@inproceedings{BroseFuegenschuhGausemeieretal., author = {Brose, Achim and F{\"u}genschuh, Armin and Gausemeier, Pia and Vierhaus, Ingmar and Seliger, G{\"u}nther}, title = {A System Dynamic Enhancement for the Scenario Technique}, series = {Proc. 11th Global Conference on Sustainable Manufacturing}, booktitle = {Proc. 11th Global Conference on Sustainable Manufacturing}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag der TU Berlin}, address = {Berlin}, pages = {561 -- 566}, abstract = {The Scenario Technique is a strategic planning method that aims to describe and analyze potential developments of a considered system in the future. Its application consists of several steps, from an initial problem analysis over an influence analysis to projections of key factors and a definition of the scenarios to a final interpretation of the results. The technique itself combines qualitative and quantitative methods and is an enhancement of the standard Scenario Technique. We use the numerical values gathered during the influence analysis, and embed them in a System Dynamics framework. This yields a mathematically rigorous way to achieve predictions of the system's future behavior from an initial impulse and the feedback structure of the factors. The outcome of our new method is a further way of projecting the present into the future, which enables the user of the Scenario Technique to obtain a validation of the results achieved by the standard method.}, language = {en} } @misc{BroseFuegenschuhGausemeieretal., author = {Brose, Achim and F{\"u}genschuh, Armin and Gausemeier, Pia and Vierhaus, Ingmar and Seliger, G{\"u}nther}, title = {A System Dynamic Enhancement for the Scenario Technique}, issn = {1438-0064}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-18150}, abstract = {The Scenario Technique is a strategic planning method that aims to describe and analyze potential developments of a considered system in the future. Its application consists of several steps, from an initial problem analysis over an influence analysis to projections of key factors and a definition of the scenarios to a final interpretation of the results. The technique itself combines qualitative and quantitative methods and is an enhancement of the standard Scenario Technique. We use the numerical values gathered during the influence analysis, and embed them in a System Dynamics framework. This yields a mathematically rigorous way to achieve predictions of the system's future behavior from an initial impulse and the feedback structure of the factors. The outcome of our new method is a further way of projecting the present into the future, which enables the user of the Scenario Technique to obtain a validation of the results achieved by the standard method.}, language = {en} } @inproceedings{FuegenschuhGausemeierSeligeretal.2010, author = {F{\"u}genschuh, Armin and Gausemeier, Pia and Seliger, G{\"u}nther and Severengiz, Semih}, title = {Scenario Technique with Integer Programming for Sustainability in Manufacturing}, series = {8th International Heinz Nixdorf Symposium, Changing Paradigms}, booktitle = {8th International Heinz Nixdorf Symposium, Changing Paradigms}, editor = {Dangelmaier, W.}, pages = {320 -- 331}, year = {2010}, language = {en} } @inproceedings{GausemeierSeligerSchenkeretal., author = {Gausemeier, Pia and Seliger, G{\"u}nther and Schenker, Sebastian and Bornd{\"o}rfer, Ralf}, title = {Nachhaltige Technologiepfade f{\"u}r unterschiedliche Entwicklungsniveaus mithilfe mehrkriterieller Entscheidungsfindung}, series = {Vorausschau und Technologieplanung}, volume = {334}, booktitle = {Vorausschau und Technologieplanung}, isbn = {978-3-942647-53-3}, pages = {65 -- 94}, language = {de} } @inproceedings{SchenkerSteingrimssonBorndoerferetal., author = {Schenker, Sebastian and Steingr{\´i}msson, J{\´o}n Garðar and Bornd{\"o}rfer, Ralf and Seliger, G{\"u}nther}, title = {Modelling of Bicycle Manufacturing via Multi-criteria Mixed Integer Programming}, series = {Procedia CIRP}, volume = {26}, booktitle = {Procedia CIRP}, doi = {10.1016/j.procir.2014.07.068}, pages = {276 -- 280}, language = {en} }