TY - JOUR A1 - Koltai, Peter A1 - Ciccotti, Giovanni A1 - Schütte, Christof T1 - On Markov state models for non-equilibrium molecular dynamics JF - The Journal of Chemical Physics Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4966157 N1 - 2016 Editor's Choice of The Journal of Chemical Physics VL - 145 IS - 174103 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Bittracher, Andreas A1 - Koltai, Péter A1 - Klus, Stefan A1 - Banisch, Ralf A1 - Dellnitz, Michael A1 - Schütte, Christof T1 - Transition manifolds of complex metastable systems: Theory and data-driven computation of effective dynamics N2 - We consider complex dynamical systems showing metastable behavior but no local separation of fast and slow time scales. The article raises the question of whether such systems exhibit a low-dimensional manifold supporting its effective dynamics. For answering this question, we aim at finding nonlinear coordinates, called reaction coordinates, such that the projection of the dynamics onto these coordinates preserves the dominant time scales of the dynamics. We show that, based on a specific reducibility property, the existence of good low-dimensional reaction coordinates preserving the dominant time scales is guaranteed. Based on this theoretical framework, we develop and test a novel numerical approach for computing good reaction coordinates. The proposed algorithmic approach is fully local and thus not prone to the curse of dimension with respect to the state space of the dynamics. Hence, it is a promising method for data-based model reduction of complex dynamical systems such as molecular dynamics. T3 - ZIB-Report - 17-22 KW - metastability KW - slow dynamics KW - effective dynamics KW - transition manifold KW - embedding KW - transfer operator KW - reaction coordinate Y1 - 2017 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-63822 SN - 1438-0064 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Koltai, Péter A1 - Schütte, Christof T1 - A multi scale perturbation expansion approach for Markov state modeling of non-stationary molecular dynamics N2 - We investigate metastable dynamical systems subject to non-stationary forcing as they appear in molecular dynamics for systems driven by external fields. We show, that if the strength of the forcing is inversely proportional to the length of the slow metastable time scales of the unforced system, then the effective behavior of the forced system on slow time scales can be described by a low-dimensional reduced master equation. Our construction is explicit and uses the multiscale perturbation expansion method called two-timing, or method of multiple scales. The reduced master equation—a Markov state model—can be assembled by constructing two equilibrium Markov state models; one for the unforced system, and one for a slightly perturbed one. T3 - ZIB-Report - 17-49 KW - Markov state model KW - non-equilibrium molecular dynamics KW - two timescale master equation KW - non-stationary forcing KW - metastability Y1 - 2017 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-64868 SN - 1438-0064 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Koltai, Peter A1 - Ciccotti, Giovanni A1 - Schütte, Christof T1 - On metastability and Markov state models for non-stationary molecular dynamics BT - 2016 Editor's Choice of The Journal of Chemical Physics T2 - The Journal of Chemical Physics N2 - We utilize the theory of coherent sets to build Markov state models for non- equilibrium molecular dynamical systems. Unlike for systems in equilibrium, “meta- stable” sets in the non-equilibrium case may move as time evolves. We formalize this concept by relying on the theory of coherent sets, based on this we derive finite-time non-stationary Markov state models, and illustrate the concept and its main differences to equilibrium Markov state modeling on simple, one-dimensional examples. T3 - ZIB-Report - 16-11 KW - coherent set, KW - Markov state model KW - non-equilibrium molecular dynamics KW - metastability Y1 - 2016 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-57869 SN - 1438-0064 VL - 174103 ET - 145 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Fackeldey, Konstantin A1 - Koltai, Péter A1 - Névir, Peter A1 - Rust, Henning A1 - Schild, Axel A1 - Weber, Marcus T1 - From Metastable to Coherent Sets - time-discretization schemes N2 - Given a time-dependent stochastic process with trajectories x(t) in a space $\Omega$, there may be sets such that the corresponding trajectories only very rarely cross the boundaries of these sets. We can analyze such a process in terms of metastability or coherence. Metastable sets M are defined in space $M\subset\Omega$, coherent sets $M(t)\subset\Omega$ are defined in space and time. Hence, if we extend the space by the time-variable t, coherent sets are metastable sets in $\Omega\times[0,\infty]$. This relation can be exploited, because there already exist spectral algorithms for the identification of metastable sets. In this article we show that these well-established spectral algorithms (like PCCA+) also identify coherent sets of non-autonomous dynamical systems. For the identification of coherent sets, one has to compute a discretization (a matrix T) of the transfer operator of the process using a space-timediscretization scheme. The article gives an overview about different time-discretization schemes and shows their applicability in two different fields of application. T3 - ZIB-Report - 17-74 Y1 - 2017 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-66074 SN - 1438-0064 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wulkow, Niklas A1 - Koltai, Péter A1 - Sunkara, Vikram A1 - Schütte, Christof T1 - Data-driven modelling of nonlinear dynamics by barycentric coordinates and memory JF - J. Stat. Phys. N2 - We present a numerical method to model dynamical systems from data. We use the recently introduced method Scalable Probabilistic Approximation (SPA) to project points from a Euclidean space to convex polytopes and represent these projected states of a system in new, lower-dimensional coordinates denoting their position in the polytope. We then introduce a specific nonlinear transformation to construct a model of the dynamics in the polytope and to transform back into the original state space. To overcome the potential loss of information from the projection to a lower-dimensional polytope, we use memory in the sense of the delay-embedding theorem of Takens. By