TY - GEN A1 - Boer, H. Marike T. A1 - Stötzel, Claudia A1 - Röblitz, Susanna A1 - Deuflhard, Peter A1 - Veerkamp, Roel F. A1 - Woelders, Henri T1 - A simple mathematical model of the bovine estrous cycle: follicle development and endocrine interactions N2 - Bovine fertility is the subject of extensive research in animal sciences, especially because fertility of dairy cows has declined during the last decades. The regulation of estrus is controlled by the complex interplay of various organs and hormones. Mathematical modeling of the bovine estrous cycle could help in understanding the dynamics of this complex biological system. In this paper we present a mathematical model of the bovine estrous cycle that includes the processes of follicle and corpus luteum development and the key hormones that interact to control these processes. Focus in this paper is on development of the model, but also some simulation results are presented, showing that a set of equations and parameters is obtained that describes the system consistent with empirical knowledge. Even though the majority of the mechanisms that are included are only known qualitatively as stimulatory or inhibitory effects, the model surprisingly well features quantitative observations made in reality. This model of the bovine estrous cycle could be used as a basis for more elaborate models with the ability to study effects of external manipulations and genetic differences. T3 - ZIB-Report - 10-06 KW - cow KW - reproduction KW - hormone patterns KW - ordinary differential equations KW - systems biology Y1 - 2010 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-11682 SN - 1438-0064 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Röblitz, Susanna A1 - Stötzel, Claudia A1 - Deuflhard, Peter A1 - Jones, Hannah M. A1 - Azulay, David-Olivier A1 - van der Graaf, Piet A1 - Martin, Steven T1 - A mathematical model of the human menstrual cycle for the administration of GnRH analogues N2 - This study presents a differential equation model for the feedback mechanisms between Gonadotropin-releasing Hormone (GnRH), Follicle-Stimulating Hormone (FSH), Luteinizing Hormone (LH), development of follicles and corpus luteum, and the production of estradiol (E2), progesterone (P4), inhibin A (IhA), and inhibin B (IhB) during the female menstrual cycle. In contrast to other models, this model does not involve delay differential equations and is based on deterministic modelling of the GnRH pulse pattern, which allows for faster simulation times and efficient parameter identification. These steps were essential to tackle the task of developing a mathematical model for the administration of GnRH analogues. The focus of this paper is on model development for GnRH receptor binding and the integration of a pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic model for the GnRH agonist Nafarelin and the GnRH antagonist Cetrorelix into the menstrual cycle model. The final mathematical model describes the hormone profiles (LH, FSH, P4, E2) throughout the menstrual cycle in 12 healthy women. Moreover, it correctly predicts the changes in the cycle following single and multiple dose administration of Nafarelin or Cetrorelix at different stages in the cycle. T3 - ZIB-Report - 11-16 KW - human menstrual cycle KW - systems biology KW - mathematical modelling KW - GnRH analogues KW - differential equations Y1 - 2011 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-12732 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Stötzel, Claudia A1 - Plöntzke, Julia A1 - Röblitz, Susanna T1 - Advances in modelling of the bovine estrous cycle: Administration of PGF2alpha N2 - Our model of the bovine estrous cycle is a set of ordinary differential equations which generates hormone profiles of successive estrous cycles with several follicular waves per cycle. It describes the growth and decay of the follicles and the corpus luteum, as well as the change of the key substances over time. In this work we describe recent improvements of this model, including the introduction of new components, and elimination of time delays. We validate our model by showing that the simulations agree with observations from synchronization studies and with measured progesterone data after a single dose administration of synthetic prostaglandin F2alpha. T3 - ZIB-Report - 11-17 KW - cow KW - reproduction KW - hormone patterns KW - differential equations KW - systems biology Y1 - 2011 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-12740 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Plöntzke, Julia A1 - Berg, Mascha A1 - Olany, Amiya A1 - Leonhard-Marek, Sabine A1 - Müller, Kerstin-Elisabeth A1 - Röblitz, Susanna T1 - Modeling potassium balance in dairy cows N2 - Potassium is fundamental for cell functioning including signal transduction, acid-base- and water-metabolism. Since diet of dairy cows is generally rich in potassium, hypokalemia was not in the focus of research for long time. Furthermore, hypokalemia was not frequently diagnosed because blood potassium content is difficult to measure. In recent years, measurement methods have been improved. Nowadays hypokalemia is increasingly diagnosed in cows with disorders such