TY - JOUR A1 - Runge, Philipp A1 - Sölch, Christian A1 - Albert, Jakob A1 - Wasserscheid, Peter A1 - Zöttl, Gregor A1 - Grimm, Veronika T1 - Economic comparison of different electric fuels for energy scenarios in 2035 JF - Applied Energy N2 - Electric fuels (e-fuels) enable CO2-neutral mobility and are therefore an alternative to battery-powered electric vehicles. This paper compares the cost-effectiveness of Fischer-Tropsch diesel, methanol and Liquid Organic Hydrogen Carriers. The production costs of those fuels are to a large part driven by the energy-intensive electrolytic hydrogen production. In this paper, we apply a multi-level electricity market model to calculate future hourly electricity prices for various electricity market designs in Germany for the year 2035. We then assess the economic efficiency of the different fuels under various future market conditions. In particular, we use the electricity price vectors derived from an electricity market model calibrated for 2035 as an input for a mathematical model of the entire process chain from hydrogen production and chemical bonding to the energetic utilization of the fuels in a vehicle. Within this model, we perform a sensitivity analysis, which quantifies the impact of various parameters on the fuel production cost. Most importantly, we consider prices resulting from own model calculations for different energy market designs, the investment cost for the electrolysis systems and the carbon dioxide purchase price. The results suggest that the use of hydrogen, which is temporarily bound to Liquid Organic Hydrogen Carriers, is a favorable alternative to the more widely discussed synthetic diesel and methanol. KW - Sector Coupling, Eletricity Markets, Electric fuels, Hydrogen Utilization, LOHC, Mobility Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.10.023 IS - 233-234 SP - 1078 EP - 1093 ER - TY - INPR A1 - Grimm, Veronika A1 - Martin, Alexander A1 - Sölch, Christian A1 - Weibelzahl, Martin A1 - Zöttl, Gregor T1 - Market-Based Redispatch May Result in Inefficient Dispatch N2 - In this paper we analyze a uniform price electricity spot market that is followed by redispatch in the case of network congestion. We assume that the transmission system operator is incentivized to minimize redispatch cost and compare a cost-based redispatch (CBR) to a market-based redispatch (MBR) mechanism. For networks with at least three nodes we show that in contrast to CBR, in the case of MBR the redispatch cost minimizing allocation may not be short-run efficient. As we demonstrate, in case of MBR the possibility of the transmission system operator to reduce redispatch cost at the expense of a reduced welfare may be driven by the electricity supply side or the electricity demand side. If, however, the transmission system operator is obliged to implement the welfare maximizing (instead of the redispatch cost minimizing) dispatch by regulation, this will result in an efficient dispatch also in case of MBR. KW - Electricity Markets, Redispatch, Congestion Management, Computational Equilibrium Models Y1 - 2019 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ambrosius, Mirjam A1 - Egerer, Jonas A1 - Grimm, Veronika A1 - van der Weijde, Adriaan H. T1 - Uncertain bidding zone configurations: The role of expectations for transmission and generation capacity expansion JF - European Journal of Operational Research N2 - Ongoing policy discussions on the reconfiguration of bidding zones in European electricity markets induce uncertainty about the future market design. This paper deals with the question of how this uncertainty affects market participants and their long-run investment decisions in generation and transmission capacity. Generalizing the literature on pro-active network expansion planning, we propose a stochastic multilevel model which incorporates generation capacity investment, network expansion, and market operation, taking into account uncertainty about the future bidding zone configuration. Using a stylized two-node network, we disentangle different effects that uncertainty has on market outcomes. If there is a possibility that future bidding zone configurations provide improved regional price signals, welfare gains materialize even if the change does not actually take place. As a consequence, welfare gains of an actual change of the bidding zone configuration are substantially lower due to those anticipatory effects. Additionally, we show substantial distributional effects in terms of both expected gains and risks, between producers and consumers and between different generation technologies. