TY - RPRT A1 - Jansen, Jannik T1 - When trust becomes a luxury: How economic crises undermine political trust among the most disadvantaged N2 - Recent economic crises have disproportionately impacted the least advantaged in society. As Europe approaches the upcoming European Parliament elections in 2024, there are renewed concerns about an erosion of trust in democratic institutions in Europe. This policy brief looks back to the Great Recession in 2008, which led to a decline in trust and an increase in support for populist parties. Contrary to optimistic assessments, it shows that the apparent rebound of political trust at the country level masks heterogenous developments within European societies. Disadvantaged groups, particularly those with lower income and education levels, experienced a more pronounced drop in trust in the European Parliament in the aftermath of the Great Recession. Alarmingly, those groups’ trust levels have not bounced back to pre-crisis levels yet. To avoid that this gap in political trust widens even further, EU policymakers need to focus more on targeted support measures to cushion the blow of recent crises on already disadvantaged groups. Y1 - 2023 UR - https://www.delorscentre.eu/en/publications/political-trust-in-economic-crisis ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Jansen, Jannik A1 - Jäger, Philipp A1 - Redeker, Nils T1 - For climate, profits, or resilience? Why, where and how the EU should respond to the Inflation Reduction Act N2 - The US Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) has rekindled European fears of missing out in the global green technology race. However, EU member states still disagree on whether the greater risk lies in doing too much or too little. At heart, there remains significant confusion on which European sectors stand to lose competitiveness; how much the EU should fret about these losses; and whether there is a need for joint support from the EU level to avoid economic divergence. We take a first stab at the existing sectoral evidence. Our results suggest that the IRA will undercut European production costs in several sectors. This does not mean the EU must mimic the US program. However, it does mean that the EU needs to turn its piecemeal Green Deal Industrial Plan into a coherent strategy. This requires a greater focus on green industries in which Europe can develop a competitive edge and more joint financing at the EU level. Y1 - 2023 UR - https://www.delorscentre.eu/en/publications/ira-europe-response ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Jansen, Jannik T1 - When Europe talks climate, it needs to think jobs N2 - Europe’s climate and green industrial policies have faced criticism over lack of funding and coordination, but a shortage of skilled workers could be the key stumbling block for meeting the EU’s green ambitions. This policy brief shines a light on the challenges posed by this shortage. First, it provides an overview of the EU’s aspirational clean tech objectives. Second, it seeks to present a more nuanced perspective on the specific skill and labor requirements for producing and deploying key clean technologies, by providing an initial estimate for the workforce needed to meet the Union’s climate and industrial targets by 2030. Finally, it delves into the factors contributing to potential labor market bottlenecks and underscores the urgent need for targeted and coordinated policy actions. Y1 - 2023 UR - https://www.delorscentre.eu/en/publications/skilled-workers-in-the-green-transition ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Abou-Chadi, Tarik A1 - Jansen, Jannik A1 - Kollberg, Markus A1 - Redeker, Nils T1 - Debunking the Backlash - Uncovering European Voters' Climate Preferences N2 - The notion of a broad green backlash is set to dominate this year's European election campaign. Based on new survey data from more than 15.000 respondents in Germany, France and Poland, we show that it is largely overblown. A majority of voters still wish for a more ambitious climate policy and would support a raft of concrete measures to bring down emissions. However, supporting pivotal voters in the middle will require a stronger focus on green investment and industrial policy and offsetting measures for effective but unpopular policies like carbon pricing. Parties should not waste the coming months outbidding each other over how to cater to imagined climate fatigue but compete over concrete recipes to green the economy. Y1 - 2024 UR - https://www.delorscentre.eu/en/publications/detail/publication/debunking-the-backlash-uncovering-european-voters-climate-preferences ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Jansen, Jannik A1 - Nguyen, Thu T1 - Between Continuity and a Perforated 'Cordon Sanitaire' - On the 2024 European Elections N2 - Between 6-9 July 2024, the 720 members of the European Parliament were elected across 27 Member States. While the elections have not led to a landslide shift to the right, there is a notable consolidation of far-right parties at the European level. Still, the pro-European centre is holding firm and maintains a majority. In this Policy Brief, Jannik Jansen and Thu Nguyen argue that the results likely indicate by-and-large continuity in the European Parliament, including an ongoing shift to the right on contested issues due to a perforated ‘cordon sanitaire’. But the election results had heavily disruptive consequences on the national level, which in France has triggered snap parliamentary elections. This will have pronounced impact on the balance of power in the (European) Council and on the EU as a whole. Y1 - 2024 UR - https://www.delorscentre.eu/en/publications/detail/publication/between-continuity-and-a-perforated-cordon-sanitaire ER -