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European industry responds to high energy prices: The case of German ammonia production.

  • Since September 2021, European natural gas prices are at record-high levels. On average, they have been six to seven times higher than pre-pandemic price levels. While the post-pandemic recovery of global natural gas demand has driven up prices around the world, the most important drivers for European gas prices were Russia's less-than-usual supply since mid-2021 and its invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. Western efforts to abandon Russian gas imports altogether mean that high natural gas prices are likely to stay for longer. While high gas prices may be the new normal, there is uncertainty about the economic reaction to this shock. How do energy-intensive industries react? Do global value chains collapse if intermediate goods produced in Europe become uneconomic because of high energy prices? Our preliminary analysis shows that industry response to has in fact been visible from the very onset of the energy crisis. A closer look at German fertilizer production, which heavily relies on natural gas as fuel and feedstock to produce ammonia as an intermediate product, reveals that increased ammonia imports have allowed domestic fertilizer production to remain remarkably stable.

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Metadaten
Document Type:Working Paper
Language:English
Author(s):Clemens StieweORCiD, Oliver Ruhnau, Lion HirthORCiD
Publication year:2022
Publishing Institution:Hertie School
Number pages:6
Related URL:https://www.econstor.eu/handle/10419/253251
Release Date:2022/10/24
Tag:Centre for Sustainability; Demand response; Energy Demand; European energy crisis; Natural gas
AY 22/23:AY 22/23
Licence of document (German):Metadaten / metadata
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