannot substitute vaccinations; however, its low manufacturing cost and easy administration make it a valuable tool in fighting COVID-19, especially for countries with low vaccination rates.
Various feature selection algorithms have been proposed to identify cancer prognostic biomarkers. In recent years, however, their reproducibility is criticized. The performance of feature selection algorithms is shown to be affected by the datasets, underlying networks and evaluation metrics. One of the causes is the curse of dimensionality, which makes it hard to select the features that generalize well on independent data. Even the integration of biological networks does not mitigate this issue because the networks are large and many of their components are not relevant for the phenotype of interest. With the availability of multi-omics data, integrative approaches are being developed to build more robust predictive models. In this scenario, the higher data dimensions create greater challenges. We proposed a phenotype relevant network-based feature selection (PRNFS) framework and demonstrated its advantages in lung cancer prognosis prediction. We constructed cancer prognosis relevant networks based on epithelial mesenchymal transition (EMT) and integrated them with different types of omics data for feature selection. With less than 2.5% of the total dimensionality, we obtained EMT prognostic signatures that achieved remarkable prediction performance (average AUC values above 0.8), very significant sample stratifications, and meaningful biological interpretations. In addition to finding EMT signatures from different omics data levels, we combined these single-omics signatures into multi-omics signatures, which improved sample stratifications significantly. Both single- and multi-omics EMT signatures were tested on independent multi-omics lung cancer datasets and significant sample stratifications were obtained.
Feature selection technique is often applied in identifying cancer prognosis biomarkers. However, many feature selection methods are prone to over-fitting or poor biological interpretation when applied on biological high-dimensional data. Network-based feature selection and data integration approaches are proposed to identify more robust biomarkers. We conducted experiments to investigate the advantages of the two approaches using epithelial mesenchymal transition regulatory network, which is demonstrated as highly relevant to cancer prognosis. We obtained data from The Cancer Genome Atlas. Prognosis prediction was made using Support Vector Machine. Under our experimental settings, the results showed that network-based features gave significantly more accurate predictions than individual molecular features, and features selected from integrated data (RNA-Seq and micro-RNA data) gave significantly more accurate predictions than features selected from single source data (RNA-Seq data). Our study indicated that biological network-based feature transformation and data integration are two useful approaches to identify robust cancer biomarkers.
Motivation: High-throughput proteomics techniques, such as mass spectrometry
(MS)-based approaches, produce very high-dimensional data-sets. In a clinical
setting one is often interested how MS spectra dier between patients of different
classes, for example spectra from healthy patients vs. spectra from patients
having a particular disease. Machine learning algorithms are needed to (a)
identify these discriminating features and (b) classify unknown spectra based on
this feature set. Since the acquired data is usually noisy, the algorithms should be
robust to noise and outliers, and the identied feature set should be as small as
possible.
Results: We present a new algorithm, Sparse Proteomics Analysis (SPA), based
on the theory of Compressed Sensing that allows to identify a minimal
discriminating set of features from mass spectrometry data-sets. We show how
our method performs on artificial and real-world data-sets.
Epithelial mesenchymal transition (EMT) process has been shown as highly relevant to cancer prognosis. However, although different biological network-based biomarker identification methods have been proposed to predict cancer prognosis, EMT network has not been directly used for this purpose. In this study, we constructed an EMT regulatory network consisting of 87 molecules and tried to select features that are useful for prognosis prediction in Lung Adenocarcinoma (LUAD). To incorporate multiple molecular profiles, we obtained four types of molecular data including mRNA-Seq, copy number alteration (CNA), DNA methylation, and miRNA-Seq data from The Cancer Genome Atlas. The data were mapped to the EMT network in three alternative ways: mRNA-Seq and miRNA-Seq, DNA methylation, and CNA and miRNA-Seq. Each mapping was employed to extract five different sets of features using discretization and network-based biomarker identification methods. Each feature set was then used to predict prognosis with SVM and logistic regression classifiers. We measured the prediction accuracy with AUC and AUPR values using 10 times 10-fold cross validation. For a more comprehensive evaluation, we also measured the prediction accuracies of clinical features, EMT plus clinical features, randomly picked 87 molecules from each data mapping, and using all molecules from each data type. Counter-intuitively, EMT features do not always outperform randomly selected features and the prediction accuracies of the five feature sets are mostly not significantly different. Clinical features are shown to give the highest prediction accuracies. In addition, the prediction accuracies of both EMT features and random features are comparable as using all features (more than 17,000) from each data type.
Mass spectrometry-based serum metabolic profiling is a promising tool to analyse complex cancer associated metabolic alterations, which may broaden our pathophysiological understanding of the disease and may function as a source of new cancer-associated biomarkers. Highly standardized serum samples of patients suffering from colon cancer (n = 59) and controls (n = 58) were collected at the University Hospital Leipzig. We based our investigations on amino acid screening profiles using electrospray tandem-mass spectrometry. Metabolic profiles were evaluated using the Analyst 1.4.2 software. General, comparative and equivalence statistics were performed by R 2.12.2. 11 out of 26 serum amino acid concentrations were significantly different between colorectal cancer patients and healthy controls. We found a model including CEA, glycine, and tyrosine as best discriminating and superior to CEA alone with an AUROC of 0.878 (95\% CI 0.815?0.941). Our serum metabolic profiling in colon cancer revealed multiple significant disease-associated alterations in the amino acid profile with promising diagnostic power. Further large-scale studies are necessary to elucidate the potential of our model also to discriminate between cancer and potential differential diagnoses. In conclusion, serum glycine and tyrosine in combination with CEA are superior to CEA for the discrimination between colorectal cancer patients and controls.