as abomasal displacement, ketosis or down cow syndrome, calling for intensified research on this topic. In this report we describe the development of a basic mechanistic, dynamic model of potassium balance based on ordinary differential and algebraic equations. Parameter values are obtained from data of a clinical trial in which potassium balance and the influence of therapeutic intervention in glucose and electrolyte metabolism on potassium balance in non-lactating dairy cows were studied. The model is formulated at a high abstraction level and includes information and hypotheses from literature. This work represents a first step towards the understanding and design of effective prophylactic feed additives and treatment strategies. T3 - ZIB-Report - 13-09 KW - systems biology KW - differential equations KW - metabolism Y1 - 2013 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-17749 SN - 1438-0064 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Moualeu-Ngangue, Dany Pascal A1 - Röblitz, Susanna A1 - Ehrig, Rainald A1 - Deuflhard, Peter T1 - Parameter Identification for a Tuberculosis Model in Cameroon N2 - A deterministic model of tuberculosis in sub-Saharan Africa in general and Cameroon in particular including lack of access to the treatment and weak diagnose capacity is designed and analyzed with respect to its transmission dynamics. The model includes both frequency- and density-dependent transmissions. It is shown that the model is mathematically well-posed and epidemiologically reasonable. Solutions are non-negative and bounded whenever the initial values are non-negative. A sensitivity analysis of model parameters is performed and most sensitive parameters of the model are identified using a state-of-the-art Gauss-Newton Method. In particular, parameters representing the proportion of individuals having access to medical facilities have a large impact on the dynamics of the disease. It has been shown that an increase of these parameter values over the time can significantly reduce the disease burden in the population within the next 15 years. T3 - ZIB-Report - 13-72 KW - Tuberculosis, parameter identification, sensitivity analysis, Gauss-Newton method, Nonlinear dynamical systems. Y1 - 2013 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-43087 SN - 1438-0064 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Moualeu-Ngangue, Dany Pascal A1 - Weiser, Martin A1 - Ehrig, Rainald A1 - Deuflhard, Peter T1 - Optimal control for a tuberculosis model with undetected cases in Cameroon N2 - This paper considers the optimal control of tuberculosis through education, diagnosis campaign and chemoprophylaxis of latently infected. A mathematical model which includes important components such as undiagnosed infectious, diagnosed infectious, latently infected and lost-sight infectious is formulated. The model combines a frequency dependent and a density dependent force of infection for TB transmission. Through optimal control theory and numerical simulations, a cost-effective balance of two different intervention methods is obtained. Seeking to minimize the amount of money the government spends when tuberculosis remain endemic in the Cameroonian population, Pontryagin's maximum principle is used to characterize the optimal control. The optimality system is derived and solved numerically using the forward-backward sweep method (FBSM). Results provide a framework for designing cost-effective strategies for diseases with multiple intervention methods. It comes out that combining chemoprophylaxis and education, the burden of TB can be reduced by 80 % in 10 years T3 - ZIB-Report - 13-73 KW - Tuberculosis KW - Optimal control KW - Nonlinear dynamical systems Y1 - 2013 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-43142 SN - 1438-0064 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Meisel, Kristin A1 - Röblitz, Susanna T1 - Mathematische Modellierung der Knochenremodellierung N2 - Knochenremodellierung beinhaltet den Auf- und Abbau der Knochenmasse durch die verschiedenen Knochenzellen und findet fast überall, auch am Skelett Erwachsener, statt. Für die Erneuerung der Knochensubstanz sind die Osteoblasten zuständig. Sie ersetzen exakt die Menge der Knochenmasse, welche zuvor durch Osteoklasten abgebaut wurde. Störungen dieses, durch viele Faktoren beeinflussten Prozesses führen zu pathologischen Veränderungen, beispielsweise zu Osteoporose oder Arthritis. Auf der Grundlage analysierter publizierter Modelle wurde ein Modell entwickelt, welches den Einfluss einiger dieser Faktoren realistisch abbildet. Auf diese Weise kann die Wirkung von basalem PTH, des RANKL-OPG-Systems ( RANKL: Receptor activator of nuclear factor kappa-B ligand, OPG: Osteoprotegerin) und des Estradiols auf den Knochenstoffwechsel am vorgestellten System untersucht werden. Außerdem wurde durch Estradiolmangel hervorgerufene Osteoporose und der kurative Effekt von synthetischen Medikamenten wie Estradiol oder intermittierend verabreichtem PTH modelliert. Mit der Parameterschätzung anhand des Gauß-Newton-Verfahrens wird des Weiteren eine Methode vorgestellt, die es ermöglicht, mathematische Modelle bestmöglich durch Variation der Parameterwerte an