<?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-8"?>
<export-example>
  <doc>
    <id>2124</id>
    <completedYear/>
    <publishedYear>2021</publishedYear>
    <thesisYearAccepted/>
    <language>eng</language>
    <pageFirst>442</pageFirst>
    <pageLast>453</pageLast>
    <pageNumber/>
    <edition/>
    <issue/>
    <volume/>
    <type>conferenceobject</type>
    <publisherName>Springer</publisherName>
    <publisherPlace>Cham</publisherPlace>
    <creatingCorporation/>
    <contributingCorporation/>
    <belongsToBibliography>0</belongsToBibliography>
    <completedDate>2021-10-31</completedDate>
    <publishedDate>--</publishedDate>
    <thesisDateAccepted>--</thesisDateAccepted>
    <title language="eng">Bus Demand Forecasting for Rural Areas Using XGBoost and Random Forest Algorithm</title>
    <abstract language="eng">In recent years, mobility solutions have experienced a significant upswing. Consequently, it has increased the importance of forecasting the number of passengers and determining the associated demand for vehicles. We analyze all bus routes in a rural area in contrast to other work that predicts just a single bus route. Some differences in bus routes in rural areas compared to cities are highlighted and substantiated by a case study data using Roding, a town in the rural district of Cham in northern Bavaria, as an example. Data collected and we selected a random forest model that lets us determine the passenger demand, bus line effectiveness, or general user behavior. The prediction accuracy of the selected model is currently 87%. The collected data helps to build new mobility-as-a-service solutions, such as on-call buses or dynamic route optimizations, as we show with our simulation.</abstract>
    <parentTitle language="eng">CISIM2021: 20th International Conference on Computer Information Systems and Industrial Management Applications, September 24-26 2021, Ełk, Poland</parentTitle>
    <identifier type="isbn">978-3-030-84340-3</identifier>
    <identifier type="doi">10.1007/978-3-030-84340-3_36</identifier>
    <enrichment key="opus.source">publish</enrichment>
    <enrichment key="OtherSeries">Lecture Notes in Computer Science ; 12883</enrichment>
    <enrichment key="BegutachtungStatus">peer-reviewed</enrichment>
    <licence>Keine Lizenz - Es gilt das deutsche Urheberrecht: § 53 UrhG</licence>
    <author>Timo Stadler</author>
    <author>Amitrajit Sarkar</author>
    <author>Jan Dünnweber</author>
    <subject>
      <language>eng</language>
      <type>uncontrolled</type>
      <value>Transportation</value>
    </subject>
    <subject>
      <language>eng</language>
      <type>uncontrolled</type>
      <value>Rural mobility</value>
    </subject>
    <subject>
      <language>eng</language>
      <type>uncontrolled</type>
      <value>Prediction</value>
    </subject>
    <subject>
      <language>deu</language>
      <type>swd</type>
      <value>Öffentlicher Personennahverkehr</value>
    </subject>
    <subject>
      <language>deu</language>
      <type>swd</type>
      <value>Ländlicher Raum</value>
    </subject>
    <subject>
      <language>deu</language>
      <type>swd</type>
      <value>Verkehrsnachfrage</value>
    </subject>
    <subject>
      <language>deu</language>
      <type>swd</type>
      <value>Prognosemodell</value>
    </subject>
    <subject>
      <language>eng</language>
      <type>uncontrolled</type>
      <value>Random Forest</value>
    </subject>
    <collection role="ddc" number="005">Computerprogrammierung, Programme, Daten</collection>
    <collection role="institutes" number="FakIM">Fakultät Informatik und Mathematik</collection>
    <collection role="institutes" number="RCAI">Research Center for Artificial Intelligence - RCAI</collection>
    <collection role="institutes" number="">Labor Parallele und Verteilte Systeme</collection>
    <collection role="othforschungsschwerpunkt" number="">Digitale Transformation</collection>
  </doc>
</export-example>