construction, our method produces stable models. We illustrate the capacity of the method to reproduce even chaotic dynamics and attractors with multiple connected components on various examples. Y1 - 2021 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - von Lindheim, Johannes A1 - Harikrishnan, Abhishek A1 - Dörffel, Tom A1 - Klein, Rupert A1 - Koltai, Peter A1 - Mikula, Natalia A1 - Müller, Annette A1 - Névir, Peter A1 - Pacey, George A1 - Polzin, Robert A1 - Vercauteren, Nikki T1 - Definition, detection and tracking of persistent structures in atmospheric flows JF - arXiv N2 - Long-lived flow patterns in the atmosphere such as weather fronts, mid-latitude blockings or tropical cyclones often induce extreme weather conditions. As a consequence, their description, detection, and tracking has received increasing attention in recent years. Similar objectives also arise in diverse fields such as turbulence and combustion research, image analysis, and medical diagnostics under the headlines of "feature tracking", "coherent structure detection" or "image registration" - to name just a few. A host of different approaches to addressing the underlying, often very similar, tasks have been developed and successfully used. Here, several typical examples of such approaches are summarized, further developed and applied to meteorological data sets. Common abstract operational steps form the basis for a unifying framework for the specification of "persistent structures" involving the definition of the physical state of a system, the features of interest, and means of measuring their persistence. Y1 - 2021 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Bittracher, Andreas A1 - Mollenhauer, Mattes A1 - Koltai, Péter A1 - Schütte, Christof T1 - Optimal Reaction Coordinates: Variational Characterization and Sparse Computation JF - Multiscale Modelling & Simulation N2 - Reaction coordinates (RCs) are indicators of hidden, low-dimensional mechanisms that govern the long-term behavior of high-dimensional stochastic processes. We present a novel and general variational characterization of optimal RCs and provide conditions for their existence. Optimal RCs are minimizers of a certain loss function, and reduced models based on them guarantee a good approximation of the statistical long-term properties of the original high-dimensional process. We show that for slow-fast systems, metastable systems, and other systems with known good RCs, the novel theory reproduces previous insight. Remarkably, for reversible systems, the numerical effort required to evaluate the loss function scales only with the variability of the underlying, low-dimensional mechanism, and not with that of the full system. The theory provided lays the foundation for an efficient and data-sparse computation of RCs via modern machine learning techniques. Y1 - 2023 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1137/21M1448367 VL - 21 IS - 2 SP - 449 EP - 488 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Mollenhauer, Mattes A1 - Klus, Stefan A1 - Schütte, Christof A1 - Koltai, Péter T1 - Kernel Autocovariance Operators of Stationary Processes: Estimation and Convergence JF - Journal of Machine Learning Research N2 - We consider autocovariance operators of a stationary stochastic process on a Polish space that is embedded into a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. We investigate how empirical estimates of these operators converge along realizations of the process under various conditions. In particular, we examine ergodic and strongly mixing processes and obtain several asymptotic results as well as finite sample error bounds. We provide applications of our theory in terms of consistency results for kernel PCA with dependent data and the conditional mean embedding of transition probabilities. Finally, we use our approach to examine the nonparametric estimation of Markov transition operators and highlight how our theory can give a consistency analysis for a large family of spectral analysis methods including kernel-based dynamic mode decomposition. Y1 - 2022 UR - https://jmlr.org/papers/v23/20-442.html VL - 23 IS - 327 SP - 1 EP - 34 ER - TY - CHAP A1 - Lücke, Marvin A1 - Koltai, Peter A1 - Winkelmann, Stefanie A1 - Molkethin, Nora A1 - Heitzig, Jobst T1 - Discovering collective variable dynamics of agent-based models T2 - 25th International Symposium on Mathematical Theory of Networks and Systems MTNS 2022 N2 - Analytical approximations of the macroscopic behavior of agent-based models (e.g. via mean-field theory) often introduce a significant error, especially in the transient phase. For an example model called continuous-time noisy voter model, we use two data-driven approaches to learn the evolution of collective variables instead. The first approach utilizes the SINDy method to approximate the macroscopic dynamics without prior knowledge, but has proven itself to be not particularly robust. The second approach employs an informed learning strategy which includes knowledge about the agent-based model. Both approaches exhibit a considerably smaller error than the conventional analytical approximation. Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.15495/EPub_UBT_00006809 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Lücke, Marvin A1 - Winkelmann, Stefanie A1 - Heitzig, Jobst A1 - Molkenthin, Nora A1 - Koltai, Péter T1 - Learning interpretable collective variables for spreading processes on networks JF - Physical Review E N2 - Collective variables (CVs) are low-dimensional projections of high-dimensional system states. They are used to gain insights into complex emergent dynamical behaviors of processes on networks. The relation between CVs and network measures is not well understood and its derivation typically requires detailed knowledge of both the dynamical system and the network topology. In this Letter, we present a data-driven method for algorithmically learning and understanding CVs for binary-state spreading processes on networks of arbitrary topology. We demonstrate our method using four example networks: the stochastic block model, a ring-shaped graph, a random regular graph, and a scale-free network generated by the Albert-Barabási model. Our results deliver evidence for the existence of low-dimensional CVs even in cases that are not yet understood theoretically. Y1 - 2024 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.109.L022301 VL - 109 IS - 2 SP - L022301 ER -