TY - RPRT A1 - Freudlsperger, Christian A1 - Knudsen, Edward L. A1 - Redeker, Nils T1 - Transatlantic Trade post-Trump - Priorities for a Pragmatic Reset N2 - After four turbulent years in trade relations, Europe has high expectations of the Biden administration. However, the room for big trade reforms is small and new grand-scale liberalization is neither economically necessary nor politically realistic. Accordingly, we propose a pragmatic agenda that focuses on ending ongoing trade conflicts and making progress on some WTO reforms as well as trade-adjacent issues such as climate change and supply-chain security. Y1 - 2020 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:kobv:b1570-opus4-37127 UR - https://www.delorscentre.eu/en/publications/detail/publication/transatlantic-trade-post-trump-priorities-for-a-pragmatic-reset ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Knudsen, Edward L. T1 - No going back? A transatlantic cooperation agenda under Biden N2 - If Joe Biden is elected US President in November, will he restore the preTrump era of transatlantic relations? While some Europeans may wish for that, it is neither feasible nor desirable, as Edward Knudsen argues in this policy brief. A changing geopolitical landscape and declining economic conditions mean that new solutions are needed. Instead of focussing on traditional forms of cooperation like liberalising trade and bolstering defence, the US and EU should work together to tackle inequality and corruption, address the climate emergency, and defuse geopolitical tensions. Y1 - 2020 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:kobv:b1570-opus4-36871 ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Knudsen, Edward L. T1 - The weaponisation of the US financial system: How can Europe respond? N2 - US secondary sanctions present a unique challenge for Europe. These measures limit where European firms can operate, hinder the EU’s ability to maintain its foreign commitments, and limit Europe’s ambitions of achieving strategic sovereignty. The US’s re-imposition of secondary sanctions on Iran in May 2018 has highlighted this issue. With geopolitical tensions rising, it is possible that the US could impose secondary sanctions on larger EU trading partners. In light of this possibility, this paper explores why secondary sanctions are so effective and offers concrete proposals to counter them. Y1 - 2020 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:kobv:b1570-opus4-35581 UR - https://www.delorscentre.eu/de/publikationen/detail/publication/the-weaponisation-of-the-us-financial-system-how-can-europe-respond ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Knudsen, Edward L. T1 - A kinder, gentler “America First?” Taking stock of transatlantic relations under Biden N2 - Over 100 days into the Biden administration, how have transatlantic relations shifted? This policy brief builds upon analysis from an October 2020 piece titled “No going back? A transatlantic cooperation agenda under Biden” and examines lessons for European policymakers from the first few months of Joe Biden’s presidency. It argues that while Biden has retained many core parts of Donald Trump’s “America First” agenda, there are still several promising avenues for transatlantic cooperation over the coming years. These include accelerated climate action, coordinated economic stimulus, and ensuring global vaccine access. Reaching these goals will require joint action to defuse geopolitical tensions and ensure greater economic justice at home and abroad. Y1 - 2021 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:kobv:b1570-opus4-39323 UR - https://www.delorscentre.eu/en/publications/detail/publication/a-kinder-gentler-america-first U6 - https://doi.org/10.48462/opus4-3932 ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Anheier, Helmut K. A1 - Abels, Christoph M. A1 - Yang, Yuqing A1 - Knudsen, Edward L. T1 - Germany’s Soft Power 2030: Scenarios for an Unsettled World N2 - This foresight project focuses on a key question for the future of Germany’s foreign policy: Given changing geopolitical and economic relationships among major powers, what possible futures can be foreseen soft power approaches or external cultural policy (ECP) in terms of narratives, strategies, goals, policies, and programmatic activities? To address this question, we place Germany in a comparative framework of international relations that considers soft power approaches in the context of prevailing geopolitical and economic relations between the European Union, the United States of America, and the People’s Republic of China as well as other global players. In each case, we consider soft power approaches relative to hard and sharp power options. The time frame for the future scenarios is the year 2030, anticipating likely and potential developments and events from 2022 onward. The scenarios are based on a series of brainstorming and validation sessions, literature reviews, personal interviews, and an online survey fielded among experts and representatives of leading institutions. We identified two major drivers of future developments: the state of the world economy and the state of the world’s security situation. Exploring the interaction between these two drivers yielded four distinct scenarios. Y1 - 2022 UR - https://opus.bsz-bw.de/ifa/frontdoor/index/index/searchtype/collection/id/16240/docId/159 