experimentelle Daten anzupassen. Das am Zuse-Institut Berlin entwickelte Softwarepaket POEM wendet diesen Algorithmus an und wird ebenfalls erläutert. T3 - ZIB-Report - 13-41 Y1 - 2013 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-42010 SN - 1438-0064 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Winkelmann, Stefanie T1 - Markov Control with Rare State Observation: Average Optimality N2 - This paper investigates the criterion of long-term average costs for a Markov decision process (MDP) which is not permanently observable. Each observation of the process produces a fixed amount of \textit{information costs} which enter the considered performance criterion and preclude from arbitrarily frequent state testing. Choosing the \textit{rare} observation times is part of the control procedure. In contrast to the theory of partially observable Markov decision processes, we consider an arbitrary continuous-time Markov process on a finite state space without further restrictions on the dynamics or the type of interaction. Based on the original Markov control theory, we redefine the control model and the average cost criterion for the setting of information costs. We analyze the constant of average costs for the case of ergodic dynamics and present an optimality equation which characterizes the optimal choice of control actions and observation times. For this purpose, we construct an equivalent freely observable MDP and translate the well-known results from the original theory to the new setting. T3 - ZIB-Report - 16-59 KW - Markov decision process KW - partial observability KW - average optimality KW - information costs Y1 - 2016 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-60981 SN - 1438-0064 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Klebanov, Ilja A1 - Sikorski, Alexander A1 - Schütte, Christof A1 - Röblitz, Susanna T1 - Empirical Bayes Methods, Reference Priors, Cross Entropy and the EM Algorithm N2 - When estimating a probability density within the empirical Bayes framework, the non-parametric maximum likelihood estimate (NPMLE) usually tends to overfit the data. This issue is usually taken care of by regularization - a penalization term is subtracted from the marginal log-likelihood before the maximization step, so that the estimate favors smooth solutions, resulting in the so-called maximum penalized likelihood estimation (MPLE). The majority of penalizations currently in use are rather arbitrary brute-force solutions, which lack invariance under transformation of the parameters(reparametrization) and measurements. This contradicts the principle that, if the underlying model has several equivalent formulations, the methods of inductive inference should lead to consistent results. Motivated by this principle and using an information-theoretic point of view, we suggest an entropy-based penalization term that guarantees this kind of invariance. The resulting density estimate can be seen as a generalization of reference priors. Using the reference prior as a hyperprior, on the other hand, is argued to be a poor choice for regularization. We also present an insightful connection between the NPMLE, the cross entropy and the principle of minimum discrimination information suggesting another method of inference that contains the doubly-smoothed maximum likelihood estimation as a special case. T3 - ZIB-Report - 16-56 KW - parameter estimation KW - Bayesian inference KW - Bayesian hierarchical modeling KW - hyperparameter KW - hyperprior KW - EM algorithm KW - NPMLE KW - MPLE KW - DS-MLE KW - principle of maximum entropy KW - cross entropy KW - minimum discrimination information KW - reference prior KW - Jeffreys prior Y1 - 2016 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-61230 SN - 1438-0064 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Klebanov, Ilja A1 - Sikorski, Alexander A1 - Schütte, Christof A1 - Röblitz, Susanna T1 - Empirical Bayes Methods for Prior Estimation in Systems Medicine N2 - One of the main goals of mathematical modelling in systems medicine related to medical applications is to obtain patient-specific parameterizations and model predictions. In clinical practice, however, the number of available measurements for single patients is usually limited due to time and cost restrictions. This hampers the process of making patient-specific predictions about the outcome of a treatment. On the other hand, data are often available for many patients, in particular if extensive clinical studies have been performed. Therefore, before applying Bayes’ rule separately to the data of each patient (which is typically performed using a non-informative prior), it is meaningful to use empirical Bayes methods in order to construct an informative prior from all available data. We compare the performance of four priors - a non-informative prior and priors chosen by nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation (NPMLE), by maximum penalized lilelihood estimation (MPLE) and by doubly-smoothed maximum likelihood estimation (DS-MLE) - by applying them to a low-dimensional parameter estimation problem in a toy model as well as to a high-dimensional ODE model of the human menstrual cycle, which