TY - JOUR A1 - Becks, Henrik A1 - Lippold, Lukas A1 - Winkler, Paul A1 - Rohrer, Maximilian A1 - Leusmann, Thorsten A1 - Anton, David A1 - Sprenger, Bjarne A1 - Kähler, Philipp A1 - Rudenko, Iryna A1 - Andrés Arcones, Daniel A1 - Koutsourelakis, Phaedon-Stelios A1 - Unger, Jörg F. A1 - Weiser, Martin A1 - Petryna, Yuri A1 - Schnellenbach-Held, Martina A1 - Lowke, Dirk A1 - Wessels, Henning A1 - Lenzen, Armin A1 - Zabel, Volkmar A1 - Könke, Carsten A1 - Claßen, Martin A1 - Hegger, Josef T1 - Neuartige Konzepte für die Zustandsüberwachung und -analyse von Brückenbauwerken – Einblicke in das Forschungsvorhaben SPP100+ JF - Bauingenieur N2 - Die Brückeninfrastruktur in Deutschland und Europa steht aufgrund steigender Verkehrslasten und alternder Bauwerke vor erheblichen Herausforderungen. Das DFG-Schwerpunktprogramm 2388 „Hundert plus – Verlängerung der Lebensdauer komplexer Baustrukturen durch intelligente Digitalisierung“ (SPP100+) strebt an, durch digitale Innovationen und prädiktive Instandhaltungsstrategien die Nutzungsdauer bestehender Brückenbauwerke zu verlängern. Der vorliegende Beitrag fokussiert sich auf das SPP100+ zugehörige Cluster „Monitoring und Simulation“, das sieben Teilprojekte umfasst. Die Projekte entwickeln fortschrittliche Methoden zur Überwachung und Zustandsbewertung von Brücken mittels Digitaler Zwillinge, hochauflösender Sensortechnik und numerischer Simulationen. Innovative Ansätze wie nichtlineare Modellanpassungen, stochastische Methoden und künstliche Intelligenz ermöglichen eine präzise und frühzeitige Identifizierung potenzieller Schäden. Die Kombination aus kontinuierlichem Bauwerksmonitoring und effizienter Datenauswertung ist entscheidend für die langfristige Sicherheit und Langlebigkeit bestehender Brücken und trägt darüber hinaus zur Ressourcenschonung bei. N2 - Bridges in Germany and across Europe face significant challenges due to increasing traffic loads and aging structures. The DFG Priority Programme 2388 “Hundred Plus – Extending the Lifetime of Complex Engineering Structures through Intelligent Digitalization” (SPP100+) aims to extend the lifespan of existing bridge structures through digital innovations and predictive maintenance strategies. This paper focuses on the SPP100+ affiliated cluster “Monitoring and Simulation,” which encompasses seven sub-projects. These projects develop advanced methods for monitoring and assessing the condition of bridge structures using digital twins, high-resolution sensor technology, and numerical simulations. Innovative approaches such as nonlinear model adjustments, stochastic methods, and artificial intelligence facilitate precise and early identification of potential damages. The combination of continuous structural monitoring and efficient data evaluation is crucial for the long-term reliability and durability of existing bridges and contributes to resource conservation. T2 - Novel Concepts for the Condition Monitoring and Analysis of Bridge Structures – Insights into the SPP100+ Research Project Y1 - 2024 U6 - https://doi.org/10.37544/0005-6650-2024-10-63 VL - 99 IS - 10 SP - 327 EP - 338 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Niemann, Jan-Hendrik A1 - Uram, Samuel A1 - Wolf, Sarah A1 - Conrad, Natasa Djurdjevac A1 - Weiser, Martin T1 - Multilevel Optimization for Policy Design with Agent-Based Epidemic Models JF - Computational Science N2 - Epidemiological models can not only be used to forecast the course of a pandemic like COVID-19, but also to propose and design non-pharmaceutical interventions such as school and work closing. In general, the design of optimal policies leads to nonlinear optimization problems that can be solved by numerical algorithms. Epidemiological models come in different complexities, ranging from systems of simple ordinary differential equations (ODEs) to complex agent-based models (ABMs). The former allow a fast and straightforward optimization, but are limited in accuracy, detail, and parameterization, while the latter can resolve spreading processes in detail, but are extremely expensive to optimize. We consider policy optimization in a prototypical situation modeled as both ODE and ABM, review numerical optimization approaches, and propose a heterogeneous multilevel approach based on combining a fine-resolution ABM and a coarse ODE model. Numerical experiments, in particular with respect to convergence speed, are given for illustrative examples. Y1 - 2024 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocs.2024.102242 VL - 77 SP - 102242 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Andrés Arcones, Daniel A1 - Weiser, Martin A1 - Koutsourelakis, Faidon-Stelios A1 - Unger, Jörg F. T1 - Model bias identification for Bayesian calibration of stochastic digital twins of bridges JF - Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry N2 - Simulation-based digital twins must provide accurate, robust and reliable digital representations of their physical counterparts. Quantifying the uncertainty in their predictions plays, therefore, a key role in making better-informed decisions that impact the actual system. The update of the simulation model based on data must be then carefully implemented. When applied to complex standing structures such as bridges, discrepancies between the computational model and the real system appear as model bias, which hinders the trustworthiness of the digital twin and increases its uncertainty. Classical Bayesian updating approaches aiming to infer