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Robust and bilevel optimization share the common feature that they involve a certain multilevel structure. Hence, although they model something rather different when used in practice, they seem to have a similar mathematical structure. In this paper, we analyze the connections between different types of robust problems (static robust problems with and without decision-dependence of their uncertainty sets, worst-case regret problems, and two-stage robust problems) as well as of bilevel problems (optimistic problems, pessimistic problems, and robust bilevel problems). It turns out that bilevel optimization seems to be more general in the sense that for most types of robust problems, one can find proper reformulations as bilevel problems but not necessarily the other way around. We hope that these results pave the way for a stronger connection between the two fields - in particular to use both theory and algorithms from one field in the other and vice versa.
We propose a novel online learning framework for robust Bayesian optimization of uncertain black-box functions. While Bayesian optimization is well-suited for data-efficient optimization of expensive objectives, its standard form can be sensitive to hidden or varying parameters. To address this issue, we consider a min–max robust counterpart of the optimization problem and develop a practically efficient solution algorithm, BROVER (Bayesian Robust Optimization via Exploration with Regret minimization). Our method combines Gaussian process regression with a decomposition approach: the minimax structure is split into a non-convex online learner based on the Follow-the-Perturbed-Leader algorithm together with a subsequent minimization step in the decision variables. We prove that the theoretical regret bound converges under mild assumptions, ensuring asymptotic convergence to robust solutions. Numerical experiments on synthetic data validate the regret guarantees and demonstrate fast convergence to the robust optimum. Furthermore, we apply our method to the robust optimization of organic solar cell performance, where hidden process parameters and experimental variability naturally induce uncertainty. Our results on real-world datae show that BROVER identifies solutions with strong robustness properties within relatively few iterations, thereby offering a modern and practical approach for data-driven black-box optimization under uncertainty.
We consider equilibrium problems under uncertainty where firms
maximize their profits in a robust way when selling their output. Robust
optimization plays an increasingly important role when best guaranteed objective
values are to be determined, independently of the specific distributional
assumptions regarding uncertainty. In particular, solutions are to be determined
that are feasible regardless of how the uncertainty manifests itself within
some predefined uncertainty set. Our analysis adopts the robust optimization
perspective in the context of equilibrium problems. First, we consider a singlestage,
nonadjustable robust setting. We then go one step further and study the
more complex two-stage or adjustable case where a part of the variables can
adjust to the realization of the uncertainty. We compare equilibrium outcomes
with the corresponding centralized robust optimization problem where the
sum of all profits are maximized. As we find, the market equilibrium for
the perfectly competitive firms differs from the solution of the robust central
planner, which is in stark contrast to classical results regarding the efficiency of
market equilibria with perfectly competitive firms. For the different scenarios
considered, we furthermore are able to determine the resulting price of anarchy.
In the case of non-adjustable robustness, for fixed demand in every time step
the price of anarchy is bounded whereas it is unbounded if the buyers are
modeled by elastic demand functions. For the two-stage adjustable setting,
we show how to compute subsidies for the firms that lead to robust welfare
optimal equilibria.
This paper mainly studies two topics: linear complementarity problems for modeling electricity market equilibria and optimization under uncertainty. We consider both perfectly competitive and Nash–Cournot models of electricity markets and study their robustifications using strict robustness and the Γ-approach. For three out of the four combinations of economic competition and robustification, we derive algorithmically tractable convex optimization counterparts that have a clear-cut economic interpretation. In the case of perfect competition, this result corresponds to the two classical welfare theorems, which also apply in both considered robust cases that again yield convex robustified problems. Using the mentioned counterparts, we can also prove the existence and, in some cases, uniqueness of robust equilibria. Surprisingly, it turns out that there is no such economic sensible counterpart for the case of Γ-robustifications of Nash–Cournot models. Thus, an analogue of the welfare theorems does not hold in this case. Finally, we provide a computational case study that illustrates the different effects of the combination of economic competition and uncertainty modeling.
Complementarity problems are often used to compute equilibria made up of specifically coordinated solutions of different optimization problems. Specific examples are game-theoretic settings like the bimatrix game or energy market models like for electricity or natural gas. While optimization under uncertainties is rather well-developed, the field of equilibrium models represented by complementarity problems under uncertainty - especially using the concepts of robust optimization - is still in its infancy. In this paper, we extend the theory of strictly robust linear complementarity problems (LCPs) to Γ-robust settings, where existence of worst-case-hedged equilibria cannot be guaranteed. Thus, we study the minimization of the worst-case gap function of Γ-robust counterparts of LCPs. For box and l1-norm uncertainty sets we derive tractable convex counterparts for monotone LCPs and study their feasibility as well as the existence and uniqueness of solutions. To this end, we consider uncertainties in the vector and in the matrix defining the LCP. We additionally study so-called ρ-robust solutions, i.e., solutions of relaxed uncertain LCPs. Finally, we illustrate the Γ-robust concept applied to LCPs in the light of the above mentioned classical examples of bimatrix games and market equilibrium modeling.
