TY - JOUR A1 - Ambrosius, Mirjam A1 - Egerer, Jonas A1 - Grimm, Veronika A1 - van der Weijde, Adriaan H. T1 - Uncertain bidding zone configurations: The role of expectations for transmission and generation capacity expansion JF - European Journal of Operational Research N2 - Ongoing policy discussions on the reconfiguration of bidding zones in European electricity markets induce uncertainty about the future market design. This paper deals with the question of how this uncertainty affects market participants and their long-run investment decisions in generation and transmission capacity. Generalizing the literature on pro-active network expansion planning, we propose a stochastic multilevel model which incorporates generation capacity investment, network expansion, and market operation, taking into account uncertainty about the future bidding zone configuration. Using a stylized two-node network, we disentangle different effects that uncertainty has on market outcomes. If there is a possibility that future bidding zone configurations provide improved regional price signals, welfare gains materialize even if the change does not actually take place. As a consequence, welfare gains of an actual change of the bidding zone configuration are substantially lower due to those anticipatory effects. Additionally, we show substantial distributional effects in terms of both expected gains and risks, between producers and consumers and between different generation technologies. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2020.01.024 IS - 285 (1) SP - 343 EP - 359 ER - TY - INPR A1 - Schmidt, Martin A1 - Hiller, Benjamin A1 - Koch, Thorsten A1 - Pfetsch, Marc A1 - Geißler, Björn A1 - Henrion, René A1 - Joormann, Imke A1 - Martin, Alexander A1 - Morsi, Antonio A1 - Römisch, Werner A1 - Schewe, Lars A1 - Schultz, Rüdiger A1 - Steinbach, Marc C. T1 - Capacity Evaluation for Large-Scale Gas Networks N2 - Natural gas is important for the energy turnaround in many countries like in Germany, where it serves as a "bridging energy" towards a fossil-free energy supply in the future. About 20% of the total German energy demand is provided by natural gas, which is transported through a complex pipeline network with a total length of about 30000 km and the efficient use of the given transport infrastructure for natural gas is of political, economic, and societal importance. As a consequence of the liberalization of the European gas market in the last decades, gas trading and transport have been decoupled. This has led to new challenges for gas transport companies, and mathematical optimization is perfectly suited for tackling many of these challenges. However, the underlying mathematical problems are by far too hard to be solved by today's general-purpose software so that novel mathematical theory and algorithms are needed. The industrial research project "ForNe: Research Cooperation Network Optimization" has been initiated and funded by Open Grid Europe in 2009 and brought together experts in mathematical optimization from seven German universities and research institutes, which cover almost the entire range of mathematical optimization: integer and nonlinear optimization as well as optimization under uncertainty. The mathematical research results have been put together in a software package that has been delivered to Open Grid Europe at the end of the project. Moreover, the research is still continuing - e.g., in the Collaborative Research Center/Transregio 154 "Mathematical Modelling, Simulation and Optimization using the Example of Gas Networks" funded by the German Research Foundation. Y1 - 2019 ER - TY - INPR A1 - Hümbs, Lukas A1 - Martin, Alexander A1 - Schewe, Lars T1 - Exploiting complete linear descriptions for decentralized power market problems with integralities N2 - It is well known that linear prices supporting a competitive equilibrium exist in the case of convex markets, however, in the presence of integralities this is open and hard to decide in general. We present necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of such prices for decentralized market problems where market participants have integral decision variables and their feasible sets are given in complete linear description. We utilize total unimodularity and the aforementioned conditions to show that such linear prices exist and present some applications. Furthermore, we compute competitive equilibria for two classes of decentralized market problems arising in energy markets and show that competitive equilibria may exist regardless of integralities. KW - Mixed-integer programming KW - Competitive equilibrium KW - Linear prices KW - Total unimodularity Y1 - 2019 N1 - Former title: "On the existence of solutions to market equilibrium problems with integralities" ER -