@article{LueckeHeitzigKoltaietal.2023, author = {L{\"u}cke, Marvin and Heitzig, Jobst and Koltai, P{\´e}ter and Molkethin, Nora and Winkelmann, Stefanie}, title = {Large population limits of Markov processes on random networks}, volume = {166}, journal = {Stochastic Processes and their Applications}, arxiv = {http://arxiv.org/abs/2210.02934}, doi = {10.1016/j.spa.2023.09.007}, year = {2023}, abstract = {We consider time-continuous Markovian discrete-state dynamics on random networks of interacting agents and study the large population limit. The dynamics are projected onto low-dimensional collective variables given by the shares of each discrete state in the system, or in certain subsystems, and general conditions for the convergence of the collective variable dynamics to a mean-field ordinary differential equation are proved. We discuss the convergence to this mean-field limit for a continuous-time noisy version of the so-called "voter model" on Erdős-R{\´e}nyi random graphs, on the stochastic block model, as well as on random regular graphs. Moreover, a heterogeneous population of agents is studied. For each of these types of interaction networks, we specify the convergence conditions in dependency on the corresponding model parameters.}, language = {en} } @article{SteudleWinkelmannFuerstetal.2024, author = {Steudle, Gesine and Winkelmann, Stefanie and F{\"u}rst, Steffen and Wolf, Sarah}, title = {Understanding Memory Mechanisms in Socio-Technical Systems: the Case of an Agent-based Mobility Model}, volume = {27}, journal = {Advances in Complex Systems}, doi = {10.1142/S0219525924400034}, year = {2024}, abstract = {This paper explores memory mechanisms in complex socio-technical systems, using a mobility demand model as an example case. We simplified a large-scale agent-based mobility model into a Markov process and discover that the mobility decision process is non-Markovian. This is due to its dependence on the system's history, including social structure and local infrastructure, which evolve based on prior mobility decisions. To make the process Markovian, we extend the state space by incorporating two history-dependent components. Although our model is a very much reduced version of the original one, it remains too complex for the application of usual analytic methods. Instead, we employ simulations to examine the functionalities of the two history-dependent components. We think that the structure of the analyzed stochastic process is exemplary for many socio-technical, -economic, -ecological systems. Additionally, it exhibits analogies with the framework of extended evolution, which has previously been used to study cultural evolution.}, language = {en} } @article{BoltzSirbuStelzeretal.2022, author = {Boltz, Horst-Holger and Sirbu, Alexei and Stelzer, Nina and de Lanerolle, Primal and Winkelmann, Stefanie and Annibale, Paolo}, title = {The Impact of Membrane Protein Diffusion on GPCR Signaling}, volume = {11}, journal = {Cells}, number = {10}, doi = {10.3390/cells11101660}, pages = {1660}, year = {2022}, abstract = {Spatiotemporal signal shaping in G protein-coupled receptor (GPCR) signaling is now a well-established and accepted notion to explain how signaling specificity can be achieved by a superfamily sharing only a handful of downstream second messengers. Dozens of Gs-coupled GPCR signals ultimately converge on the production of cAMP, a ubiquitous second messenger. This idea is almost always framed in terms of local concentrations, the differences in which are maintained by means of spatial separation. However, given the dynamic nature of the reaction-diffusion processes at hand, the dynamics, in particular the local diffusional properties of the receptors and their cognate G proteins, are also important. By combining some first principle considerations, simulated data, and experimental data of the receptors diffusing on the membranes of living cells, we offer a short perspective on the modulatory role of local membrane diffusion in regulating GPCR-mediated cell signaling. Our analysis points to a diffusion-limited regime where the effective production rate of activated G protein scales linearly with the receptor-G protein complex's relative diffusion rate and to an interesting role played by the membrane geometry in modulating the efficiency of coupling}, language = {en} } @article{EngelOliconMendezWehlitzetal.2024, author = {Engel, Maximilian and Olic{\´o}n-M{\´e}ndez, Guillermo and Wehlitz, Nathalie and Winkelmann, Stefanie}, title = {Synchronization and random attractors in reaction jump processes}, journal = {Journal of Dynamics and Differential Equations}, arxiv = {http://arxiv.org/abs/2207.00602}, doi = {10.1007/s10884-023-10345-4}, year = {2024}, abstract = {This work explores a synchronization-like phenomenon induced by common noise for continuous-time Markov jump processes given by chemical reaction networks. Based on Gillespie's stochastic simulation algorithm, a corresponding random dynamical system is formulated in a two-step procedure, at first for the states of the embedded discrete-time Markov chain and then for the augmented Markov chain including random jump times. We uncover a time-shifted synchronization in the sense that—after some initial waiting time—one trajectory exactly replicates another one with a certain time delay. Whether or not such a synchronization behavior occurs depends on the combination of the initial states. We prove this partial time-shifted synchronization for the special setting of a birth-death process by analyzing the corresponding two-point motion of the embedded Markov chain and determine the structure of the associated random attractor. In this context, we also provide general results on existence and form of random attractors for discrete-time, discrete-space random dynamical systems.}, language = {en} } @article{LueckeWinkelmannKoltai2026, author = {L{\"u}cke, Marvin and Winkelmann, Stefanie and Koltai, Peter}, title = {Accurate mean-field equation for voter model dynamics on scale-free networks}, volume = {113}, journal = {Physical Review E}, arxiv = {http://arxiv.org/abs/2509.13485}, doi = {10.1103/vkpx-5cvt}, pages = {034311}, year = {2026}, abstract = {Understanding the emergent macroscopic behavior of dynamical systems on networks is a crucial but challenging task. One of the simplest and most effective methods to construct a reduced macroscopic model is given by mean-field theory. The resulting approximations perform well on dense and homogeneous networks but poorly on scale-free networks, which, however, are more realistic in many applications. In this paper, we introduce a modified version of the mean-field approximation for voter model dynamics on scale-free networks. The two main deviations from classical theory are that we use degree-weighted shares as coarse variables and that we introduce a correlation factor that can be interpreted as slowing down dynamics induced by interactions. We observe that the correlation factor is only a property of the network and not of the state or of parameters of the process. This approach achieves a significantly smaller approximation error than standard methods without increasing dimensionality.}, language = {en} } @article{WehlitzPavliotisSchuetteetal.2026, author = {Wehlitz, Nathalie and Pavliotis, Grigorios and Sch{\"u}tte, Christof and Winkelmann, Stefanie}, title = {Data-driven Reduction of Transfer Operators for Particle Clustering Dynamics}, arxiv = {http://arxiv.org/abs/2601.02932}, year = {2026}, abstract = {We develop an operator-based framework to coarse-grain interacting particle systems that exhibit clustering dynamics. Starting from the particle-based transfer operator, we first construct a sequence of reduced representations: the operator is projected onto concentrations and then further reduced by representing the concentration dynamics on a geometric low-dimensional manifold and an adapted finite-state discretization. The resulting coarse-grained transfer operator is finally estimated from dynamical simulation data by inferring the transition probabilities between the Markov states. Applied to systems with multichromatic and Morse interaction potentials, the reduced model reproduces key features of the clustering process, including transitions between cluster configurations and the emergence of metastable states. Spectral analysis and transition-path analysis of the estimated operator reveal implied time scales and dominant transition pathways, providing an interpretable and efficient description of particle-clustering dynamics.}, language = {en} }