TY - JOUR A1 - Wulkow, Niklas A1 - Koltai, Péter A1 - Schütte, Christof T1 - Memory-Based Reduced Modelling and Data-Based Estimation of Opinion Spreading JF - Journal of Nonlinear Science N2 - We investigate opinion dynamics based on an agent-based model and are interested in predicting the evolution of the percentages of the entire agent population that share an opinion. Since these opinion percentages can be seen as an aggregated observation of the full system state, the individual opinions of each agent, we view this in the framework of the Mori–Zwanzig projection formalism. More specifically, we show how to estimate a nonlinear autoregressive model (NAR) with memory from data given by a time series of opinion percentages, and discuss its prediction capacities for various specific topologies of the agent interaction network. We demonstrate that the inclusion of memory terms significantly improves the prediction quality on examples with different network topologies. Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s00332-020-09673-2 VL - 31 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Bittracher, Andreas A1 - Koltai, Péter A1 - Klus, Stefan A1 - Banisch, Ralf A1 - Dellnitz, Michael A1 - Schütte, Christof T1 - Transition manifolds of complex metastable systems: Theory and data-driven computation of effective dynamics JF - Jounal of Nonlinear Science N2 - We consider complex dynamical systems showing metastable behavior but no local separation of fast and slow time scales. The article raises the question of whether such systems exhibit a low-dimensional manifold supporting its effective dynamics. For answering this question, we aim at finding nonlinear coordinates, called reaction coordinates, such that the projection of the dynamics onto these coordinates preserves the dominant time scales of the dynamics. We show that, based on a specific reducibility property, the existence of good low-dimensional reaction coordinates preserving the dominant time scales is guaranteed. Based on this theoretical framework, we develop and test a novel numerical approach for computing good reaction coordinates. The proposed algorithmic approach is fully local and thus not prone to the curse of dimension with respect to the state space of the dynamics. Hence, it is a promising method for data-based model reduction of complex dynamical systems such as molecular dynamics. Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s00332-017-9415-0 VL - 28 IS - 2 SP - 471 EP - 512 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Koltai, Peter A1 - Wu, Hao A1 - Noé, Frank A1 - Schütte, Christof T1 - Optimal data-driven estimation of generalized Markov state models for non-equilibrium dynamics JF - Computation Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/computation6010022 VL - 6 IS - 1 PB - MDPI CY - Basel, Switzerland ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Dibak, Manuel A1 - del Razo, Mauricio J. A1 - de Sancho, David A1 - Schütte, Christof A1 - Noé, Frank T1 - MSM/RD: Coupling Markov state models of molecular kinetics with reaction-diffusion simulations JF - Journal of Chemical Physics N2 - Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations can model the interactions between macromolecules with high spatiotemporal resolution but at a high computational cost. By combining high-throughput MD with Markov state models (MSMs), it is now possible to obtain long time-scale behavior of small to intermediate biomolecules and complexes. To model the interactions of many molecules at large length scales, particle-based reaction-diffusion (RD) simulations are more suitable but lack molecular detail. Thus, coupling MSMs and RD simulations (MSM/RD) would be highly desirable, as they could efficiently produce simulations at large time and length scales, while still conserving the characteristic features of the interactions observed at atomic detail. While such a coupling seems straightforward, fundamental questions are still open: Which definition of MSM states is suitable? Which protocol to merge and split RD particles in an association/dissociation reaction will conserve the correct bimolecular kinetics and thermodynamics? In this paper, we make the first step toward MSM/RD by laying out a general theory of coupling and proposing a first implementation for association/dissociation of a protein with a small ligand (A + B ⇌ C). Applications on a toy model and CO diffusion into the heme cavity of myoglobin are reported. Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1063/1.5020294 VL - 148 IS - 21 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Djurdjevac Conrad, Natasa A1 - Fuerstenau, Daniel A1 - Grabundzija, Ana A1 - Helfmann, Luzie A1 - Park, Martin A1 - Schier, Wolfram A1 - Schütt, Brigitta A1 - Schütte, Christof A1 - Weber, Marcus A1 - Wulkow, Niklas A1 - Zonker, Johannes T1 - Mathematical modeling of the spreading of innovations in the ancient world JF - eTopoi. Journal for Ancient Studies Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.17171/4-7-1 SN - ISSN 2192-2608 VL - 7 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Helfmann, Luzie A1 - Djurdjevac Conrad, Natasa A1 - Djurdjevac, Ana A1 - Winkelmann, Stefanie A1 - Schütte, Christof T1 - From interacting agents to density-based modeling with stochastic PDEs N2 - Many real-world processes can naturally be modeled as systems of interacting agents. However, the long-term simulation of such agent-based models is often intractable when the system becomes too large. In this paper, starting from a stochastic spatio-temporal agent-based model (ABM), we present a reduced model in terms of stochastic PDEs that describes the evolution of agent number densities for large populations. We discuss the algorithmic details of both approaches; regarding the SPDE model, we apply