@article{LorenzSpreenWolfBraunetal.2018, author = {Lorenz-Spreen, Philipp and Wolf, Frederik and Braun, Jonas and Ghoshal, Gourab and Djurdjevac Conrad, Natasa and H{\"o}vel, Philipp}, title = {Tracking online topics over time: understanding dynamic hashtag communities}, volume = {5}, journal = {Computational Social Networks}, number = {9}, doi = {10.1186/s40649-018-0058-6}, year = {2018}, abstract = {Background: Hashtags are widely used for communication in online media. As a condensed version of information, they characterize topics and discussions. For their analysis, we apply methods from network science and propose novel tools for tracing their dynamics in time-dependent data. The observations are characterized by bursty behaviors in the increases and decreases of hashtag usage. These features can be reproduced with a novel model of dynamic rankings. Hashtag communities in time: We build temporal and weighted co-occurrence networks from hashtags. On static snapshots, we infer the community structure using customized methods. On temporal networks, we solve the bipartite matching problem of detected communities at subsequent timesteps by taking into account higher-order memory. This results in a matching protocol that is robust toward temporal fluctuations and instabilities of the static community detection. The proposed methodology is broadly applicable and its outcomes reveal the temporal behavior of online topics. Modeling topic-dynamics: We consider the size of the communities in time as a proxy for online popularity dynamics. We find that the distributions of gains and losses, as well as the interevent times are fat-tailed indicating occasional, but large and sudden changes in the usage of hashtags. Inspired by typical website designs, we propose a stochastic model that incorporates a ranking with respect to a time-dependent prestige score. This causes occasional cascades of rank shift events and reproduces the observations with good agreement. This offers an explanation for the observed dynamics, based on characteristic elements of online media.}, language = {en} } @article{SarichDjurdjevacConradBruckneretal.2014, author = {Sarich, Marco and Djurdjevac Conrad, Natasa and Bruckner, Sharon and Conrad, Tim and Sch{\"u}tte, Christof}, title = {Modularity revisited: A novel dynamics-based concept for decomposing complex networks}, volume = {1}, journal = {Journal of Computational Dynamics}, number = {1}, doi = {10.3934/jcd.2014.1.191}, pages = {191 -- 212}, year = {2014}, language = {en} } @article{DjurdjevacConradBrucknerConradetal.2012, author = {Djurdjevac Conrad, Natasa and Bruckner, Stefanie and Conrad, Tim and Sch{\"u}tte, Christof}, title = {Random Walks on Complex Modular Networks}, volume = {6}, journal = {Journal of Numerical Analysis, Industrial and Applied Mathematics}, number = {1-2}, publisher = {European Society of Computational Methods in Sciences and Engineering}, pages = {29 -- 50}, year = {2012}, language = {en} } @article{DjurdjevacConradSarichSchuette2012, author = {Djurdjevac Conrad, Natasa and Sarich, Marco and Sch{\"u}tte, Christof}, title = {Estimating the eigenvalue error of Markov State Models}, volume = {10}, journal = {Multiscale Modeling \& Simulation}, number = {1}, doi = {10.1137/100798910}, pages = {61 -- 81}, year = {2012}, language = {en} } @inproceedings{DjurdjevacConradSarichSchuette2010, author = {Djurdjevac Conrad, Natasa and Sarich, Marco and Sch{\"u}tte, Christof}, title = {On Markov State Models for Metastable Processes}, booktitle = {Proceedings of the International Congress of Mathematics, Hyderabad, India, Section Invited Talks. (ICM) 2010}, year = {2010}, language = {en} } @article{DjurdjevacConradHelfmannZonkeretal.2018, author = {Djurdjevac Conrad, Natasa and Helfmann, Luzie and Zonker, Johannes and Winkelmann, Stefanie and Sch{\"u}tte, Christof}, title = {Human mobility and innovation spreading in ancient times: a stochastic agent-based simulation approach}, volume = {7}, journal = {EPJ Data Science}, number = {1}, edition = {EPJ Data Science}, publisher = {EPJ Data Science}, doi = {10.1140/epjds/s13688-018-0153-9}, pages = {24}, year = {2018}, abstract = {Human mobility always had a great influence on the spreading of cultural, social and technological ideas. Developing realistic models that allow for a better understanding, prediction