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Let $\sigma_t(x)$ denote the implied volatility at maturity t for a strike $K = S_0 e^{x t}$, where $x \in R$ and $S_0$ is the current value of the underlying. We show that $\sigma_t(x)$ has a uniform (in $x$) limit as maturity t tends to infinity, given by the formula \sigma_{\infty}(x) = \sqrt2 (h^*(x)^{1/2} + (h^*(x) − x)^{1/2}, for $x$ in some compact neighbourhood of zero in the class of affine stochastic volatility models. The function $h^*$ is the convex dual of the limiting cumulant generating function $h$ of the scaled log-spot process. We express $h$ in terms of the functional characteristics of the underlying model. The proof of the limiting formula rests on the large deviation behaviour of the scaled log-spot process as time tends to infinity. We apply our results to obtain the limiting smile for several classes of stochastic volatility models with jumps used in applications (e.g. Heston with state-independent jumps, Bates with state-dependent jumps and Barndorff-Nielsen-Shephard model).
We consider a general class of continuous asset price models where the drift and the volatility functions, as well as the driving Brownian motions, change at a random time. Under minimal assumptions on the random time and on the driving Brownian motions, we study the behavior of the model in all the filtrations which naturally arise in this setting, establishing martingale representation results and characterizing the validity of the NA1 and NFLVR no-arbitrage conditions.
We develop a model for the dynamic evolution of default-free and defaultable interest rates in a LIBOR framework. Utilizing the class of affine processes, this model produces positive LIBOR rates and spreads, while the dynamics are analytically tractable under defaultable forward measures. This leads to explicit formulas for CDS spreads, while semi-analytical formulas are derived for other credit derivatives. Finally, we give an application to counterparty risk.
Cubature methods, a powerful alternative to Monte Carlo due to Kusuoka [Adv. Math. Econ. 6, 69–83, 2004] and Lyons–Victoir [Proc. R. Soc. Lond. Ser. A 460, 169–198, 2004], involve the solution to numerous auxiliary ordinary differential equations. With focus on the Ninomiya-Victoir algorithm [Appl. Math. Fin. 15, 107–121, 2008], which corresponds to a concrete level 5 cubature method, we study some parametric diffusion models motivated from financial applications, and exhibit structural conditions under which all involved ODEs can be solved explicitly and efficiently. We then enlarge the class of models for which this technique applies, by introducing a (model-dependent) variation of the Ninomiya-Victoir method. Our method remains easy to implement; numerical examples illustrate the savings in computation time.
Density expansions for hypoelliptic diffusions (X1^,...,X^d) are revisited. In particular, we are interested in density expansions of the projection (X^1_T,...,X^l_T) at time $T>0$, with $l \le d$. Global conditions are found which replace the well-known ”not-in-cutlocus” condition known from heat-kernel asymptotics; cf. G. Ben Arous (88). Our small noise expansion allows for a ”second order” exponential factor. Applications include tail and implied volatility asymptotics in some correlated stochastic volatility models; in particular, we solve a problem left open by A. Gulisashvili and E.M. Stein (2009).
A robust implementation of a Dupire type local volatility model is an important issue for every option trading floor. In the present note we provide new analytic insights into the asymptotic behavior of local volatility in the wings. We present a general approximation formula and specialize it to the Heston model, showing that local variance is linear in the wings. This further justifies the choice of certain local volatility parametrizations.
We solve Skorokhod's embedding problem for Brownian motion with linear drift $(W_t+ \kappa t)_{t\geq 0}$ by means of techniques of stochastic control theory. The search for a stopping time
$T$ such that the law of $W_T + \kappa T$ coincides with a prescribed law $\mu$ possessing the first
moment is based on solutions of backward stochastic differential equations of quadratic
type. This new approach generalizes an approach by Bass [Bas] of the classical version of
Skorokhod's embedding problem using martingale representation techniques.