TY - RPRT A1 - Nguyen, Thu T1 - Institutional Corsets and the Question of Timing: How Much Damage Can the Hungarian Council Presidency Do? N2 - Hungary is set to take over the EU Council presidency in the second half of 2024. Given the state of the rule of law in the country, there are doubts whether Hungary will be able to successfully fulfill tis role. A debate on whether it should be blocked from taking over the presidency on 1 July 2024 is in full swing. In this Policy Position, Thu Nguyen analyses the institutional role of Council presidencies, and argues that the Hungarian presidency will not be able to do much damage considering both the institutional corset and the time period in which it will operate. Y1 - 2023 UR - https://www.delorscentre.eu/en/publications/hungarian-council-presidency ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Nguyen, Thu T1 - Warum sich die Europäische Union erweitern und reformieren muss N2 - Die Europäische Union muss sich erweitern, möchte sie ihre unmittelbare Nachbarschaft stabilisieren und dem Einfluss Russlands in der Region vorbeugen. In dieser Policy Position argumentiert Thu Nguyen, dass jedoch sowohl künftige Mitgliedstaaten als auch die EU für die Erweiterung bereit sein müssen. Dazu braucht es Reformen, vor allem in drei Bereichen: Rechtsstaatlichkeit, Handlungsfähigkeit und EU-Haushalt. Y1 - 2023 UR - https://www.delorscentre.eu/de/publikationen/detail/publication/warum-sich-die-europaeische-union-erweitern-und-reformieren-muss ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Lindner, Johannes A1 - Nguyen, Thu A1 - Hansum, Romy T1 - What does it cost? Financial implications of the next enlargement N2 - Despite a broad consensus in the EU on the necessity of enlargement, it is far from a done deal. Especially the financial implications a Ukraine accession pose uncertainties. In our policy paper, Johannes Lindner, Thu Nguyen and Romy Hansum show that the next enlargement round would have less of an impact on the EU budget than is generally assumed. This is largely because the EU’s multiannual financial framework (MFF) has inherent adaptation mechanisms to mitigate significant fluctuations. At the same time, we stress that is impossible to predict precisely what the EU’s MFF, under which accession will happen, will look like as the rules and allocations are subject to political negotiations. Lastly, enlargement is not the only issue adding pressure on the EU budget in a Union that faces huge challenges. Y1 - 2023 UR - https://www.delorscentre.eu/en/publications/financial-implications-of-the-next-enlargement ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Jansen, Jannik A1 - Nguyen, Thu T1 - Between Continuity and a Perforated 'Cordon Sanitaire' - On the 2024 European Elections N2 - Between 6-9 July 2024, the 720 members of the European Parliament were elected across 27 Member States. While the elections have not led to a landslide shift to the right, there is a notable consolidation of far-right parties at the European level. Still, the pro-European centre is holding firm and maintains a majority. In this Policy Brief, Jannik Jansen and Thu Nguyen argue that the results likely indicate by-and-large continuity in the European Parliament, including an ongoing shift to the right on contested issues due to a perforated ‘cordon sanitaire’. But the election results had heavily disruptive consequences on the national level, which in France has triggered snap parliamentary elections. This will have pronounced impact on the balance of power in the (European) Council and on the EU as a whole. Y1 - 2024 UR - https://www.delorscentre.eu/en/publications/detail/publication/between-continuity-and-a-perforated-cordon-sanitaire ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Nguyen, Thu T1 - What the EU should do about Viktor Orbán N2 - The European Council summit on March 20 ended, like the one two weeks earlier, with two conclusions: one adopted by all 27 member states and another on Ukraine, approved by 26 leaders without Hungary to bypass Viktor Orbán’s veto. While in this case only with symbolic consequences, the pro-Russian, authoritarian-leaning government in Budapest regularly undermines the EU’s ability to act. This is not a new problem. But in a radically changed global landscape, the EU must finally address it. It should do so in three steps: withholding EU funds, politically isolating Hungary, and suspending its voting rights. Y1 - 2025 UR - https://www.delorscentre.eu/en/publications/detail/publication/what-the-eu-should-do-about-viktor-orban ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Karpenstein, Ulrich A1 - Nguyen, Thu A1 - Spieker, Luke Dimitrios T1 - A Matter of Solidarity: A New Approach to Revive Article 7 TEU Against Hungary N2 - Viktor Orbán increasingly undermines the EU’s collective interests. The Hungarian government systematically uses its veto powers to block Ukrainian military aid and accession negotiations and to dilute sanctions against Russia. An Article 7 TEU procedure launched against Hungary based on breaches of the rule of law has proven to be a dead end. Given the existential geopolitical threats the EU is facing, and the urgency with which it needs to support Ukraine, the time is nigh for a new approach. In this joint policy brief, Ulrich Karpenstein, Thu Nguyen, and Luke Dimitrios Spieker argue that rather than focusing on democracy, the rule of law, and human rights, which runs a high risk of being opposed by certain Member States, a new Article 7 TEU procedure should be initiated against Hungary based on a breach of solidarity in the Common Foreign and Security Policy. Y1 - 2025 UR - https://www.delorscentre.eu/en/publications/detail/publication/a-matter-of-solidarity ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Nguyen, Thu A1 - Jansen, Jannik T1 - If Europe keeps placating its own far right, how can it possibly stand up to Trump? N2 - European leaders have been pulled to the right on migration, the climate crisis and Israel. Their weakness is undermining the democratic principles on which the EU was built. Y1 - 2025 UR - https://www.delorscentre.eu/en/publications/detail/publication/if-europe-keeps-placating-its-own-far-right-how-can-it-possibly-stand-up-to-trump ER -