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2020.01.024 IS - 285 (1) SP - 343 EP - 359 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Bichler, Martin A1 - Grimm, Veronika A1 - Kretschmer, Sandra A1 - Sutterer, Paul T1 - Market Design for Renewable Energy Auctions: An Analysis of Alternative Auction Formats JF - Energy Economics N2 - Auctions are widely used to determine the remuneration for renewable energies. They typically induce a high concentration of renewable energy plants at very productive sites far-off the main load centres, leading to an inefficient allocation as transmission line capacities are restricted but not considered in the allocation, resulting in an inefficient system configuration in the long run. To counteract these tendencies effectively, we propose a combinatorial auction design that allows to implement regional target capacities, provides a simple pricing rule and maintains a high level of competition between bidders by permitting package bids. By means of extensive numerical experiments we evaluate the combinatorial auction as compared to three further RES auction designs, the current German nationwide auction design, a simple nationwide auction, and regional auctions. We find that if bidders benefit from high enough economies of scale, the combinatorial auction design implements system-optimal target capacities without increasing the average remuneration per kWh as compared to the current German auction design. The prices resulting from the combinatorial auction are linear and anonymous for each region whenever possible, while minimal personalised markups on the linear prices are applied only when necessary. We show that realistic problem sizes can be solved in seconds, even though the problem is computationally hard. KW - renewable energy auction, combinatorial auction, market design Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2020.104904 IS - 92 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Grimm, Veronika A1 - Kretschmer, Sandra A1 - Mehl, Simon T1 - Green innovations: The organizational setup of pilot projects and its influence on consumer perceptions JF - Energy Policy N2 - Pilot-, test- and demonstration-projects (PTDs) are a prominent policy tool to promote the adoption of smart, green technologies. However, as technology adoption is heavily dependent on the individual attributes and beliefs of potential adopters, it is important to understand the influence of a PTD’s organizational setup on technology perception. By varying the information about a PTD’s organizational setup in a survey experiment among a selected sample of potential PTD-participants, we gather first experimental evidence for the effect of different setups on the perception of green technologies. We show that the organizational setup has a significant impact on a product’s perceived contribution to the energy transition, its establishment in the market, cost-reduction potential, innovativeness and environmental friendliness. In particular, full organizational cooperation between government, university and industry consistently improves perceptions compared to a partial setup. Regarding the willingness to participate in a PTD, we find that communication and support are the most imperative aspects and even more important than economic benefits. Our findings provide policy-makers with a more ample foundation on how PTDs should be designed to successfully transfer technologies to the market. KW - Pilot projects, Organizational setup, Adoption decision, Quadruple Helix, Innovation diffusion Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111474 IS - 142 ER - TY - INPR A1 - Veronika, Grimm A1 - Kretschmer, Sandra A1 - Mehl, Simon T1 - Home energy storage: A characterization of potential adopters in Germany N2 - Home energy storage (HES) poses a promising option to foster flexible electricity demand and grid-stabilising self-supply. Understanding the characteristics of potential storage adopters and their motives for adopting is essential to enable targeted measures to promote diffusion. This paper presents an in-depth analysis of motivational and psychological factors as well as product characteristics that affect the willingness to adopt domestic energy storage. Based on a selective sample of solar panel owners as the main energy storage target group, we find that potential adopters differ systematically in their evaluation of economic and non-economic characteristics of home energy storage. Using correlation-based average linkage clustering, we identify four distinct types of storage adopters: finance-oriented, independence-oriented, idealistic and multilaterally oriented households. Our findings emphasise that segment-specific policy strategies and support mechanisms are needed to stimulate HES adoption to pave the way for a sustainable energy system. KW - Energy storage, Consumer segmentation, Adoption decision, Innovation diffusion Y1 - 2019 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Kleinert, Thomas A1 - Grimm, Veronika A1 - Schmidt, Martin T1 - Outer Approximation for Global Optimization of Mixed-Integer Quadratic Bilevel Problems JF - Mathematical Programming (Series B) N2 - Bilevel optimization problems have received a lot of attention in the last years and decades. Besides numerous theoretical developments there also evolved novel solution algorithms