Finite Element discretization in space which not only ensures efficient simulation but also serves as a regularization of the SPDE. Illustrative examples for the spreading of an innovation among agents are given and used for comparing ABM and SPDE models. T3 - ZIB-Report - 19-21 Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-73456 SN - 1438-0064 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Helfmann, Luzie A1 - Djurdjevac Conrad, Natasa A1 - Djurdjevac, Ana A1 - Winkelmann, Stefanie A1 - Schütte, Christof T1 - From interacting agents to density-based modeling with stochastic PDEs JF - Communications in Applied Mathematics and Computational Science N2 - Many real-world processes can naturally be modeled as systems of interacting agents. However, the long-term simulation of such agent-based models is often intractable when the system becomes too large. In this paper, starting from a stochastic spatio-temporal agent-based model (ABM), we present a reduced model in terms of stochastic PDEs that describes the evolution of agent number densities for large populations. We discuss the algorithmic details of both approaches; regarding the SPDE model, we apply Finite Element discretization in space which not only ensures efficient simulation but also serves as a regularization of the SPDE. Illustrative examples for the spreading of an innovation among agents are given and used for comparing ABM and SPDE models. Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.2140/camcos.2021.16.1 VL - 16 IS - 1 SP - 1 EP - 32 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Niemann, Jan-Hendrik A1 - Klus, Stefan A1 - Schütte, Christof T1 - Data-driven model reduction of agent-based systems using the Koopman generator JF - PLOS ONE N2 - The dynamical behavior of social systems can be described by agent-based models. Although single agents follow easily explainable rules, complex time-evolving patterns emerge due to their interaction. The simulation and analysis of such agent-based models, however, is often prohibitively time-consuming if the number of agents is large. In this paper, we show how Koopman operator theory can be used to derive reduced models of agent-based systems using only simulation or real-world data. Our goal is to learn coarse-grained models and to represent the reduced dynamics by ordinary or stochastic differential equations. The new variables are, for instance, aggregated state variables of the agent-based model, modeling the collective behavior of larger groups or the entire population. Using benchmark problems with known coarse-grained models, we demonstrate that the obtained reduced systems are in good agreement with the analytical results, provided that the numbers of agents is sufficiently large. Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0250970 VL - 16 IS - 5 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wulkow, Hanna A1 - Conrad, Tim A1 - Djurdjevac Conrad, Natasa A1 - Müller, Sebastian A. A1 - Nagel, Kai A1 - Schütte, Christof T1 - Prediction of Covid-19 spreading and optimal coordination of counter-measures: From microscopic to macroscopic models to Pareto fronts JF - PLOS One Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0249676 VL - 16 IS - 4 PB - Public Library of Science ER - TY - GEN A1 - Bornemann, Folkmar A. A1 - Schütte, Christof T1 - Adaptive Accuracy Control for Microcanonical Car-Parrinello Simulations N2 - The Car-Parrinello (CP) approach to ab initio molecular dynamics serves as an approximation to time-dependent Born-Oppenheimer (BO) calculations. It replaces the explicit minimization of the energy functional by a fictitious Newtonian dynamics and therefore introduces an artificial mass parameter $\mu$ which controls the electronic motion. A recent theoretical investigation shows that the CP-error, i.e., the deviation of the CP--solution from the BO-solution {\em decreases} like $\mu^{1/2}$ asymptotically. Since the computational effort {\em increases} like $\mu^{-1/2}$, the choice of $\mu$ has to find a compromise between efficiency and accuracy. The asymptotical result is used in this paper to construct an easily implemented algorithm which automatically controls $\mu$: the parameter $\mu$ is repeatedly adapted during the simulation by choosing $\mu$ as large as possible while pushing an error measure below a user-given tolerance. The performance and reliability of the algorithm is illustrated by a typical example. T3 - ZIB-Report - SC-96-20 Y1 - 1996 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-2311 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Bornemann, Folkmar A. A1 - Schütte, Christof T1 - Homogenization of Highly Oscillatory Hamiltonian Systems N2 - The paper studies Hamiltonian systems with a strong potential forcing the solutions to oscillate on a very small time scale. In particular, we are interested in the limit situation where the size $\epsilon$ of this small time scale tends to zero but the velocity components remain oscillating with an amplitude variation of order ${\rm O}(1)$. The process of establishing an effective initial value problem for the limit positions will be called {\em homogenization} of the Hamiltonian system. This problem occurs in mechanics as the problem of realization of holonomic constraints, in plasma physics as the problem of guiding center motion, in the simulation of biomolecules as the so called smoothing problem. We suggest the systematic use of the notion of {\em weak convergence} in order to approach this problem. This methodology helps to establish unified and short proofs of the known results which throw light on the inherent structure of the problem. Moreover, we give a careful and critical review of the literature. T3 - ZIB-Report - SC-95-39 Y1 - 1995 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-2050 ER -