@misc{WeiserErdmannSchenkletal.2017, author = {Weiser, Martin and Erdmann, Bodo and Schenkl, Sebastian and Muggenthaler, Holger and Hubig, Michael and Mall, Gita and Zachow, Stefan}, title = {Uncertainty in Temperature-Based Determination of Time of Death}, issn = {1438-0064}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-63818}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Temperature-based estimation of time of death (ToD) can be per- formed either with the help of simple phenomenological models of corpse cooling or with detailed mechanistic (thermodynamic) heat transfer mod- els. The latter are much more complex, but allow a higher accuracy of ToD estimation as in principle all relevant cooling mechanisms can be taken into account. The potentially higher accuracy depends on the accuracy of tissue and environmental parameters as well as on the geometric resolution. We in- vestigate the impact of parameter variations and geometry representation on the estimated ToD based on a highly detailed 3D corpse model, that has been segmented and geometrically reconstructed from a computed to- mography (CT) data set, differentiating various organs and tissue types. From that we identify the most crucial parameters to measure or estimate, and obtain a local uncertainty quantifcation for the ToD.}, language = {en} } @misc{WeiserFreytagErdmannetal., author = {Weiser, Martin and Freytag, Yvonne and Erdmann, Bodo and Hubig, Michael and Mall, Gita}, title = {Optimal Design of Experiments for Estimating the Time of Death in Forensic Medicine}, issn = {1438-0064}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-67247}, abstract = {Estimation of time of death based on a single measurement of body core temperature is a standard procedure in forensic medicine. Mechanistic models using simulation of heat transport promise higher accuracy than established phenomenological models in particular in nonstandard situations, but involve many not exactly known physical parameters. Identifying both time of death and physical parameters from multiple temperature measurements is one possibility to reduce the uncertainty significantly. In this paper, we consider the inverse problem in a Bayesian setting and perform both local and sampling-based uncertainty quantification, where proper orthogonal decomposition is used as model reduction for fast solution of the forward model. Based on the local uncertainty quantification, optimal design of experiments is performed in order to minimize the uncertainty in the time of death estimate for a given number of measurements. For reasons of practicability, temperature acquisition points are selected from a set of candidates in different spatial and temporal locations. Applied to a real corpse model, a significant accuracy improvement is obtained already with a small number of measurements.}, language = {en} } @article{WeiserErdmannSchenkletal., author = {Weiser, Martin and Erdmann, Bodo and Schenkl, Sebastian and Muggenthaler, Holger and Hubig, Michael and Mall, Gita and Zachow, Stefan}, title = {Uncertainty in Temperature-Based Determination of Time of Death}, series = {Heat and Mass Transfer}, volume = {54}, journal = {Heat and Mass Transfer}, number = {9}, publisher = {Springer}, doi = {10.1007/s00231-018-2324-4}, pages = {2815 -- 2826}, abstract = {Temperature-based estimation of time of death (ToD) can be per- formed either with the help of simple phenomenological models of corpse cooling or with detailed mechanistic (thermodynamic) heat transfer mod- els. The latter are much more complex, but allow a higher accuracy of ToD estimation as in principle all relevant cooling mechanisms can be taken into account. The potentially higher accuracy depends on the accuracy of tissue and environmental parameters as well as on the geometric resolution. We in- vestigate the impact of parameter variations and geometry representation on the estimated ToD based on a highly detailed 3D corpse model, that has been segmented and geometrically reconstructed from a computed to- mography (CT) data set, differentiating various organs and tissue types.}, language = {en} } @article{SchenklMuggenthalerHubigetal.2017, author = {Schenkl, Sebastian and Muggenthaler, Holger and Hubig, Michael and Erdmann, Bodo and Weiser, Martin and Zachow, Stefan and Heinrich, Andreas and G{\"u}ttler, Felix Victor and Teichgr{\"a}ber, Ulf and Mall, Gita}, title = {Automatic CT-based finite element model generation for temperature-based death time estimation: feasibility study and sensitivity analysis}, series = {International Journal of Legal Medicine}, volume = {131}, journal = {International Journal of Legal Medicine}, number = {3}, doi = {doi:10.1007/s00414-016-1523-0}, pages = {699 -- 712}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Temperature based death time estimation is based either on simple phenomenological models of corpse cooling or on detailed physical heat transfer models. The latter are much more complex, but allow a higher accuracy of death time estimation as in principle all relevant cooling mechanisms can be taken into account. Here, a complete work flow for finite element based cooling simulation models is presented. The following steps are demonstrated on CT-phantoms: • CT-scan • Segmentation of the CT images for thermodynamically relevant features of individual geometries • Conversion of the segmentation result into a Finite Element (FE) simulation model • Computation of the model cooling curve • Calculation of the cooling time For the first time in FE-based cooling time estimation the steps from the CT image over segmentation to FE model generation are semi-automatically performed. The cooling time calculation results are compared to cooling measurements performed on the phantoms under controlled conditions. In this context, the method is validated using different CTphantoms. Some of the CT phantoms thermodynamic material parameters had to be experimentally determined via independent experiments. Moreover the impact of geometry and material parameter uncertainties on the estimated cooling time is investigated by a sensitivity analysis.}, language = {en} } @article{WeiserFreytagErdmannetal., author = {Weiser, Martin and Freytag, Yvonne and Erdmann, Bodo and Hubig, Michael and Mall, Gita}, title = {Optimal Design of Experiments for Estimating the Time of Death in Forensic Medicine}, series = {Inverse Problems}, volume = {34}, journal = {Inverse Problems}, number = {12}, doi = {10.1088/1361-6420/aae7a5}, pages = {125005}, abstract = {Estimation of time of death based on a single measurement of body core temperature is a standard procedure in forensic medicine. Mechanistic models using simulation of heat transport promise higher accuracy than established phenomenological models in particular in nonstandard situations, but involve many not exactly known physical parameters. Identifying both time of death and physical parameters from multiple temperature measurements is one possibility to reduce the uncertainty significantly. In this paper, we consider the inverse problem in a Bayesian setting and perform both local and sampling-based uncertainty quantification, where proper orthogonal decomposition is used as model reduction for fast solution of the forward model. Based on the local uncertainty quantification, optimal design of experiments is performed in order to minimize the uncertainty in the time of death estimate for a given number of measurements. For reasons of practicability, temperature acquisition points are selected from a set of candidates in different spatial and temporal locations. Applied to a real corpse model, a significant accuracy improvement is obtained already with a small number of measurements.}, language = {en} }