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Let $\sigma_t(x)$ denote the implied volatility at maturity t for a strike $K = S_0 e^{x t}$, where $x \in R$ and $S_0$ is the current value of the underlying. We show that $\sigma_t(x)$ has a uniform (in $x$) limit as maturity t tends to infinity, given by the formula \sigma_{\infty}(x) = \sqrt2 (h^*(x)^{1/2} + (h^*(x) − x)^{1/2}, for $x$ in some compact neighbourhood of zero in the class of affine stochastic volatility models. The function $h^*$ is the convex dual of the limiting cumulant generating function $h$ of the scaled log-spot process. We express $h$ in terms of the functional characteristics of the underlying model. The proof of the limiting formula rests on the large deviation behaviour of the scaled log-spot process as time tends to infinity. We apply our results to obtain the limiting smile for several classes of stochastic volatility models with jumps used in applications (e.g. Heston with state-independent jumps, Bates with state-dependent jumps and Barndorff-Nielsen-Shephard model).
Cubature methods, a powerful alternative to Monte Carlo due to Kusuoka [Adv. Math. Econ. 6, 69–83, 2004] and Lyons–Victoir [Proc. R. Soc. Lond. Ser. A 460, 169–198, 2004], involve the solution to numerous auxiliary ordinary differential equations. With focus on the Ninomiya-Victoir algorithm [Appl. Math. Fin. 15, 107–121, 2008], which corresponds to a concrete level 5 cubature method, we study some parametric diffusion models motivated from financial applications, and exhibit structural conditions under which all involved ODEs can be solved explicitly and efficiently. We then enlarge the class of models for which this technique applies, by introducing a (model-dependent) variation of the Ninomiya-Victoir method. Our method remains easy to implement; numerical examples illustrate the savings in computation time.
Density expansions for hypoelliptic diffusions (X1^,...,X^d) are revisited. In particular, we are interested in density expansions of the projection (X^1_T,...,X^l_T) at time $T>0$, with $l \le d$. Global conditions are found which replace the well-known ”not-in-cutlocus” condition known from heat-kernel asymptotics; cf. G. Ben Arous (88). Our small noise expansion allows for a ”second order” exponential factor. Applications include tail and implied volatility asymptotics in some correlated stochastic volatility models; in particular, we solve a problem left open by A. Gulisashvili and E.M. Stein (2009).
A robust implementation of a Dupire type local volatility model is an important issue for every option trading floor. In the present note we provide new analytic insights into the asymptotic behavior of local volatility in the wings. We present a general approximation formula and specialize it to the Heston model, showing that local variance is linear in the wings. This further justifies the choice of certain local volatility parametrizations.
A robust implementation of a Dupire type local volatility model is an important issue for every option trading floor. Typically, this (inverse) problem is solved in a two step procedure : (i) a smooth parametrization of the implied volatility surface; (ii) computation of the local volatility based on the resulting call price surface. Point (i), and in particular how to extrapolate the implied volatility in extreme strike regimes not seen in the market, has been the subject of numerous articles, starting with Lee (Math. Finance, 2004). In the present paper we give direct analytic insights into the asymptotic behavior of local volatility at extreme strikes.
Convergence of Heston to SVI
(2011)
In this short note, we prove by an appropriate change of variables that the SVI implied volatility parameterization presented in~\cite{Gatheral} and the large-time asymptotic of the Heston implied volatility derived in~\cite{FJM} agree algebraically, thus confirming a conjecture from~\cite{Gatheral} as well as providing a simpler expression for the asymptotic implied volatility in the Heston model. We show how this result can help in interpreting SVI parameters.
We derive a full asymptotic expansion for call option prices and a third order approximation for implied volatility in the large-time, large log-moneyness regime for a general exponential Levy model, by extending the saddlepoint argument used in Forde,Jacquier & Mijatovic for the Heston model. As for the Heston model, there are two special log-moneyness values where the call option asymptotics are qualitatively different, and we use an Edgeworth expansion to deal with these cases. We also characterise the behaviour of the implied volatility skew at large-maturities; in particular we show that the derivative of the dimensionless implied variance with respect to log-moneyness exists and is less than or equal to 4 in the large-maturity limit, which is consistent with the bound on the right and left-side derivative given in Rogers&Tehranchi.
Using Freidlin-Wentzell sample path large deviations theory, we characterise the small-time behaviour of probabilities of a process following an uncorrelated local-stochastic volatility model.
As a corollary, we determine the small-maturity behaviour of the implied volatility under this class of processes.
This note studies an issue relating to essential smoothness that can arise when the theory of large deviations is applied to a certain option pricing formula in the Heston model. The note identifies a gap, based on this issue, in the proof of Corollary 2.4 in [2] and describes how to circumvent it. This completes the proof of Corollary 2.4 in [2] and hence of the main result in [2], which describes the limiting behaviour of the implied volatility smile in the Heston model far from maturity.