Refine
Year of publication
- 2018 (36) (show_all)
Document Type
- Doctoral Thesis (10)
- Book (9)
- Part of Periodical (9)
- Working Paper (6)
- Conference Proceeding (1)
- Lecture (1)
Has Fulltext
- yes (36)
Is part of the Bibliography
- no (36)
Keywords
- Deutschland (5)
- Germany (5)
- Studie (5)
- Study (5)
- Bibliothek (3)
- Company merger (3)
- Firmenfusion (3)
- Library (3)
- Air transport (2)
- Copyright (2)
Institute
- WHU Library (8)
- WHU Dean's Office (4)
- Kühne Foundation Endowed Chair of Logistics Management (3)
- Chair of Intergenerational Economic Policy (2)
- Chair of Monetary Economics (2)
- Allianz Endowed Chair of Finance (1)
- Center for Sports and Management (1)
- Chair for Sports and Management (1)
- Chair in Entrepreneurship and New Business Development (1)
- Chair of Business Taxation (1)
This paper examines the recession probabilities for the Eurozone along four different dimensions: First, we identify the best performing indicators for a recession within the next 12 months based on 43 underlying single variables and their different transformations in a benchmark model. We find that a modified version of the yield curve incorporating the shadow interest rate removes the downward rigidity of the front-leg and restores part of the informational content of the term spread at the zero lower bound. However, the best performing single indicator of the benchmark model is Real M1 followed by the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), the investment grade corporate bond spread and the Terms of Trade. Second, the paper establishes three submodels to increase the lead-time and the stability of recession models: (i) Monetary transmission channels via principal component analysis; (ii) Bivariate regressions to identify paramount combinations; (iii) Unstable surges vis-à-vis the Hodrick-Prescott trend to detect animal spirits and hawkish mistakes. Third, the analysis is extended over various forecasting horizons (6m, 18m and 24m). Fourth, the results are analyzed from the perspective of risk-affine and risk-averse investors.
Gone with the windfall
(2018)
Due to the debate about the generosity of LTC insurance benefits the German government decided to increase benefits and widen the circle of LTC beneficiaries with the Second LTC Strengthening Act. In this paper, we evaluate the long-term implications of this recent reform for the German LTC insurance scheme. Using the framework of generational accounting we show that the reform has led to a widening of the short-term gap between revenues and expenditure and that the LTC insurance is not sustainably financed, neither pre- nor post-reform. By the early 2020s there will be fiscal pressure for further reforms. From an intergenerational perspective, the reform can be seen as a windfall to current beneficiaries increasing the intergenerational redistribution through the pay-as-you-go system.
E.ON SE intends to acquire Innogy SE from its competitor RWE AG based on a comprehensive exchange of business activities. The acquisition was announced in the first quarter of 2018 and is expected to be finalized late 2019. Next key milestones are the closing of a public takeover offer to minority shareholders and the approval of relevant antitrust and regulatory authorities. On the one hand, the merger will directly affect existing structures in the German energy market, helping both companies, E.ON and RWE, to significantly strengthen their respective core businesses. On the other hand, however, potential disadvantaged parties include Innogy itself, employees, municipalities and end customers.
Deal Logic Linde / Praxair
(2018)
Currently in news for the last moment approval from the Federal Trade Commission to make the Praxair and Linde merger a reality, the development of the deal has not been short of hurdles. Initially, Praxair-Linde faced resistance from the European Union under the accusation that the merger would hinder competition. Later, both companies had to undertake multiple selling transactions to meet the anti-trust requirements of the countries in which they operated. Praxair and Linde were finally able to meet the requirements in early November for a successful completion of the merger.
Linde and Praxair, the world’s no. 2 and no. 3 industrial gas suppliers respectively, were in the spotlight due to the size of the merger and the impact that it would have on the gas industry, almost making them a monopoly firm.
In the transformation driven by technology and stream-video challenges, media giants have taken acquisition strategies to uphold their current status and seek for vertical business expansion via entering content creation area. AT&T, the telecom and media giant, initiated an acquisition of Time Warner in October 2016 at a bid of USD 85bn, which was considered as the biggest M&A deal that year worldwide. But the process was blocked mainly by the US Department of Justice (DOJ) and stagnant for nearly 2 years. In June 2018, the vertical merger was approved by the U.S. District Judge and completed on 14.06.2018. Concerns about legitimate regulation should be largely taken into account of the evaluation of success of acquisitions.