@article{HelblingMaxwellMunzertetal., author = {Helbling, Marc and Maxwell, Rahsaan and Munzert, Simon and Traunm{\"u}ller, Richard}, title = {The importance of citizenship for deserving COVID-19 treatment}, series = {Humanities and Social Sciences Communications}, volume = {9}, journal = {Humanities and Social Sciences Communications}, number = {302}, doi = {10.1057/s41599-022-01311-4}, abstract = {Immigrant non-citizens are often considered less deserving than citizens of welfare and other public services. The logic is that valuable and scarce public resources must be limited somehow, and the club of citizens is one way of drawing a boundary. In this paper, we examine how far that boundary extends, by analyzing the extent to which Germans prioritize citizens over non-citizens for access to life-saving healthcare. We implement a conjoint experiment to elicit preferences in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. The data were collected between April 2020 and March 2021, in 23 waves of an online rolling crosssectional survey with roughly 17,000 respondents. Our main finding is that citizens are viewed as more deserving of healthcare than non-citizen immigrants, a relationship that is sizeable and robust. Our findings have implications for debates about social boundaries and how to allocate resources in Western Europe.}, language = {en} } @article{RomanelloDiNapoliDrummondetal., author = {Romanello, Marina and Di Napoli, Claudia and Drummond, Paul and Green, Carole and Kennard, Harry and Lampard, Pete and Scamman, Daniel and Arnell, Nigel and Ayeb-Karlsson, Sonja and Berrang Ford, Lea and Belesova, Kristine and Bowen, Kathryn and Cai, Wenjia and Callaghan, Max and Campbell-Lendrum, Diarmid and Chambers, Jonathan and Daalen, Kim R van and Dalin, Carole and Dasandi, Niheer and Dasgupta, Shouro and Davies, Michael and Dominguez-Salas, Paula and Dubrow, Robert and Ebi, Kristie L and Eckelman, Matthew and Ekins, Paul and Escobar, Luis E and Georgeson, Lucien and Graham, Hilary and Gunther, Samuel H and Hamilton, Ian and Hang, Yun and H{\"a}nninen, Risto and Hartinger, Stella and He, Kehan and Hess, Jeremy J and Hsu, Shih-Che and Jankin, Slava and Jamart, Louis and Jay, Ollie and Kelman, Ilan and Kiesewetter, Gregor and Kinney, Patrick and Kjellstrom, Tord and Kniveton, Dominic and Lee, Jason K W and Lemke, Bruno and Liu, Zhao and Lott, Melissa and Lotto Batista, Martin and Lowe, Rachel and MacGuire, Frances and Sewe, Maquins Odhiambo and Martinez-Urtaza, Jaime and Maslin, Mark and McAllister, Lucy and McGushin, Alice and McMichael, Celia and Mi, Zhifu and Milner, James and Minor, Kelton and Minx, Jan C and Mohajeri, Nahid and Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar and Morrissey, Karyn and Munzert, Simon and Murray, Kris A and Neville, Tara and Nilsson, Maria and Obradovich, Nick and O'Hare, Megan B and Oreszczyn, Tadj and Otto, Matthias and Owfi, Fereidoon and Pearman, Olivia and Rabbaniha, Mahnaz and Robinson, Elizabeth J Z and Rockl{\"o}v, Joacim and Salas, Renee N and Semenza, Jan C and Sherman, Jodi D and Shi, Liuhua and Shumake-Guillemot, Joy and Silbert, Grant and Sofiev, Mikhail and Springmann, Marco and Stowell, Jennifer and Tabatabaei, Meisam and Taylor, Jonathon and Tri{\~n}anes, Joaquin and Wagner, Fabian and Wilkinson, Paul and Winning, Matthew and Yglesias-Gonz{\´a}lez, Marisol and Zhang, Shihui and Gong, Peng and Montgomery, Hugh and Costello, Anthony}, title = {The 2022 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: health at the mercy of fossil fuels}, series = {The Lancet}, volume = {400}, journal = {The Lancet}, number = {10363}, doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(22)01540-9}, pages = {1619 -- 1654}, language = {en} } @article{StoetzerMunzertLoweetal., author = {Stoetzer, Lukas F. and Munzert, Simon and Lowe, Will and {\c{C}}al{\i}, Ba{\c{s}}ak and Gohdes, Anita R. and Helbling, Marc and Maxwell, Rahsaan and Traunm{\"u}ller, Richard}, title = {Affective partisan polarization and moral dilemmas during the COVID-19 pandemic}, series = {Political Science Research and Methods}, journal = {Political Science Research and Methods}, doi = {10.1017/psrm.2022.13}, pages = {1 -- 8}, abstract = {Recent scholarship on affective polarization documents partisan animosity in people's everyday lives. But does