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  <doc>
    <id>1878</id>
    <completedYear/>
    <publishedYear>2024</publishedYear>
    <thesisYearAccepted/>
    <language>eng</language>
    <pageFirst/>
    <pageLast/>
    <pageNumber>132</pageNumber>
    <edition/>
    <issue/>
    <volume/>
    <type>masterthesis</type>
    <publisherName/>
    <publisherPlace/>
    <creatingCorporation/>
    <contributingCorporation/>
    <belongsToBibliography>0</belongsToBibliography>
    <completedDate>2024-02-02</completedDate>
    <publishedDate>2024-02-02</publishedDate>
    <thesisDateAccepted>2024-12-05</thesisDateAccepted>
    <title language="eng">VISUALIZATION OF FLOOD SCENARIOS IN GERMANY IN 2021 AND FORECASTING FLOOD USING MACHINE-LEARNING MODELS</title>
    <abstract language="eng">Floods are the most common, devastating, and frequently occurring natural disaster nowadays.&#13;
Because of climate change, Europe is expected to see an even higher number of floods in the coming decade. As floods cannot be prevented, understanding the pattern and causes and being able to forecast could significantly reduce the losses during the flood. In July 2021, Germany faced a catastrophic flood, taking more than 180 people’s lives and causing around 40 billion euros of economic loss. To study the flooded region and the region at high risk, the Flood event 2021 has been visualized in this research. The Flood map has been created using a sentinel-1 image. In the visualization, floods in the Rhine River and Arh River can be seen, and the change in the pattern of flood from 12th July to 16th July has also been observed.&#13;
Different models exist that try to predict floods and warn as early as possible. Since Machine learning is popular nowadays in every sector, ML models have been implemented in this study to forecast the flood. The SARIMA, Random Forest, and LSTM have been implemented using historical data to predict the flood. The Random Forest model performed better than the remaining two models. The Isolation Forest model has also been implemented to classify the data into Flood and No Flood. This model performs well with the Flood classes but struggles in capturing the No Flood class.</abstract>
    <identifier type="urn">urn:nbn:de:hbz:1383-opus4-18780</identifier>
    <enrichment key="opus.source">publish</enrichment>
    <enrichment key="opus.doi.autoCreate">false</enrichment>
    <enrichment key="opus.urn.autoCreate">true</enrichment>
    <licence>CC0 1.0 Universell - Gemeinfreiheit (Public Domain)</licence>
    <author>Bhuwan Acharya</author>
    <subject>
      <language>eng</language>
      <type>uncontrolled</type>
      <value>Flood</value>
    </subject>
    <subject>
      <language>eng</language>
      <type>uncontrolled</type>
      <value>Machine learning</value>
    </subject>
    <subject>
      <language>eng</language>
      <type>uncontrolled</type>
      <value>sentinel</value>
    </subject>
    <subject>
      <language>eng</language>
      <type>uncontrolled</type>
      <value>visualization</value>
    </subject>
    <collection role="institutes" number="">Fakultät Kommunikation und Umwelt</collection>
    <thesisPublisher>Hochschule Rhein-Waal</thesisPublisher>
    <thesisGrantor>Hochschule Rhein-Waal</thesisGrantor>
    <file>https://opus4.kobv.de/opus4-rhein-waal/files/1878/Final_Master_Thesis.pdf</file>
  </doc>
</export-example>
