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Large-scale functional network time series model solved with mathematical programming approach

Please always quote using this URN: urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-101936
accepted for publication
  • A functional network autoregressive model is proposed for studying large-scale network time series observed at high temporal resolution. The model incorporates high-dimensional curves to capture both serial and cross-sectional dependence in large-scale network functional time series. Estimation of the model is approached using a Mixed Integer Optimization method. Simulation studies confirm the consistency of parameter and adjacency matrix estimation. The method is applied to data from a real-life natural gas supply network. Compared to alternative prediction models, the proposed model delivers more accurate day-ahead hourly out-of-sample forecasts of the gas inflows and outflows at most gas nodes.
Metadaten
Author:Nazgul Zakiyeva, Milena Petkovic
Document Type:ZIB-Report
Parent Title (English):Econometrics and Statistics
Year of first publication:2025
Series (Serial Number):ZIB-Report (25-17)
Published in:Published in Econometrics and Statistics https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosta.2025.10.001
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosta.2025.10.001
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