TY - JOUR A1 - Brüggmann, Daniel A1 - Kreyenfeld, Michaela T1 - Earnings Trajectories After Divorce: The Legacies of the Earner Model During Marriage JF - Population Research and Policy Review N2 - Divorce marks the legal endpoint of a marital union. While divorce is increasingly seen as a ‘clean break’, the past marital history of the couple may nevertheless shape their present conditions. In particular, there may be a legacy of a highly gendered division of labour during marriage that may affect the ex-spouses’ earning trajectories beyond the date of divorce. Using register data from the German Pension Fund, we examine the earning trajectories of heterosexual couples who filed for a divorce in 2013 (24,616 men and 24,616 women). Using fixed-effects and matching techniques, we compare the earning trajectories of divorcees with those of a control group of married persons in the period spanning two years before and two years after divorce. In particular, we examine how the earner models divorcees followed during marriage shaped their future earning trajectories. Our results show that, on average, the earnings of a divorced woman in a male breadwinner constellation increased after divorce, while the earnings of her male ex-spouse declined. Nevertheless, large gender differences in earnings persisted: 2 years after separation, a divorced woman who had been in a male breadwinner constellation was, on average, earning 72% less than her ex-spouse. We discuss our findings against the background of recent policy reforms in Germany, which assume that ex-partners should be economically ‘self-reliant’ after divorce. Y1 - 2023 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s11113-023-09756-4 N1 - Open Access publication is funded by the Hertie School Library VL - 42 ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Lambert, Philippe A1 - Kreyenfeld, Michaela T1 - Exogenous time-varying covariates in double additive cure survival model with application to fertility N2 - Extended cure survival models enable to separate covariates that affect the probability of an event (or `long-term' survival) from those only affecting the event timing (or `short-term' survival). We propose to generalize the bounded cumulative hazard model to handle additive terms for time-varying (exogenous) covariates jointly impacting long- and short-term survival. The selection of the penalty parameters is a challenge in that framework. A fast algorithm based on Laplace approximations in Bayesian P-spline models is proposed. The methodology is motivated by fertility studies where women's characteristics such as the employment status and the income (to cite a few) can vary in a non-trivial and frequent way during the individual follow-up. The method is furthermore illustrated by drawing on register data from the German Pension Fund which enabled us to study how women's time-varying earnings relate to first birth transitions. Y1 - 2023 U6 - https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2302.00331 PB - arXiv ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Kreyenfeld, Michaela A1 - Konietzka, Dirk A1 - Lambert, Philippe A1 - Ramos, Vincent Jerald T1 - Second Birth Fertility in Germany: Social Class, Gender, and the Role of Economic Uncertainty JF - European Journal of Population N2 - Building on a thick strand of the literature on the determinants of higher-order births, this study uses a gender and class perspective to analyse second birth progression rates in Germany. Using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel from 1990 to 2020, individuals are classified based on their occupation into: upper service, lower service, skilled manual/higher-grade routine nonmanual, and semi-/unskilled manual/lower-grade routine nonmanual classes. Results highlight the “economic advantage” of men and women in service classes who experience strongly elevated second birth rates. Finally, we demonstrate that upward career mobility post-first birth is associated with higher second birth rates, particularly among men. Y1 - 2023 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s10680-023-09656-5 N1 - Open Access publication is funded by the Hertie School Library VL - 39 ER - TY - CHAP A1 - Kreyenfeld, Michaela A1 - Konietzka, Dirk ED - Arránz Becker, Oliver ED - Hank, Karsten ED - Steinbach, Anja T1 - Sozialstruktur und Familienformen T2 - Handbuch Familiensoziologie N2 - Dieser Beitrag gibt auf Basis der Daten des Mikrozensus einen Überblick über den Wandel der Familienformen in Deutschland. Es wird untersucht, inwieweit alleinerziehende, nichteheliche und eheliche Familien sozialstrukturell differenziert sind und in welchem Ausmaß sich die ökonomische Lebenslage der verschiedenen Familienformen unterscheidet. Y1 - 2023 SN - 978-3-658-35218-9 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-35219-6_26 SP - 657 EP - 674 PB - Springer VS CY - Wiesbaden ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Lambert, Philippe A1 - Kreyenfeld, Michaela T1 - Exogenous time-varying covariates in double additive cure survival model with application to fertility Y1 - 2023 UR - https://dial.uclouvain.be/pr/boreal/object/boreal%3A272223/datastream/PDF_01/view PB - ISBA CY - Louvain-la-Neuve ET - LIDAM Discussion Paper IBA 2023/06 ER -