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Natural gas savings in Germany during the 2022 energy crisis

  • Russia curbed its natural gas supply to Europe in 2021 and 2022, creating a grave energy crisis. This paper empirically estimates the crisis response of natural gas consumers in Germany—for decades the largest export market for Russian gas. Using a multiple regression model, we estimate the response of small consumers, industry, and power stations separately, controlling for the non-linear temperature-heating relationship, seasonality, and trends. We find significant and substantial gas savings for all consumer groups, but with differences in timing and size. For instance, industry started reducing consumption as early as September 2021, while small consumers saved substantially only since March 2022. Across all sectors, gas consumption during the second half of 2022 was 23% below the temperature-adjusted baseline. We discuss the drivers behind these savings and draw conclusions on their role in coping with the crisis.

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Metadaten
Document Type:Article
Language:English
Author(s):Oliver Ruhnau, Clemens StieweORCiD, Jarusch Muessel, Lion HirthORCiD
Parent Title (English):Nature Energy
Publication year:2023
Embargo Date:2023/11/04
Publishing Institution:Hertie School
DOI:https://doi.org/10.48462/opus4-4944
Release Date:2023/05/12
Notes:
This is a post-peer-review, pre-copyedit version of an article published in Nature Energy. The final authenticated version is available online at: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-023-01260-5
Hertie School Research:Publications PhD Researchers
AY 22/23:AY 22/23
Licence of document (German):Metadaten (öffentlich), post-print
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