and control of such coupled processes has gained a lot of attention in recent years. However, the modeling of spreading processes that happened in ancient times faces the additional challenge that available knowledge and data is often limited and sparse. In this paper, we present a new agent-based model for the spreading of innovations in the ancient world that is governed by human movements. Our model considers the diffusion of innovations on a spatial network that is changing in time, as the agents are changing their positions. Additionally, we propose a novel stochastic simulation approach to produce spatio-temporal realizations of the spreading process that are instructive for studying its dynamical properties and exploring how different influences affect its speed and spatial evolution.}, language = {en} } @article{BeckerDjurdjevacConradEseretal.2020, author = {Becker, Fabian and Djurdjevac Conrad, Natasa and Eser, Raphael A. and Helfmann, Luzie and Sch{\"u}tt, Brigitta and Sch{\"u}tte, Christof and Zonker, Johannes}, title = {The Furnace and the Goat—A spatio-temporal model of the fuelwood requirement for iron metallurgy on Elba Island, 4th century BCE to 2nd century CE}, volume = {15}, journal = {PLOS ONE}, publisher = {Public Library of Science}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0241133}, pages = {1 -- 37}, year = {2020}, language = {en} } @article{DjurdjevacConradFuerstenauGrabundzijaetal.2018, author = {Djurdjevac Conrad, Natasa and Fuerstenau, Daniel and Grabundzija, Ana and Helfmann, Luzie and Park, Martin and Schier, Wolfram and Sch{\"u}tt, Brigitta and Sch{\"u}tte, Christof and Weber, Marcus and Wulkow, Niklas and Zonker, Johannes}, title = {Mathematical modeling of the spreading of innovations in the ancient world}, volume = {7}, journal = {eTopoi. Journal for Ancient Studies}, issn = {ISSN 2192-2608}, doi = {10.17171/4-7-1}, year = {2018}, language = {en} } @misc{HelfmannDjurdjevacConradDjurdjevacetal.2019, author = {Helfmann, Luzie and Djurdjevac Conrad, Natasa and Djurdjevac, Ana and Winkelmann, Stefanie and Sch{\"u}tte, Christof}, title = {From interacting agents to density-based modeling with stochastic PDEs}, issn = {1438-0064}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-73456}, year = {2019}, abstract = {Many real-world processes can naturally be modeled as systems of interacting agents. However, the long-term simulation of such agent-based models is often intractable when the system becomes too large. In this paper, starting from a stochastic spatio-temporal agent-based model (ABM), we present a reduced model in terms of stochastic PDEs that describes the evolution of agent number densities for large populations. We discuss the algorithmic details of both approaches; regarding the SPDE model, we apply Finite Element discretization in space which not only ensures efficient simulation but also serves as a regularization of the SPDE. Illustrative examples for the spreading of an innovation among agents are given and used for comparing ABM and SPDE models.}, language = {en} } @article{HelfmannDjurdjevacConradDjurdjevacetal.2021, author = {Helfmann, Luzie and Djurdjevac Conrad, Natasa and Djurdjevac, Ana and Winkelmann, Stefanie and Sch{\"u}tte, Christof}, title = {From interacting agents to density-based modeling with stochastic PDEs}, volume = {16}, journal = {Communications in Applied Mathematics and Computational Science}, number = {1}, arxiv = {http://arxiv.org/abs/1905.13525}, doi = {10.2140/camcos.2021.16.1}, pages = {1 -- 32}, year = {2021}, abstract = {Many real-world processes can naturally be modeled as systems of interacting agents. However, the long-term simulation of such agent-based models is often intractable when the system becomes too large. In this paper, starting from a stochastic spatio-temporal agent-based model (ABM), we present a reduced model in terms of stochastic PDEs that describes the evolution of agent number densities for large populations. We discuss the algorithmic details of both approaches; regarding the SPDE model, we apply Finite Element discretization in space which not only ensures efficient simulation but also serves as a regularization of the SPDE. Illustrative examples for the spreading of an innovation among agents are given and used for comparing ABM and SPDE models.}, language = {en} }