for mixed-integer linear bilevel problems and the most recent algorithms use branch-and-cut techniques from mixed-integer programming that are especially tailored for the bilevel context. In this paper, we consider MIQP-QP bilevel problems, i.e., models with a mixed-integer convex-quadratic upper level and a continuous convex-quadratic lower level. This setting allows for a strong-duality-based transformation of the lower level which yields, in general, an equivalent nonconvex single-level reformulation of the original bilevel problem. Under reasonable assumptions, we can derive both a multi- and a single-tree outer-approximation-based cutting-plane algorithm. We show finite termination and correctness of both methods and present extensive numerical results that illustrate the applicability of the approaches. It turns out that the proposed methods are capable of solving bilevel instances with several thousand variables and constraints and significantly outperform classical solution approaches. KW - Bilevel optimization KW - Outer approximation KW - Quadratic programming KW - Convex mixed-integer nonlinear optimization Y1 - 2019 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Grimm, Veronika A1 - Kleinert, Thomas A1 - Liers, Frauke A1 - Schmidt, Martin A1 - Zöttl, Gregor T1 - Optimal Price Zones of Electricity Markets: A Mixed-Integer Multilevel Model and Global Solution Approaches JF - Optimization Methods and Software N2 - Mathematical modeling of market design issues in liberalized electricity markets often leads to mixed-integer nonlinear multilevel optimization problems for which no general-purpose solvers exist and which are intractable in general. In this work, we consider the problem of splitting a market area into a given number of price zones such that the resulting market design yields welfare-optimal outcomes. This problem leads to a challenging multilevel model that contains a graph-partitioning problem with multi-commodity flow connectivity constraints and nonlinearities due to proper economic modeling. Furthermore, it has highly symmetric solutions. We develop different problem-tailored solution approaches. In particular, we present an extended KKT transformation approach as well as a generalized Benders approach that both yield globally optimal solutions. These methods, enhanced with techniques such as symmetry breaking and primal heuristics, are evaluated in detail on academic as well as on realistic instances. It turns out that our approaches lead to effective solution methods for the difficult optimization tasks presented here, where the problem-specific generalized Benders approach performs considerably better than the methods based on KKT transformation. KW - Multilevel Optimization KW - Mixed-Integer Nonlinear Optimization KW - Graph Partitioning KW - Generalized Benders Decomposition KW - Electricity Market Design} Y1 - 2017 IS - 34(2) SP - 406 EP - 436 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Grimm, Veronika A1 - Schewe, Lars A1 - Schmidt, Martin A1 - Zöttl, Gregor T1 - A Multilevel Model of the European Entry-Exit Gas Market JF - Mathematical Methods of Operations Research N2 - In entry-exit gas markets as they are currently implemented in Europe, network constraints do not affect market interaction beyond the technical capacities determined by the TSO that restrict the quantities individual firms can trade at the market. It is an up to now unanswered question to what extent existing network capacity remains unused in an entry-exit design and to what extent feasible adjustments of the market design could alleviate inefficiencies. In this paper, we offer a four-level modeling framework that is capable of analyzing these issues and provide some first results on the model structure. In order to decouple gas trading from network congestion management, the TSO is required to determine technical capacities and corresponding booking fees at every entry and exit node up front. Firms book those capacities, which gives them the right to charge or discharge an amount of gas at a certain node up to this capacity in every scenario. Beyond these technical capacities and the resulting bookings, gas trade is unaffected by network constraints. The technical capacities have to ensure that transportation of traded quantities is always feasible. We assume that the TSO is regulated and determines technical capacities, fees, and transportation costs under a welfare objective. As a first step we moreover assume perfect competition among gas traders and show that the booking and nomination decisions can be analyzed in a single level. We prove that this aggregated model has a unique solution. We also show that the TSO's decisions can be subsumed in one level as well. If so, the model boils down to a mixed-integer nonlinear bilevel problem with robust aspects. In addition, we provide a first-best benchmark that allows to assess welfare losses that occur in an entry-exit system. Our approach provides a generic