TY - JOUR A1 - Hanik, Martin A1 - Demirtaş, Mehmet Arif A1 - Gharsallaoui, Mohammed Amine A1 - Rekik, Islem T1 - Predicting cognitive scores with graph neural networks through sample selection learning JF - Brain Imaging and Behavior N2 - Analyzing the relation between intelligence and neural activity is of the utmost importance in understanding the working principles of the human brain in health and disease. In existing literature, functional brain connectomes have been used successfully to predict cognitive measures such as intelligence quotient (IQ) scores in both healthy and disordered cohorts using machine learning models. However, existing methods resort to flattening the brain connectome (i.e., graph) through vectorization which overlooks its topological properties. To address this limitation and inspired from the emerging graph neural networks (GNNs), we design a novel regression GNN model (namely RegGNN) for predicting IQ scores from brain connectivity. On top of that, we introduce a novel, fully modular sample selection method to select the best samples to learn from for our target prediction task. However, since such deep learning architectures are computationally expensive to train, we further propose a \emph{learning-based sample selection} method that learns how to choose the training samples with the highest expected predictive power on unseen samples. For this, we capitalize on the fact that connectomes (i.e., their adjacency matrices) lie in the symmetric positive definite (SPD) matrix cone. Our results on full-scale and verbal IQ prediction outperforms comparison methods in autism spectrum disorder cohorts and achieves a competitive performance for neurotypical subjects using 3-fold cross-validation. Furthermore, we show that our sample selection approach generalizes to other learning-based methods, which shows its usefulness beyond our GNN architecture. Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s11682-021-00585-7 VL - 16 SP - 1123 EP - 1138 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Yokoyama, Ryohei A1 - Kamada, Hiroki A1 - Shinano, Yuji A1 - Wakui, Tetsuya T1 - A hierarchical optimization approach to robust design of energy supply systems based on a mixed-integer linear model JF - Energy N2 - In designing energy supply systems, designers should heighten the robustness in performance criteria against the uncertainty in energy demands. In this paper, a robust optimal design method using a hierarchical mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) method is proposed to maximize the robustness of energy supply systems under uncertain energy demands based on a mixed-integer linear model. A robust optimal design problem is formulated as a three-level min-max-min MILP one by expressing uncertain energy demands by intervals, evaluating the robustness in a performance criterion based on the minimax regret criterion, and considering relationships among integer design variables, uncertain energy demands, and integer and continuous operation variables. This problem is solved by evaluating upper and lower bounds for the minimum of the maximum regret of the performance criterion repeatedly outside, and evaluating lower and upper bounds for the maximum regret repeatedly inside. Different types of optimization problems are solved by applying a hierarchical MILP method developed for ordinary optimal design problems without and with its modifications. In a case study, the proposed approach is applied to the robust optimal design of a cogeneration system. Through the study, its validity and effectiveness are ascertained, and some features of the obtained robust designs are clarified. Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.120343 VL - 229 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Le, Thi Thai A1 - Fukumoto, Yasuhide T1 - Effect of depth discontinuity on interfacial stability of tangential-velocity discontinuity in shallow-water flow JF - Physics Letters A N2 - It is well known as the Kelvin-Helmholtz instability (KHI) that an interface of tangential velocity discontinuity is necessarily unstable, regardless of the velocity difference's strength. However, the KHI is suppressed for shallow water flows if the Froude number, defined by the ratio of the velocity difference to the gravity wave's speed, is sufficiently large. In this investigation, we examine the effect of the depth difference of two fluid layers on the KHI. The depth difference enhances instability. Given the Froude number in the instability range, the growth rate sensitively depends on the depth ratio and increases monotonically with the depth ratio difference from unity. The critical value of the Froude number for stabilization varies with the depth ratio and attains the minimum value √8 for equal depth. This behavior is verified by asymptotic analysis. Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physleta.2022.128073 VL - 436 SP - 128073 PB - ELSEVIER ER - TY - GEN A1 - Petkovic, Milena A1 - Zakiyeva, Nazgul A1 - Zittel, Janina T1 - Statistical analysis and modeling for detecting regime changes in gas nomination time series N2 - As a result of the legislation for gas markets introduced by the European Union in 2005, separate independent companies have to conduct the transport and trading of natural gas. The current gas market of Germany, which has a market value of more than 54 billion USD, consists of Transmission System Operators (TSO), network users, and traders. Traders can nominate a certain amount of gas anytime and anywhere in the network. Such unrestricted access for the traders, on the other hand, increase the uncertainty in the gas supply management. Some customers’ behaviors may cause abrupt structural changes in gas flow time series. In particular, it is a challenging task for the TSO operators to predict gas nominations 6 to 10 hours ahead. In our study, we aim to investigate the regime changes in the time series of nominations to predict the 6 to 10 hours ahead of gas nominations. T3 - ZIB-Report - 21-22 KW - Time series Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-82988 SN - 1438-0064 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Zakiyeva, Nazgul A1 - Petkovic, Milena T1 - Modeling and forecasting gas network flows with multivariate time series and mathematical programming approach N2 - With annual consumption of approx. 