represents a typical example from systems biology modelling. T3 - ZIB-Report - 16-57 KW - Parameter estimation KW - Bayesian inference KW - Bayesian hierarchical modelling KW - NPMLE KW - MPLE KW - DS-MLE KW - EM algorithm KW - Jeffreys prior KW - reference prior KW - hyperparameter KW - hyperprior KW - principle of maximum entropy Y1 - 2016 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-61307 SN - 1438-0064 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Omari, Mohamed A1 - Plöntzke, Julia A1 - Röblitz, Susanna T1 - A pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic model for single dose administration of Dexamethasone in dairy cows N2 - We present a mechanistic pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic model to simulate the effect of dexamethasone on the glucose metabolism in dairy cows. The coupling of the pharmacokinetic model to the pharmacodynamic model is based on mechanisms underlying homeostasis regulation by dexamethasone. In particular, the coupling takes into account the predominant role of dexamethasone in stimulating glucagon secretion, glycogenolysis and lipolysis and in impairing the sensitivity of cells to insulin. Simulating the effect of a single dose of dexamethasone on the physiological behaviour of the system shows that the adopted mechanisms are able to induce a temporary hyperglycemia and hyperinsulinemia, which captures the observed data in non-lactating cows. In lactating cows, the model simulations show that a single dose of dexamethasone reduces the lipolytic effect, owing to the reduction of glucose uptake by the mammary gland. T3 - ZIB-Report - 19-53 KW - systems biology; modelling; differential equations; metabolism; nutrition; bovine; fertility; reproduction; hormones; follicles; Dexamethasone; PK-PD Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-75043 SN - 1438-0064 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Helfmann, Luzie A1 - Djurdjevac Conrad, Natasa A1 - Djurdjevac, Ana A1 - Winkelmann, Stefanie A1 - Schütte, Christof T1 - From interacting agents to density-based modeling with stochastic PDEs N2 - Many real-world processes can naturally be modeled as systems of interacting agents. However, the long-term simulation of such agent-based models is often intractable when the system becomes too large. In this paper, starting from a stochastic spatio-temporal agent-based model (ABM), we present a reduced model in terms of stochastic PDEs that describes the evolution of agent number densities for large populations. We discuss the algorithmic details of both approaches; regarding the SPDE model, we apply Finite Element discretization in space which not only ensures efficient simulation but also serves as a regularization of the SPDE. Illustrative examples for the spreading of an innovation among agents are given and used for comparing ABM and SPDE models. T3 - ZIB-Report - 19-21 Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-73456 SN - 1438-0064 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Omari, Mohamed A1 - Lange, Alexander A1 - Plöntzke, Julia A1 - Röblitz, Susanna T1 - A Mathematical Model for the Influence of Glucose-Insulin Dynamics on the Estrous Cycle in Dairy Cows N2 - Nutrition plays a crucial role in regulating reproductive hormones and follicular development in cattle. This is visible particularly during the time of negative energy balance at the onset of milk production after calving. Here, elongated periods of anovulation have been observed, resulting from alterations in luteiniz- ing hormone concentrations, likely caused by lower glucose and insulin concen- trations in the blood. The mechanisms that result in a reduced fertility are not completely understood, although a close relationship to the glucose-insulin metabolism is widely supported. Following this idea, a mathematical model of the hormonal network combining reproductive hormones and hormones that are coupled to the glucose compartments within the body of the cow was developed. The model is built on ordinary differential equations and relies on previously introduced models on the bovine estrous cycle and the glucose-insulin dynam- ics. Necessary modifications and coupling mechanisms are thoroughly discussed. Depending on the composition and the amount of food, in particular the glu- cose content in the dry matter, the model quantifies reproductive hormones and follicular development over time. Simulation results for different nutritional regimes in lactating and non-lactating dairy cows are examined and compared with experimental studies. Regarding its applicability, this work is an early attempt towards developing in silico feeding strategies and may eventually help refining and reducing animal experiments. T3 - ZIB-Report - 19-22 Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-73475 SN - 1438-0064 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Stötzel, Claudia A1 - Apri, Mochamad A1 - Röblitz, Susanna T1 - A reduced ODE model of the bovine estrous cycle N2 - This work deals with the reduction of a previously developed ODE model for the bovine estrous cycle. After applying a method for exploring the parameter space by Apri et al. (2012), we perform