framework to analyze various aspects in the context of semi-liberalized gas markets. Therefore, we finally discuss and provide guidance on how to include several important aspects into the approach, such as network and production capacity investment, uncertain data, market power, and intra-day trading. KW - Entry-Exit System KW - Gas Market KW - Multilevel Modeling Y1 - 2017 IS - 89(2) SP - 223 EP - 255 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ambrosius, Mirjam A1 - Grimm, Veronika A1 - Kleinert, Thomas A1 - Liers, Frauke A1 - Schmidt, Martin A1 - Zöttl, Gregor T1 - Endogenous Price Zones and Investment Incentives in Electricity Markets: An Application of Multilevel Optimization with Graph Partitioning JF - Energy Economics N2 - In the course of the energy transition, load and supply centers are growing apart in electricity markets worldwide, rendering regional price signals even more important to provide adequate locational investment incentives. This paper focuses on electricity markets that operate under a zonal pricing market design. For a fixed number of zones, we endogenously derive the optimal configuration of price zones and available transfer capacities on a network in order to optimally govern investment and production decisions in the long run. In a multilevel mixed-integer nonlinear model that contains a graph partitioning problem on the first level, we determine welfare-maximizing price zones and available transfer capacities for a given electricity market and analyze their impact on market outcomes. Using a generalized Benders decomposition approach developed in Grimm et al. (2019) and a problem-tailored scenario clustering for reducing the input data size, we are able to solve the model to global optimality even for large instances. We apply the approach to the German electricity market as an example to examine the impact of optimal zoning on key performance indicators such as welfare, generation mix and locations, or electricity prices. It turns out that even for a small number of price zones, an optimal configuration of zones induces a welfare level that almost approaches the first best. KW - Electricity Markets KW - Price Zones KW - Investment Incentives KW - Multilevel Optimization KW - Graph Partitioning Y1 - 2018 IS - 92 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Egerer, Jonas A1 - Grimm, Veronika A1 - Kleinert, Thomas A1 - Schmidt, Martin A1 - Zöttl, Gregor T1 - The Impact of Neighboring Markets on Renewable Locations, Transmission Expansion, and Generation Investment JF - European Journal of Operational Research N2 - Many long-term investment planning models for liberalized electricity markets either optimize for the entire electricity system or focus on confined jurisdictions, abstracting from adjacent markets. In this paper, we provide models for analyzing the impact of the interdependencies between a core electricity market and its neighboring markets on key long-run decisions. This we do both for zonal and nodal pricing schemes. The identification of welfare optimal investments in transmission lines and renewable capacity within a core electricity market requires a spatially restricted objective function, which also accounts for benefits from cross-border electricity trading. This leads to mixed-integer nonlinear multilevel optimization problems with bilinear nonconvexities for which we adapt a Benders-like decomposition approach from the literature. In a case study, we use a stylized six-node network to disentangle different effects of optimal regional (as compared to supra-regional) investment planning. Regional planning alters investment in transmission and renewable capacity in the core region, which affects private investment in generation capacity also in adjacent regions and increases welfare in the core region at the cost of system welfare. Depending on the congestion-pricing scheme, the regulator of the core region follows different strategies to increase welfare causing distributional effects among stakeholders. KW - Neighboring Markets KW - Renewables KW - Network Expansion KW - Multilevel Optimization KW - Benders Decomposition Y1 - 2019 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Grimm, Veronika A1 - Rückel, Bastian A1 - Sölch, Christian A1 - Zöttl, Gregor T1 - The impact of market design on transmission and generation investment in electricity markets JF - Energy Economics N2 - In this paper we propose an equilibrium model in order to analyze the impact of electricity market design on generation and transmission expansion in liberalized electricity markets. In a multi-level structure, our framework takes into account that generation investment and operation is decided by private investors, while network expansion and redispatch is decided by a regulated transmission system operator — as well as the different objectives of firms (profit maximization) and the regulator (welfare maximization). In order to illustrate the possibilities to quantify long