Antifragile perimeter control: Thriving on disruptions through reinforcement learning

  • The optimal operation of transportation systems is often susceptible to unexpected disruptions. Many established control strategies reliant on mathematical models can struggle with real-world disruptions, leading to significant divergence from their anticipated efficiency. This study integrates the cutting-edge concept of antifragility with learning-based traffic control strategies to optimize urban road network operations under disruptions. Antifragile systems not only withstand and recover from stressors but also thrive and enhance performance in the presence of such adverse events. We develop a deep reinforcement learning framework that incorporates antifragile modules composed of traffic state derivatives and redundancy. Subsequently, it is evaluated in a cordon-shaped transportation network and a case study with real-world data. Promising results highlight that the proposed algorithm provides: (i) superior performance achieving up to 27.6% and 41.9% performance gain over baselines under increasing demand and supply disruptions,The optimal operation of transportation systems is often susceptible to unexpected disruptions. Many established control strategies reliant on mathematical models can struggle with real-world disruptions, leading to significant divergence from their anticipated efficiency. This study integrates the cutting-edge concept of antifragility with learning-based traffic control strategies to optimize urban road network operations under disruptions. Antifragile systems not only withstand and recover from stressors but also thrive and enhance performance in the presence of such adverse events. We develop a deep reinforcement learning framework that incorporates antifragile modules composed of traffic state derivatives and redundancy. Subsequently, it is evaluated in a cordon-shaped transportation network and a case study with real-world data. Promising results highlight that the proposed algorithm provides: (i) superior performance achieving up to 27.6% and 41.9% performance gain over baselines under increasing demand and supply disruptions, (ii) lower distribution skewness under disruptions, demonstrating its relative antifragility against baselines, (iii) effectiveness under limited observability due to real-world data availability constraints, and (iv) the robustness and transferability to be incorporated into recent state-of-the-art RL architectures. The proposed antifragile methodology is generalizable and holds potential for applications beyond traffic engineering, offering integration into control systems exposed to disruptions across various disciplines.…show moreshow less

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Metadaten
Author:Linghang SunORCiD, Michail A. MakridisORCiD, Alexander Genser, Cristian AxenieORCiD, Margherita Grossi, Anastasios KouvelasORCiD
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2026.113194
ISSN:0951-8320
Parent Title (English):Reliability Engineering & System Safety
Publisher:Elsevier
Document Type:Article
Language:English
Date of first Publication:2026/07/27
Reviewed:Begutachtet/Reviewed
Release Date:2026/07/31
Tag:Antifragility; Disruptions; Macroscopic fundamental diagram; Perimeter control; Reinforcement learning
Article Number:113194
institutes:Fakultät Informatik
Zentrum für Künstliche Intelligenz (KIZ)
Research Themes:Mobilität, Verkehr, Logistik
Digitalisierung & Künstliche Intelligenz
Licence (German):Creative Commons - CC BY - Namensnennung 4.0 International
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