structure-based reduction steps and several system specific adaptations. Overall, the original model consisting of 15 ODEs and 60 parameters is reduced to a model of 10 odes and 38 parameters. The reduced model qualitatively reproduces the state trajectories of the original model. T3 - ZIB-Report - 14-33 Y1 - 2014 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-51594 SN - 1438-0064 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Winkelmann, Stefanie A1 - Schütte, Christof T1 - Hybrid Models for Chemical Reaction Networks: Multiscale Theory and Application to Gene Regulatory Systems N2 - Well-mixed stochastic chemical kinetics are properly modelled by the chemical master equation (CME) and associated Markov jump processes in molecule number space. If the reactants are present in large amounts, however, corresponding simulations of the stochastic dynamics become computationally expensive and model reductions are demanded. The classical model reduction approach uniformly rescales the overall dynamics to obtain deterministic systems characterized by ordinary differential equations, the well-known mass action reaction rate equations. For systems with multiple scales there exist hybrid approaches that keep parts of the system discrete while another part is approximated either using Langevin dynamics or deterministically. This paper aims at giving a coherent overview of the different hybrid approaches, focusing on their basic concepts and the relation between them. We derive a novel general description of such hybrid models that allows to express various forms by one type of equation. We also check in how far the approaches apply to model extensions of the CME for dynamics which do not comply with the central well-mixed condition and require some spatial resolution. A simple but meaningful gene expression system with negative self-regulation is analysed to illustrate the different approximation qualities of some of the hybrid approaches discussed. T3 - ZIB-Report - 17-29 Y1 - 2017 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-64264 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Lange, Alexander A1 - Schwieger, Robert A1 - Plöntzke, Julia A1 - Schäfer, Stefan A1 - Röblitz, Susanna T1 - Follicular competition: the selection of dominant follicles as a synergistic effect N2 - The estrous cycle of mono-ovulatory species such as cows or humans, is known to show two or more waves of follicular growth and decline between two successive ovulations. Within each wave, there is one dominant follicle escorted by subordinate follicles of varying number. Under the surge of the luteinizing hormone a growing dominant follicle ovulates. Rarely the number of ovulating follicles exceeds one. In the biological literature, the change of hormonal concentrations and individually varying numbers of follicular receptors are made responsible for the selection of exactly one dominant follicle, yet a clear cause has not been identified. In this paper, we suggest a synergistic explanation based on competition, formulated by a parsimoniously defined system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) that quantifies the time evolution of multiple follicles and their competitive interaction during one wave. Not discriminating between follicles, growth and decline are given by fixed rates. Competition is introduced via a growth-suppressing term, equally supported by all follicles. We prove that the number of dominant follicles is determined exclusively by the ratio of follicular growth and competition. This number turns out to be independent of the number of subordinate follicles. The asymptotic behavior of the corresponding dynamical system is investigated rigorously, where we demonstrate that the omega-limit set only contains fixed points. When also including follicular decline, our ODEs perfectly resemble ultrasound data of bovine follicles. Implications for the involved but not explicitly modeled hormones are discussed. T3 - ZIB-Report - 17-21 Y1 - 2017 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-63863 SN - 1438-0064 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Klebanov, Ilja A1 - Sikorski, Alexander A1 - Schütte, Christof A1 - Röblitz, Susanna T1 - Prior estimation and Bayesian inference from large cohort data sets N2 - One of the main goals of mathematical modelling in systems biology related to medical applications is to obtain patient-specific parameterisations and model predictions. In clinical practice, however, the number of available measurements for single patients is usually limited due to time and cost restrictions. This hampers the process of making patient-specific predictions about the outcome of a treatment. On the other hand, data are often available for many patients, in particular if extensive clinical studies have been performed. Using these population data, we propose an iterative algorithm for contructing an informative prior distribution, which then serves as the basis for computing patient-specific posteriors and obtaining individual predictions. We demonsrate the performance of our method by applying it to a low-dimensional parameter estimation problem in a toy model as well as to a high-dimensional