U6 - https://doi.org/10.17901/ecp.2022.076 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Anheier, Helmut K. A1 - Abels, Christoph M. A1 - Yang, Yuqing A1 - Knudsen, Edward L. T1 - Germany's Soft Power 2030: Scenarios for an Unsettled World – Executive Summary JF - “Germany’s Soft Power 2030: Scenarios for an Unsettled World – Executive Summary,” in: Helmut K. Anheier and ifa (eds.) N2 - This foresight project focuses on a key question for the future of Germany’s foreign policy: Given changing geopolitical and economic relationships among major powers, what possible futures can be foreseen soft power approaches or external cultural policy (ECP) in terms of narratives, strategies, goals, policies, and programmatic activities? To address this question, we place Germany in a comparative framework of international relations that considers soft power approaches in the context of prevailing geopolitical and economic relations between the European Union, the United States of America, and the People’s Republic of China as well as other global players. In each case, we consider soft power approaches relative to hard and sharp power options. The time frame for the future scenarios is the year 2030, anticipating likely and potential developments and events from 2022 onward. The scenarios are based on a series of brainstorming and validation sessions, literature reviews, personal interviews, and an online survey fielded among experts and representatives of leading institutions. We identified two major drivers of future developments: the state of the world economy and the state of the world’s security situation. Exploring the interaction between these two drivers yielded four distinct scenarios. Y1 - 2022 UR - https://opus.bsz-bw.de/ifa/frontdoor/index/index/searchtype/collection/id/16240/docId/160 U6 - https://doi.org/10.17901/ecp.2022.077 SP - 1 EP - 7 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Anheier, Helmut K. A1 - Knudsen, Edward L. T1 - The 21st century trust and leadership problem: Quoi faire? JF - Global Policy N2 - Much of the democratic world faces a form of socio-political crisis. To varying degrees, four trends seem to be present in almost every case: declining institutional trust, failing leadership, increasing political polarisation, and weakened accountability. Although each trend has its own dynamic and causes, they jointly create complex challenges and governance problems for democratic societies. Furthermore, underlying them all is the persistent problem of inequality, which erodes trust, prevents the best leaders from rising to the top, polarises society, and shields elites from accountability. We propose a wide range of potential solutions to this crisis. Of the four, we propose that countries focus primarily on increasing institutional trust and improving leadership potential. Both aspects are particularly impactful and malleable, could influence the other two components and, over time, create a virtuous cycle pulling countries out of crisis. Proposed measures for institutional trust include expanded civic literacy, more expansive regulation of tech platforms, stricter media laws to foster better public discourse and a wider use of codes of conduct. For leadership, we propose more diverse channels and expanded selection pools for leadership recruitment, emphasising ethical conviction and targeted incentives for leadership roles. Essential to all of them, however, is tackling inequality. Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.13162 SN - 1758-5880 SP - 1 EP - 10 ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Lamy, Pascal A1 - Knudsen, Edward L. A1 - Bérard, Marie-Hélène A1 - Fabry, Elvire A1 - Fatah, Farid A1 - Pons, Geneviève A1 - Schweitzter, Louis A1 - Vimont, Pierre T1 - American Extraterritorial sanctions. Did someone say European strategic autonomy? N2 - Two years after an initial publication1 on the recommended position that the European Union should take action against US extraterritorial sanctions affecting it, this updated and expanded version draws the consequences of major developments since Y1 - 2021 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:kobv:b1570-opus4-38042 U6 - https://doi.org/10.48462/opus4-3804 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Anheier, Helmut K. A1 - Begg, Iain A1 - Knudsen, Edward L. ED - Anheier, Helmut K. ED - Begg, Iain T1 - Can Circles be Squared? Quandaries and Contestation Shaping the Future of Europe JF - Ralf Dahrendorf and the European Union 2030: Looking Back, Looking Forward KW - Social Policy Y1 - 2020 UR - https://www.dahrendorf-forum.eu/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/Published-version.pdf SP - 105 EP - 114 ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Anheier, Helmut K. A1 - Knudsen, Edward L. A1 - Antes, Nicole A1 - Hamad, Mariam A1 - Kibwana, Aisha A1 - Markovic-Vastag, Darinka T1 - External Cultural Policy in International Comparison: Summary of the Report Y1 - 2019 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:kobv:b1570-opus4-45030 U6 - https://doi.org/10.48462/opus4-4503 N1 - This study was carried out as part of the project "Foreign Cultural and Educational Policy in Comparison: Germany and its Competitors", which was conducted by the Hertie School and supported by the Federal Foreign Office. PB - Hertie School CY - Berlin ER -