TY - INPR A1 - Schumm, Leon A1 - Abdel-Khalek, Hazem A1 - Brown, Tom A1 - Ueckerdt, Falko A1 - Sterner, Michael A1 - Fioriti, Davide A1 - Parzen, Max T1 - The impact of temporal hydrogen regulation on hydrogen exporters and their domestic energy transition N2 - As global demand for green hydrogen rises, potential hydrogen exporters move into the spotlight. However, the large-scale installation of on-grid hydrogen electrolysis for export can have profound impacts on domestic energy prices and energy-related emissions. Our investigation explores the interplay of hydrogen exports, domestic energy transition and temporal hydrogen regulation, employing a sector-coupled energy model in Morocco. We find substantial co-benets of domestic climate change mitigation and hydrogen exports, whereby exports can reduce domestic electricity prices while mitigation reduces hydrogen export prices. However, increasing hydrogen exports quickly in a system that is still dominated by fossil fuels can substantially raise domestic electricity prices, if green hydrogen production is not regulated. Surprisingly, temporal matching of hydrogen production lowers domestic electricity cost by up to 31% while the effect on exporters is minimal. This policy instrument can steer the welfare (re-)distribution between hydrogen exporting firms, hydrogen importers, and domestic electricity consumers and hereby increases acceptance among actors. KW - Energy Transition KW - Hydrogen regulation KW - Hydrogen export KW - Climate-neutral KW - Domestic prices KW - Hydrogen prices KW - Power-to-X Y1 - 2024 U6 - https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-4285425/v1 N1 - Der Aufsatz wurde peer-reviewed veröffentlicht und ist ebenfalls in diesem Repositorium verzeichnet unter: https://opus4.kobv.de/opus4-oth-regensburg/8485 PB - Research Square Platform LLC ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schumm, Leon A1 - Haas, Jannik A1 - Peer, Rebecca A1 - Sterner, Michael T1 - The role of hydrogen offtaker regulation in highly renewable electricity systems JF - Energy N2 - The growing demand for green hydrogen necessitates a rapid scale-up of production and exports to meet decarbonization targets globally. However, current ramp-up efforts remain insufficient, calling for policies that unlock the potential of hydrogen as a low-carbon energy carrier. A key lever is the offtaker regulation, which impacts the pace and sustainability of export projects. This study investigates minimum renewable share requirements for hydrogen exports in countries with high renewable electricity shares. Using New Zealand as a case study, we develop a fully sector-coupled capacity expansion and dispatch model, integrating hydrogen and electricity network planning based on PyPSA-Earth. The model optimizes New Zealand’s energy system under varying export scenarios, renewable electricity shares, and resulting system impacts. We find that domestic electricity demand and renewable expansion rates dominate long-term outcomes, while progressive regulation enables short-term hydrogen and Power-to-X exports. Relaxing the renewable threshold from 80% to 60% triples export volumes from 2.5 TWh to 8.2 TWh by 2030. We propose a two-stage requirement: an initially progressive threshold to attract investment with low consequential emissions, followed by stricter regulation to prevent high emissions, rising domestic electricity prices, and declining hydrogen competitiveness. This framework, demonstrated for New Zealand, can guide hydrogen-exporting countries worldwide. KW - Climate neutrality KW - e-fuels KW - Emission intensity KW - Energy systems modelling KW - Hydrogen exports KW - Hydrogen offtaker regulation KW - Power-to-X Y1 - 2026 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2025.139513 N1 - Corresponding author der OTH Regensburg: Leon Schumm VL - 342 PB - Elsevier ER -