ODE model of the human menstrual cycle, which represents a typical example from systems biology modelling. T3 - ZIB-Report - 16-09 Y1 - 2016 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-57475 SN - 1438-0064 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Dierkes, Thomas T1 - Construction of ODE systems from time series data by a highly flexible modelling approach N2 - In this paper, a down-to-earth approach to purely data-based modelling of unknown dynamical systems is presented. Starting from a classical, explicit ODE formulation y=f(t,y) of a dynamical system, a method determining the unknown right-hand side f(t,y) from some trajectory data y_k(t_j), possibly very sparse, is given. As illustrative examples, a semi-standard predator-prey model is reconstructed from a data set describing the population numbers of hares and lynxes over a period of twenty years [1], and a simple damped pendulum system with a highly non-linear right-hand side is recovered from some artificial but very sparse data [2]. T3 - ZIB-Report - 15-59 Y1 - 2015 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-56768 SN - 1438-0064 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Ehrig, Rainald A1 - Dierkes, Thomas A1 - Schäfer, Stefan A1 - Röblitz, Susanna A1 - Tronci, Enrico A1 - Mancini, Toni A1 - Salvo, Ivano A1 - Alimguzhin, Vadim A1 - Mari, Federico A1 - Melatti, Igor A1 - Massini, Annalisa A1 - Krüger, Tillmann H. C. A1 - Egli, Marcel A1 - Ille, Fabian A1 - Leeners, Brigitte T1 - An Integrative Approach for Model Driven Computation of Treatments in Reproductive Medicine N2 - We present an overview of the current status of the European collaborative project PAEON. The challenge of PAEON is to provide specialists in reproduc- tive medicine with a computerised model of the menstrual cycle under normal and various pathological conditions, which will allow them to get further in- sight in fertility dynamics. This model also enables the simulation of treatment protocols, which were used within in vitro fertilization. By the definition of virtual patients through biologically admissible parametrizations our approach allows not only the evaluation of a given treatment strategy in silico, but also the design and optimization of such protocols. Once a protocol is formalized in the virtual hospital, the success can be controlled by a treatment execution monitor, which works then as a clinical decision support system. All these tools will be combined in a virtual hospital environment, enabling the access to the PAEON services through the web. T3 - ZIB-Report - 16-04 Y1 - 2016 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-57103 SN - 1438-0064 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Plöntzke, Julia A1 - Berg, Mascha A1 - Stötzel, Claudia A1 - Röblitz, Susanna T1 - A systems biology approach to bovine fertility and metabolism: Development of a glucose insulin model. N2 - To counteract the antagonistic relationship between milk yield and fertility in dairy cow, a deeper understanding of the underlying biological mechanisms is required. For this purpose, we study physiological networks related to reproduction and metabolism in dairy cows. We interactively develop dynamic, mechanistic models by fitting the models to experimental data and mechanistic knowledge. We have already developed models for potassium balance and hormonal regulation of fertility in the dairy cow, which will briefly be reviewed here. The main focus of this article is a glucose-insulin model currently developed by us. This model links the bovine hormonal cycle and the potassium balance to glucose and thus to energy metabolism. The models can be applied in scientific research, education, experimental planning, drug development and production on farms. T3 - ZIB-Report - 15-51 Y1 - 2015 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-56453 SN - 1438-0064 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Kube, Susanna A1 - Lasser, Caroline A1 - Weber, Marcus T1 - Monte Carlo sampling of Wigner functions and surface hopping quantum dynamics N2 - Wigner transformation provides a one-to-one correspondence between functions on position space (wave functions) and functions on phase space (Wigner functions). Weighted integrals of Wigner functions yield quadratic quantities of wave functions like position and momentum densities or expectation values. For molecular quantum systems, suitably modified classical transport of Wigner functions provides an asymptotic approximation of the dynamics in the high energy regime. The article addresses the computation of Wigner functions by Monte Carlo quadrature. An ad aption of the Metropolis algorithm for the approximation of signed measures with disconnected support is systematically tested in combination with a surface hopping algorithm for non-adiabatic quantum dynamics. The numerical experiments give expectation values and level populations with an error of two to three percent, which agrees with the theoretically expected accuracy. T3 - ZIB-Report - 07-17 KW - Metropolis Monte Carlo KW - approximation KW - quadrature KW - oscillating functions Y1 - 2007 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-9604 ER -