TY - GEN A1 - Nielsen, Adam T1 - The Monte Carlo Computation Error of Transition Probabilities N2 - In many applications one is interested to compute transition probabilities of a Markov chain. This can be achieved by using Monte Carlo methods with local or global sampling points. In this article, we analyze the error by the difference in the $L^2$ norm between the true transition probabilities and the approximation achieved through a Monte Carlo method. We give a formula for the error for Markov chains with locally computed sampling points. Further, in the case of reversible Markov chains, we will deduce a formula for the error when sampling points are computed globally. We will see that in both cases the error itself can be approximated with Monte Carlo methods. As a consequence of the result, we will derive surprising properties of reversible Markov chains. T3 - ZIB-Report - 16-37 KW - Reversible Markov chain KW - Monte Carlo methods KW - Computation error KW - Measurable state space KW - Markov operator Y1 - 2016 UR - https://opus4.kobv.de/opus4-zib/frontdoor/index/index/docId/5993 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:0297-zib-59933 SN - 1438-0064 ER -