TY - JOUR A1 - Knudsen, Edward L. T1 - Escape from the ‘lost decades?’ Governance challenges in Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, Mexico, and Venezuela JF - Global Policy N2 - Much of Latin America has experienced a renewed ‘lost decade’, failing to substantially expand quality of life since the late 2000s. While the outcomes of governance performance across the largest countries – including Brazil, Venezuela, Mexico, Colombia, and Argentina – have discrete causes, common themes like internal conflict, corruption, and overreliance on natural resources plague the entire region. Put more generally, the inability to turn democratic accountability into a state mechanism able to deliver economic growth and public goods in a sustainable manner is a liability affecting all five countries. To explore the difficulties that the large Latin American countries have faced in the twenty‐first century, this article examines results from the 2022 Berggruen Governance Index, and then presents three key issues facing the region: insufficient state capacity, flirtations with authoritarianism, and economic inequality and inflation. While the challenges remain substantial, increased regional integration may offer one way out of the predicament. Y1 - 2023 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.13279 SN - 1758-5880 VL - 14 IS - S4 SP - 113 EP - 123 PB - Wiley ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Anheier, Helmut K. A1 - Abels, Christoph M. A1 - Yang, Yuqing A1 - Knudsen, Edward L. T1 - Germany's Soft Power 2030: Scenarios for an Unsettled World – Executive Summary JF - “Germany’s Soft Power 2030: Scenarios for an Unsettled World – Executive Summary,” in: Helmut K. Anheier and ifa (eds.) N2 - This foresight project focuses on a key question for the future of Germany’s foreign policy: Given changing geopolitical and economic relationships among major powers, what possible futures can be foreseen soft power approaches or external cultural policy (ECP) in terms of narratives, strategies, goals, policies, and programmatic activities? To address this question, we place Germany in a comparative framework of international relations that considers soft power approaches in the context of prevailing geopolitical and economic relations between the European Union, the United States of America, and the People’s Republic of China as well as other global players. In each case, we consider soft power approaches relative to hard and sharp power options. The time frame for the future scenarios is the year 2030, anticipating likely and potential developments and events from 2022 onward. The scenarios are based on a series of brainstorming and validation sessions, literature reviews, personal interviews, and an online survey fielded among experts and representatives of leading institutions. We identified two major drivers of future developments: the state of the world economy and the state of the world’s security situation. Exploring the interaction between these two drivers yielded four distinct scenarios. Y1 - 2022 UR - https://opus.bsz-bw.de/ifa/frontdoor/index/index/searchtype/collection/id/16240/docId/160 U6 - https://doi.org/10.17901/ecp.2022.077 SP - 1 EP - 7 ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Freudlsperger, Christian A1 - Knudsen, Edward L. A1 - Redeker, Nils T1 - Transatlantic Trade post-Trump - Priorities for a Pragmatic Reset N2 - After four turbulent years in trade relations, Europe has high expectations of the Biden administration. However, the room for big trade reforms is small and new grand-scale liberalization is neither economically necessary nor politically realistic. Accordingly, we propose a pragmatic agenda that focuses on ending ongoing trade conflicts and making progress on some WTO reforms as well as trade-adjacent issues such as climate change and supply-chain security. Y1 - 2020 UR - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:b1570-opus4-37127 UR - https://www.delorscentre.eu/en/publications/detail/publication/transatlantic-trade-post-trump-priorities-for-a-pragmatic-reset ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Lamy, Pascal A1 - Knudsen, Edward L. A1 - Bérard, Marie-Hélène A1 - Fabry, Elvire A1 - Fatah, Farid A1 - Pons, Geneviève A1 - Schweitzter, Louis A1 - Vimont, Pierre T1 - American Extraterritorial sanctions. Did someone say European strategic autonomy? N2 - Two years after an initial publication1 on the recommended position that the European Union should take action against US extraterritorial sanctions affecting it, this updated and expanded version draws the consequences of major developments since Y1 - 2021 UR - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:b1570-opus4-38042 ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Anheier, Helmut K. A1 - Abels, Christoph M. A1 - Yang, Yuqing A1 - Knudsen, Edward L. T1 - Germany’s Soft Power 2030: Scenarios for an Unsettled World N2 - This foresight project focuses on a key question for the future of Germany’s foreign policy: Given changing geopolitical and economic relationships among major powers, what possible futures can be foreseen soft power approaches or external cultural policy (ECP) in terms of narratives, strategies, goals, policies, and programmatic activities? To address this question, we place Germany in a comparative framework of international relations that considers soft power approaches in the context of prevailing geopolitical and economic relations between the European Union, the United States of America, and the People’s Republic of China as well as other global players. In each case, we consider soft power approaches relative to hard and sharp power options. The time frame for the future scenarios is the year 2030, anticipating likely and potential developments and events from 2022 onward. The scenarios are based on a series of brainstorming and validation sessions, literature reviews, personal interviews, and an online survey fielded among experts and representatives of leading institutions. We identified two major drivers of future developments: the state of the world economy and the state of the world’s security situation. Exploring the interaction between these two drivers yielded four distinct scenarios. Y1 - 2022 UR - https://opus.bsz-bw.de/ifa/frontdoor/index/index/searchtype/collection/id/16240/docId/159 U6 - https://doi.org/10.17901/ecp.2022.076 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Anheier, Helmut K. A1 - Begg, Iain A1 - Knudsen, Edward L. ED - Anheier, Helmut K. ED - Begg, Iain T1 - Can Circles be Squared? Quandaries and Contestation Shaping the Future of Europe JF - Ralf Dahrendorf and the European Union 2030: Looking Back, Looking Forward KW - Social Policy Y1 - 2020 UR - https://www.dahrendorf-forum.eu/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/Published-version.pdf SP - 105 EP - 114 ER -