TY - RPRT A1 - Anheier, Helmut K. A1 - Abels, Christoph M. A1 - Yang, Yuqing A1 - Knudsen, Edward L. T1 - Germany’s Soft Power 2030: Scenarios for an Unsettled World N2 - This foresight project focuses on a key question for the future of Germany’s foreign policy: Given changing geopolitical and economic relationships among major powers, what possible futures can be foreseen soft power approaches or external cultural policy (ECP) in terms of narratives, strategies, goals, policies, and programmatic activities? To address this question, we place Germany in a comparative framework of international relations that considers soft power approaches in the context of prevailing geopolitical and economic relations between the European Union, the United States of America, and the People’s Republic of China as well as other global players. In each case, we consider soft power approaches relative to hard and sharp power options. The time frame for the future scenarios is the year 2030, anticipating likely and potential developments and events from 2022 onward. The scenarios are based on a series of brainstorming and validation sessions, literature reviews, personal interviews, and an online survey fielded among experts and representatives of leading institutions. We identified two major drivers of future developments: the state of the world economy and the state of the world’s security situation. Exploring the interaction between these two drivers yielded four distinct scenarios. Y1 - 2022 UR - https://opus.bsz-bw.de/ifa/frontdoor/index/index/searchtype/collection/id/16240/docId/159 U6 - https://doi.org/10.17901/ecp.2022.076 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Anheier, Helmut K. A1 - Abels, Christoph M. A1 - Yang, Yuqing A1 - Knudsen, Edward L. T1 - Germany's Soft Power 2030: Scenarios for an Unsettled World – Executive Summary JF - “Germany’s Soft Power 2030: Scenarios for an Unsettled World – Executive Summary,” in: Helmut K. Anheier and ifa (eds.) N2 - This foresight project focuses on a key question for the future of Germany’s foreign policy: Given changing geopolitical and economic relationships among major powers, what possible futures can be foreseen soft power approaches or external cultural policy (ECP) in terms of narratives, strategies, goals, policies, and programmatic activities? To address this question, we place Germany in a comparative framework of international relations that considers soft power approaches in the context of prevailing geopolitical and economic relations between the European Union, the United States of America, and the People’s Republic of China as well as other global players. In each case, we consider soft power approaches relative to hard and sharp power options. The time frame for the future scenarios is the year 2030, anticipating likely and potential developments and events from 2022 onward. The scenarios are based on a series of brainstorming and validation sessions, literature reviews, personal interviews, and an online survey fielded among experts and representatives of leading institutions. We identified two major drivers of future developments: the state of the world economy and the state of the world’s security situation. Exploring the interaction between these two drivers yielded four distinct scenarios. Y1 - 2022 UR - https://opus.bsz-bw.de/ifa/frontdoor/index/index/searchtype/collection/id/16240/docId/160 U6 - https://doi.org/10.17901/ecp.2022.077 SP - 1 EP - 7 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Anheier, Helmut K. A1 - Knudsen, Edward L. T1 - The 21st century trust and leadership problem: Quoi faire? JF - Global Policy N2 - Much of the democratic world faces a form of socio-political crisis. To varying degrees, four trends seem to be present in almost every case: declining institutional trust, failing leadership, increasing political polarisation, and weakened accountability. Although each trend has its own dynamic and causes, they jointly create complex challenges and governance problems for democratic societies. Furthermore, underlying them all is the persistent problem of inequality, which erodes trust, prevents the best leaders from rising to the top, polarises society, and shields elites from accountability. We propose a wide range of potential solutions to this crisis. Of the four, we propose that countries focus primarily on increasing institutional trust and improving leadership potential. Both aspects are particularly impactful and malleable, could influence the other two components and, over time, create a virtuous cycle pulling countries out of crisis. Proposed measures for institutional trust include expanded civic literacy, more expansive regulation of tech platforms, stricter media laws to foster better public discourse and a wider use of codes of conduct. For leadership, we propose more diverse channels and expanded selection pools for leadership recruitment, emphasising ethical conviction and targeted incentives for leadership roles. Essential to all of them, however, is tackling inequality. Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.13162 SN - 1758-5880 SP - 1 EP - 10 ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Anheier, Helmut K. A1 - Lang, Markus A1 - Knudsen, Edward L. T1 - Toward a New Understanding of Governance: The 2022 Berggruen Governance Index N2 - THE BERGGRUEN GOVERNANCE INDEX PROJECT (BGI) analyzes the relationship between democratic accountability, state capacity and the provision of public goods. It builds upon prior work that examined the impact of governance and democracy on the quality of life. It is a collaborative project between the UCLA Luskin School of Public Affairs and the Berggruen Institute. Y1 - 2022 UR - https://governance.luskin.ucla.edu/publications-2-2/ PB - UCLA Luskin School of Public Affairs CY - Los Angeles ER -