term economic effects with our framework, we calibrate our model for the German electricity market. We consider various moderate adjustments of the market design: (i) the division of the market area into two price zones, (ii) the efficient curtailment of renewable production and (iii) a cost-benefit-driven balance between network expansion and network management measures. We then analyze the impact of these market designs on generation and transmission investment in case those design elements are anticipated upon network development planning. The resulting investment and production decisions are compared to a benchmark that reflects the current German electricity market design and to an overall optimal first-best benchmark. Our results reveal that price zones do have a significant impact on locational choice of generators and result in a reduced need for network expansion, but lead to only moderate annual welfare gains of approximately 0.9% of annual total system costs. Anticipation of optimal curtailment of renewables and a cost-benefit-driven use of redispatch operations upon network expansion planning, however, implies a welfare gain of over 4.9% of annual total system costs per year as compared to the existing market design, which equals 85% of the maximum possible welfare gain of the first-best benchmark. KW - Electricity Markets, Network Expansion, Generation Expansion, Investment Incentives, Market Design, Congestion Management, Computational Equilibrium Models Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2020.104934 IS - 93 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Grimm, Veronika A1 - Grübel, Julia A1 - Schewe, Lars A1 - Schmidt, Martin A1 - Zöttl, Gregor T1 - Nonconvex Equilibrium Models for Gas Market Analysis: Failure of Standard Techniques and Alternative Modeling Approaches JF - European Journal on Operational Research N2 - This paper provides a first approach to assess gas market interaction on a network with nonconvex flow models. In the simplest possible setup that adequately reflects gas transport and market interaction, we elaborate on the relation of the solution of a simultaneous competitive gas market game, its corresponding mixed nonlinear complementarity problem (MNCP), and a first-best benchmark. We provide conditions under which the solution of the simultaneous game is also the solution of the corresponding MNCP. However, equilibria cannot be determined by the MNCP as the transmission system operator's (TSO’s) first-order conditions are insufficient, which goes back to nonconvexities of the gas flow model. This also implies that the welfare maximization problem may have multiple solutions that sometimes do not even coincide with any of the market equilibria. Our analysis shows that, even in the absence of strategic firms, market interaction fails to implement desirable outcomes from a welfare perspective due to the TSO’s incentive structure. We conclude that the technical environment calls for a market design that commits the TSO to a welfare objective through regulation and propose a design where the market solution corresponds to a welfare maximum and vice versa. KW - Natural Gas Markets KW - Nonconvex Equilibrium Models KW - Uniqueness KW - Multiplicity KW - Fundamental Welfare Theorems Y1 - 2017 IS - 273(3) SP - 1097 EP - 1108 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Grimm, Veronika A1 - Orlinskaya, Galina A1 - Schewe, Lars A1 - Schmidt, Martin A1 - Zöttl, Gregor T1 - Optimal Design of Retailer-Prosumer Electricity Tariffs Using Bilevel Optimization JF - Computers & Operations Research N2 - We compare various flexible tariffs that have been proposed to cost-effectively govern a prosumer's electricity management - in particular time-of-use (TOU), critical-peak-pricing (CPP), and a real-time-pricing tariff (RTP). As the outside option, we consider a fixed-price tariff (FP) that restricts the specific characteristics of TOU, CPP, and RTP, so that the flexible tariffs are at least as profitable for the prosumer as the fixed-price tariff. We propose bilevel models to determine the optimal interplay between the retailer's tariff design and the prosumer's decisions on using the storage, on consumption, and on electricity purchases from as well as electricity sales to the grid. The single-level reformulations of the considered bilevel models are computationally highly challenging optimization problems since they, e.g., combine bilinearities and mixed-integer aspects for modeling certain tariff structures. Based on a computational study using real-world data, we find that RTP increases retailer profits, however, leads to the largest price volatility for the prosumer. TOU and CPP only yield mild additional retailer profits and, due to the multiplicity of optimal plans on the part of the prosumer, imply uncertain revenues for the retailer. KW - Electricity tariffs KW - Pricing KW - Bilevel optimization KW - Mixed-integer optimization KW - Tariff design Y1 - 2019 IS - 114 ER -