the model parameters often fail at compensating for such model bias, leading to overconfident and unreliable predictions. In this paper, two alternative model bias identification approaches are evaluated in the context of their applicability to digital twins of bridges. A modularized version of Kennedy and O'Hagan's approach and another one based on Orthogonal Gaussian Processes are compared with the classical Bayesian inference framework in a set of representative benchmarks. Additionally, two novel extensions are proposed for such models: the inclusion of noise-aware kernels and the introduction of additional variables not present in the computational model through the bias term. The integration of such approaches in the digital twin corrects the predictions, quantifies their uncertainty, estimates noise from unknown physical sources of error and provides further insight into the system by including additional pre-existing information without modifying the computational model. Y1 - 2024 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/asmb.2897 VL - 41 IS - 3 ER - TY - CHAP A1 - Steyer, Joshua A1 - Chegini, Fatemeh A1 - Starý, Tomas A1 - Potse, Mark A1 - Weiser, Martin A1 - Loewe, Axel T1 - Electrograms in a Cardiac Cell-by-Cell Model T2 - Workshop Biosignals 2024 N2 - Cardiac electrograms are an important tool to study the spread of excitation waves inside the heart, which in turn underlie muscle contraction. Electrograms can be used to analyse the dynamics of these waves, e.g. in fibrotic tissue. In computational models, these analyses can be done with greater detail than during minimally invasive in vivo procedures. Whilst homogenised models have been used to study electrogram genesis, such analyses have not yet been done in cellularly resolved models. Such high resolution may be required to develop a thorough understanding of the mechanisms behind abnormal excitation patterns leading to arrhythmias. In this study, we derived electrograms from an excitation propagation simulation in the Extracellular, Membrane, Intracellular (EMI) model, which represents these three domains explicitly in the mesh. We studied the effects of the microstructural excitation dynamics on electrogram genesis and morphology. We found that electrograms are sensitive to the myocyte alignment and connectivity, which translates into micro-fractionations in the electrograms. Y1 - 2024 U6 - https://doi.org/10.47952/gro-publ-194 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Andrés Arcones, Daniel A1 - Weiser, Martin A1 - Koutsourelakis, Phaedon-Stelios A1 - Unger, Jörg F. T1 - Bias Identification Approaches for Model Updating of Simulation-based Digital Twins of Bridges JF - Structural Health Monitoring in the Light of Climate Impact and Data Science. Research and Review Journal of Nondestructive Testing N2 - Simulation-based digital twins of bridges have the potential not only to serve as monitoring devices of the current state of the structure but also to generate new knowledge through physical predictions that allow for better-informed decisionmaking. For an accurate representation of the bridge, the underlying models must be tuned to reproduce the real system. Nevertheless, the necessary assumptions and simplifications in these models irremediably introduce discrepancies between measurements and model response. We will show that quantifying the extent of the uncertainties introduced through the models that lead to such discrepancies provides a better understanding of the real system, enhances the model updating process, and creates more robust and trustworthy digital twins. The inclusion of an explicit bias term will be applied to a representative demonstrator case based on the thermal response of the Nibelungenbrücke of Worms. The findings from this work are englobed in the initiative SPP 100+, whose main aim is the extension of the service life of structures, especially through the implementation of digital twins. Y1 - 2024 U6 - https://doi.org/10.58286/30524 VL - 2 IS - 2 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Villani, Paolo A1 - Weiser, Martin T1 - Adaptive Gaussian process regression for inverse problems. ALGORITMY 2024 N2 - This submission contains the code used for the proceedings paper for ALGORITMY 2024, concerning surrogate model-based inverse problems. Version 2 modified plot appearances and fixed some minor typos. Y1 - 2024 ER - TY - CHAP A1 - Villani, Paolo A1 - Unger, Jörg F. A1 - Weiser, Martin T1 - Adaptive Gaussian Process Regression for Bayesian inverse problems T2 - Proceedings of the Conference Algoritmy 2024 N2 - We introduce a novel adaptive Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) methodology for efficient construction of surrogate models for Bayesian inverse problems with expensive forward model evaluations. An adaptive design strategy focuses on optimizing both the positioning and simulation accuracy of training data in order to reduce the computational cost of simulating training data without compromising the fidelity of the posterior distributions of parameters. The method interleaves a goal-oriented active learning algorithm selecting evaluation points and tolerances based on the expected impact on the Kullback-Leibler divergence of surrogated and true posterior with a Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling of the posterior. The performance benefit of the adaptive approach is demonstrated for two simple test problems. Y1 - 2024 SP - 214 EP - 224 ER -