TY - GEN A1 - Moualeu-Ngangue, Dany Pascal A1 - Röblitz, Susanna A1 - Ehrig, Rainald A1 - Deuflhard, Peter T1 - Parameter Identification for a Tuberculosis Model in Cameroon N2 - A deterministic model of tuberculosis in sub-Saharan Africa in general and Cameroon in particular including lack of access to the treatment and weak diagnose capacity is designed and analyzed with respect to its transmission dynamics. The model includes both frequency- and density-dependent transmissions. It is shown that the model is mathematically well-posed and epidemiologically reasonable. Solutions are non-negative and bounded whenever the initial values are non-negative. A sensitivity analysis of model parameters is performed and most sensitive parameters of the model are identified using a state-of-the-art Gauss-Newton Method. In particular, parameters representing the proportion of individuals having access to medical facilities have a large impact on the dynamics of the disease. It has been shown that an increase of these parameter values over the time can significantly reduce the disease burden in the population within the next 15 years. T3 - ZIB-Report - 13-72 KW - Tuberculosis, parameter identification, sensitivity analysis, Gauss-Newton method, Nonlinear dynamical systems. Y1 - 2013 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-43087 SN - 1438-0064 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Moualeu-Ngangue, Dany Pascal A1 - Weiser, Martin A1 - Ehrig, Rainald A1 - Deuflhard, Peter T1 - Optimal control for a tuberculosis model with undetected cases in Cameroon N2 - This paper considers the optimal control of tuberculosis through education, diagnosis campaign and chemoprophylaxis of latently infected. A mathematical model which includes important components such as undiagnosed infectious, diagnosed infectious, latently infected and lost-sight infectious is formulated. The model combines a frequency dependent and a density dependent force of infection for TB transmission. Through optimal control theory and numerical simulations, a cost-effective balance of two different intervention methods is obtained. Seeking to minimize the amount of money the government spends when tuberculosis remain endemic in the Cameroonian population, Pontryagin's maximum principle is used to characterize the optimal control. The optimality system is derived and solved numerically using the forward-backward sweep method (FBSM). Results provide a framework for designing cost-effective strategies for diseases with multiple intervention methods. It comes out that combining chemoprophylaxis and education, the burden of TB can be reduced by 80 % in 10 years T3 - ZIB-Report - 13-73 KW - Tuberculosis KW - Optimal control KW - Nonlinear dynamical systems Y1 - 2013 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-43142 SN - 1438-0064 ER -