@article{WulkowKoltaiSchuette2021, author = {Wulkow, Niklas and Koltai, P{\´e}ter and Sch{\"u}tte, Christof}, title = {Memory-Based Reduced Modelling and Data-Based Estimation of Opinion Spreading}, volume = {31}, journal = {Journal of Nonlinear Science}, doi = {10.1007/s00332-020-09673-2}, year = {2021}, abstract = {We investigate opinion dynamics based on an agent-based model and are interested in predicting the evolution of the percentages of the entire agent population that share an opinion. Since these opinion percentages can be seen as an aggregated observation of the full system state, the individual opinions of each agent, we view this in the framework of the Mori-Zwanzig projection formalism. More specifically, we show how to estimate a nonlinear autoregressive model (NAR) with memory from data given by a time series of opinion percentages, and discuss its prediction capacities for various specific topologies of the agent interaction network. We demonstrate that the inclusion of memory terms significantly improves the prediction quality on examples with different network topologies.}, language = {en} } @misc{Wulkow2017, type = {Master Thesis}, author = {Wulkow, Niklas}, title = {Modelling the Spread of Innovations by a Markov Process in a Bayesian Framework}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-66869}, year = {2017}, language = {en} } @article{DjurdjevacConradFuerstenauGrabundzijaetal.2018, author = {Djurdjevac Conrad, Natasa and Fuerstenau, Daniel and Grabundzija, Ana and Helfmann, Luzie and Park, Martin and Schier, Wolfram and Sch{\"u}tt, Brigitta and Sch{\"u}tte, Christof and Weber, Marcus and Wulkow, Niklas and Zonker, Johannes}, title = {Mathematical modeling of the spreading of innovations in the ancient world}, volume = {7}, journal = {eTopoi. Journal for Ancient Studies}, issn = {ISSN 2192-2608}, doi = {10.17171/4-7-1}, year = {2018}, language = {en} } @article{ConradGenzelCvetkovicetal.2017, author = {Conrad, Tim and Genzel, Martin and Cvetkovic, Nada and Wulkow, Niklas and Leichtle, Alexander Benedikt and Vybiral, Jan and Kytyniok, Gitta and Sch{\"u}tte, Christof}, title = {Sparse Proteomics Analysis - a compressed sensing-based approach for feature selection and classification of high-dimensional proteomics mass spectrometry data}, volume = {18}, journal = {BMC Bioinfomatics}, number = {160}, doi = {10.1186/s12859-017-1565-4}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Background: High-throughput proteomics techniques, such as mass spectrometry (MS)-based approaches, produce very high-dimensional data-sets. In a clinical setting one is often interested in how mass spectra differ between patients of different classes, for example spectra from healthy patients vs. spectra from patients having a particular disease. Machine learning algorithms are needed to (a) identify these discriminating features and (b) classify unknown spectra based on this feature set. Since the acquired data is usually noisy, the algorithms should be robust against noise and outliers, while the identified feature set should be as small as possible. Results: We present a new algorithm, Sparse Proteomics Analysis (SPA),based on thet heory of compressed sensing that allows us to identify a minimal discriminating set of features from mass spectrometry data-sets. We show (1) how our method performs on artificial and real-world data-sets, (2) that its performance is competitive with standard (and widely used) algorithms for analyzing proteomics data, and (3) that it is robust against random and systematic noise. We further demonstrate the applicability of our algorithm to two previously published clinical data-sets.}, language = {en} }