95 billion cubic me-ters and similar amounts of gas just transshipped through Germany toother EU states, Germany’s gas transport system plays a vital role inEuropean energy supply. The complex, more than 40,000 km long high-pressure transmission network is controlled by several transmission sys-tem operators (TSOs) whose main task is to provide security of supplyin a cost-efficient way. Given the slow speed of gas flows through the gastransmission network pipelines, it has been an essential task for the gasnetwork operators to enhance the forecast tools to build an accurate andeffective gas flow prediction model for the whole network. By incorpo-rating the recent progress in mathematical programming and time seriesmodeling, we aim to model natural gas network and predict gas in- andout-flows at multiple supply and demand nodes for different forecastinghorizons. Our model is able to describe the dynamics in the network bydetecting the key nodes, which may help to build an optimal manage-ment strategy for transmission system operators. T3 - ZIB-Report - 21-23 Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-82966 SN - 1438-0064 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Petkovic, Milena A1 - Koch, Thorsten A1 - Zittel, Janina T1 - Deep learning for spatio-temporal supply anddemand forecasting in natural gas transmission networks JF - Energy Science and Engineering N2 - Germany is the largest market for natural gas in the European Union, with an annual consumption of approx. 95 billion cubic meters. Germany's high-pressure gas pipeline network is roughly 40,000 km long, which enables highly fluctuating quantities of gas to be transported safely over long distances. Considering that similar amounts of gas are also transshipped through Germany to other EU states, it is clear that Germany's gas transport system is essential to the European energy supply. Since the average velocity of gas in a pipeline is only 25km/h, an adequate high-precision, high-frequency forecasting of supply and demand is crucial for efficient control and operation of such a transmission network. We propose a deep learning model based on spatio-temporal convolutional neural networks (DLST) to tackle the problem of gas flow forecasting in a complex high-pressure transmission network. Experiments show that our model effectively captures comprehensive spatio-temporal correlations through modeling gas networks and consistently outperforms state-of-the-art benchmarks on real-world data sets by at least 21%. The results demonstrate that the proposed model can deal with complex nonlinear gas network flow forecasting with high accuracy and effectiveness. Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1002/ese3.932 ER - TY - CHAP A1 - Schwarz, R. A1 - Lacalandra, F. A1 - Schewe, L. A1 - Bettinelli, A. A1 - Vigo, D. A1 - Bischi, A. A1 - Parriani, T. A1 - Martelli, E. A1 - Vuik, K. A1 - Lenz, R. A1 - Madsen, H. A1 - Blanco, I. A1 - Guericke, D. A1 - Yüksel-Ergün, I. A1 - Zittel, J. T1 - Network and Storage T2 - Mathematical Optimization for Efficient and Robust Energy Networks N2 - Natural gas is considered by many to be the most important energy source for the future. The objectives of energy commodities strategic problems can be mainly related to natural gas and deal with the definition of the “optimal” gas pipelines design which includes a number of related sub problems such as: Gas stations (compression) location and Gas storage locations, as well as compression station design and optimal operation. Y1 - 2020 SN - 978-3-030-57442-0 U6 - https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-57442-0_6 VL - 4 PB - Springer ER - TY - GEN A1 - Pedersen, Jaap A1 - Hoppmann-Baum, Kai A1 - Zittel, Janina A1 - Koch, Thorsten T1 - Blending hydrogen into natural gas: An assessment of the capacity of the German gas grid; Technical Report N2 - In the transition towards a pure hydrogen infrastructure, utilizing the existing natural gas infrastructure is a necessity. In this study, the maximal technically feasible injection of hydrogen into the existing German natural gas transmission network is analysed with respect to regulatory limits regarding the gas quality. We propose a transient tracking model based on the general pooling problem including linepack. The analysis is conducted using real-world hourly gas flow data on a network of about 10,000 km length. T3 - ZIB-Report - 21-21 Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-82838 SN - 1438-0064 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Tateiwa, Nariaki A1 - Shinano, Yuji A1 - Yamamura, Keiichiro A1 - Yoshida, Akihiro A1 - Kaji, Shizuo A1 - Yasuda, Masaya A1 - Fujisawa, Katsuki T1 - CMAP-LAP: Configurable Massively Parallel Solver for Lattice Problems N2 - Lattice problems are a class of optimization problems that are notably hard. There are no classical or quantum algorithms known to solve these problems efficiently. Their hardness has made lattices a major cryptographic primitive for post-quantum cryptography. Several different approaches have been used for lattice problems with different computational profiles; some suffer from super-exponential time, and others require exponential space. This motivated us to develop a novel lattice problem solver, CMAP-LAP, based on the clever coordination of different algorithms that run massively in parallel. With our flexible framework, heterogeneous modules run asynchronously in parallel on a large-scale distributed system while exchanging information, which drastically boosts the overall performance. We also implement full checkpoint-and-restart functionality, which is vital to high-dimensional lattice problems. Through numerical experiments with up to 103,680 cores, we evaluated the performance and stability of our system and demonstrated its high capability for future massive-scale experiments. T3 - ZIB-Report - 21-16 KW - Discrete optimization KW - Lattice problem KW - Lattice-based cryptography KW - Shortest vector problem KW - Parallel algorithms KW - Ubiquity Generator Framework Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-82802 SN - 1438-0064 N1 - Revised version is accepted to HiPC 2021 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Alzaatreh, Ayman A1 - Aljarrah, Mohammad A1 - Almagambetova, Ayanna A1 - Zakiyeva, Nazgul T1 - On the Regression Model for Generalized Normal Distributions JF - Entropy N2 - The traditional linear regression model that assumes normal residuals is applied extensively in engineering and science. However, the normality assumption of the model residuals is often ineffective. This drawback can be overcome by using a generalized normal regression model that assumes a non-normal response. In this paper, we propose regression models based on generalizations of the normal distribution. The proposed regression models can be used effectively in modeling data with a highly skewed response. Furthermore, we study in some details the structural properties of the proposed generalizations of the normal distribution. The maximum likelihood method is used for estimating the parameters of the proposed method. The performance of the maximum likelihood estimators in estimating the distributional parameters is assessed through a small simulation study. Applications to two real datasets are given to illustrate the flexibility and the usefulness of the proposed distributions and their regression models. Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.3390/e23020173 VL - 23 IS - 2 SP - 173 ER -