We propose a mathematical optimization model and its solution for joint chance constrained DC Optimal Power Flow. In this application, it is particularly important that there is a high probability of transmission limits being satisfied, even in the case of uncertain or fluctuating feed-in from renewable energy sources. In critical network situations where the network risks overload, renewable energy feed-in has to be curtailed by the transmission system operator (TSO). The TSO can reduce the feed-in in discrete steps at each network node. The proposed optimization model minimizes curtailment while ensuring that there is a high probability of transmission limits being maintained. The latter is modeled via (joint) chance constraints that are computationally challenging. Thus, we propose a solution approach based on the robust safe approximation of these constraints. Hereby, probabilistic constraints are replaced by robust constraints with suitably defined uncertainty sets constructed from historical data. The uncertainty sets are calculated by encompassing randomly drawn scenarios using the scenario approach proposed by Margellos et al. (IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, 59 (2014)). The ability to discretely control the power feed-in then leads to a robust optimization problem with decision-dependent uncertainties, i.e. the uncertainty sets depend on decision variables. We propose an equivalent mixed-integer linear reformulation for box uncertainties with the exact linearization of bilinear terms. Finally, we present numerical results for different test cases from the Nesta archive, as well as for a real network. We consider the discrete curtailment of solar feed-in, for which we use real-world weather and network data. The experimental tests demonstrate the effectiveness of this method and run times are very fast. Moreover, on average the calculated robust solutions lead only to a small increase in curtailment, when compared to nominal solutions.
We study network design problems for nonlinear and nonconvex flow models under demand uncertainties. To this end, we apply the concept of adjustable robust optimization to compute a network design that admits a feasible transport for all, possibly infinitely many, demand scenarios within a given uncertainty set. For solving the corresponding adjustable robust mixed-integer nonlinear optimization problem, we show that a given network design is robust feasible, i.e., it admits a feasible transport for all demand uncertainties, if and only if a finite number of worst-case demand scenarios can be routed through the network. We compute these worst-case scenarios by solving polynomially many nonlinear optimization problems. Embedding this result for robust feasibility in an adversarial approach leads to an exact algorithm that computes an optimal robust network design in a finite number of iterations. Since all of the results are valid for general potential-based flows, the approach can be applied to different utility networks such as gas, hydrogen, or water networks. We finally demonstrate the applicability of the method by computing robust gas networks that are protected from future demand fluctuations.
Typically, probability distributions that generate uncertain parameters cannot be measured exactly in practice. As a remedy, distributional robustness determines optimized decisions that are protected in a robust fashion against all probability distributions in some appropriately chosen ambiguity set. In this work, we consider robust joint chance-constrained optimization problems and focus on discrete probability distributions. Many methods for this kind of problems study convex or even linear constraint functions. In contrast, we introduce a practically efficient scenario-based bundle method without convexity assumptions on the constraint functions. We start by deriving an approximation problem to the original robust chance-constrained version by using smoothing and penalization techniques that build on our former work on chance-constrained optimization. Our convergence results with respect to the smoothing approximation and well-known results for penalty approximations suggest replacing the original problem with the approximation problem for large smoothing and penalty parameters. Our scenario-based bundle method starts by solving the approximation problem with a bundle method, and then uses the bundle solution to decide which scenarios to include in a scenario-expanded formulation. This formulation is a standard nonlinear optimization problem. Our approach is guaranteed to find feasible solutions. Furthermore, in the numerical experiments on real-world gas transport problems with uncertain demands, we mostly find globally optimal solutions. Comparing these results to the classical robust reformulations for ambiguity sets consisting of confidence intervals and Wasserstein balls, we observe that the scenario-based bundle method typically outperforms solving the classical reformulation directly.
Linear complementarity problems are a powerful tool for modeling many practically relevant situations such as market equilibria. They also connect many sub-areas of mathematics like game theory, optimization, and matrix theory. Despite their close relation to optimization, the protection of LCPs against uncertainties - especially in the sense of robust optimization - is still in its infancy. During the last years, robust LCPs have only been studied using the notions of strict and Γ-robustness. Unfortunately, both concepts lead to the problem that the existence of robust solutions cannot be guaranteed. In this paper, we consider affinely adjustable robust LCPs. In the latter, a part of the LCP solution is allowed to adjust via a function that is affine in the uncertainty. We show that this notion of robustness allows to establish strong characterizations of solutions for the cases of uncertain matrix and vector, separately, from which existence results can be derived. Our main results are valid for the case of an uncertain LCP vector. Here, we additionally provide sufficient conditions on the LCP matrix for the uniqueness of a solution. Moreover, based on characterizations of the affinely adjustable robust solutions, we derive a mixed-integer programming formulation that allows to solve the corresponding robust counterpart. If, in addition, the certain LCP matrix is positive semidefinite, we prove polynomial-time solvability and uniqueness of robust solutions. If the LCP matrix is uncertain, characterizations of solutions are developed for every nominal matrix, i.e., these characterizations are, in particular, independent of the definiteness of the nominal matrix. Robust solutions are also shown to be unique for positive definite LCP matrix but both uniqueness and mixed-integer programming formulations still remain open problems if the nominal LCP matrix is not positive definite.
We study uncertain linear complementarity problems (LCPs), i.e., problems in which the LCP vector q or the LCP matrix M may contain uncertain parameters. To this end, we use the concept of Γ-robust optimization applied to the gap function formulation of the LCP. Thus, this work builds upon [16]. There, we studied Γ-robustified LCPs for l1- and box-uncertainty sets, whereas we now focus on ellipsoidal uncertainty set. For uncertainty in q or M, we derive conditions for the tractability of the robust counterparts. For these counterparts, we also give conditions for the existence and uniqueness of their solutions. Finally, a case study for the uncertain traffic equilibrium problem is considered, which illustrates the effects of the values of Γ on the feasibility and quality of the respective robustified solutions.