Open Access

Ryohei Yokoyama, Yuto Hiramatsu, Yuji Shinano, Tetsuya Wakui

• In designing energy supply systems, it is important to consider the uncertainty in energy demands, evaluate the robustness in some performance criteria, and heighten the robustness. A robust optimal design method has been previously proposed to maximize the robustness in a single performance criterion against the uncertainty in energy demands based on a mixed-integer linear model. In this paper, as a preliminary step toward multiobjective robust optimal design, a method of evaluating robustness in multiple performance criteria against the uncertainty in energy demands is proposed based on a mixed-integer linear model. The problems of evaluating the robustness in the performance criteria are formulated as bilevel mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) ones. They are solved by evaluating lower and upper bounds for the maximum regrets in the performance criteria alternately and repeatedly with the aid of a solution method based on reformulation and decomposition. In addition, for the purpose of applying the proposed method to practical problems, a hierarchical MILP method is used to efficiently solve some MILP problems in the solution process. Through a case study on a cogeneration system, the robustness in the annual total cost and primary energy consumption is evaluated and its trade-off relationship is clarified.