partisan dislike go so far as to deny fundamental rights? We study this question through a moral dilemma that gained notoriety during the COVID-19 pandemic: triage decisions on the allocation of intensive medical care. Using a conjoint experiment in five countries we analyze the influence of patients' partisanship next to commonly discussed factors determining access to intensive medical care. We find that while participants' choices are consistent with a utilitarian heuristic, revealed partisanship influences decisions across most countries. Supporters of left or right political camps are more likely to withhold support from partisan opponents. Our findings offer comparative evidence on affective polarization in non-political contexts.}, language = {en} } @techreport{DariusStockmannBrysonetal., type = {Working Paper}, author = {Darius, Philipp and Stockmann, Daniela and Bryson, Joanna and Cingolani, Luciana and Griffin, Rachel and Hammerschmid, Gerhard and Kupi, Maximilian and Mones, Haytham and Munzert, Simon and Riordan, R{\´o}n{\´a}n and Stockreiter, Simona}, title = {Implementing Data Access of the Digital Services Act: Collaboration of European Digital Service Coordinators and Researchers in Building Strong Oversight over Social Media Platforms}, doi = {10.48462/opus4-4947}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:b1570-opus4-49479}, pages = {11}, abstract = {The EU Digital Service Acts signals a move away from self-regulation towards co-regulation of social media platforms within the European Union. To address online harms and rising platform power the DSA clarifies responsibilities of platforms and outlines a new technology regulatory framework to increase oversight. One key oversight instrument constitutes Article 40 of the DSA, which lays out data access for vetted researchers, who add value to regulators and the broader public as creators of knowledge, educators, advisors, innovators, and watchdogs. Currently, the EU Commission and national governments make important decisions regarding Digital Service Coordinators (DSCs) that play a key role in implementation. Based on expertise on European public administration and political science we lay out key challenges and success factors of DSCs that will play a role in promoting successful cooperation between DSCs and researchers. We provide three recommendations: First, we recommend to strengthen transfer of scientific knowledge into policy-making by processing publicly accessible publications within public administrative bodies. To this end, capacities of DSCs need to be increased. In addition, we also point towards the database of vetted researchers collected by the Board of DSCs as important resource in order to strengthen knowledge transfer. Second, the DSC network requires agile institutions with fast response time in order to enable researchers to play a constructive role in implementation. This also includes institutional procedures between DSCs and the Intermediary Body and Data Protection Agencies. To avoid delay in implementation agile institution-building needs to start now. Finally, institutional safeguards will help to avoid strategic choice of companies of the DSC of establishment. At the same time, the Irish DSC's capacity should be strengthened compared to other national DSCs since most large intermediary services providers have their European headquarters in Ireland.}, language = {en} } @article{RomanelloWalawenderHsuetal., author = {Romanello, Marina and Walawender, Maria and Hsu, Shih-Che and Moskeland, Annalyse and Palmeiro-Silva, Yasna and Scamman, Daniel and Ali, Zakari and Ameli, Nadia and Angelova, Denitsa and Ayeb-Karlsson, Sonja and Basart, Sara and Beagley, Jessica and Beggs, Paul J and Blanco-Villafuerte, Luciana and Cai, Wenjia and Callaghan, Max and Campbell-Lendrum, Diarmid and Chambers, Jonathan D and Chicmana-Zapata, Victoria and Chu, Lingzhi and Cross, Troy J and van Daalen, Kim R and Dalin, Carole and Dasandi, Niheer and Dasgupta, Shouro and Davies, Michael and Dubrow, Robert and Eckelman, Matthew J and Ford, James D and Freyberg, Chris and Gasparyan, Olga and Gordon-Strachan, Georgiana and Grubb, Michael and Gunther, Samuel H and Hamilton, Ian and Hang, Yun and H{\"a}nninen, Risto and Hartinger, Stella and He, Kehan and Heidecke, Julian and Hess, Jeremy J and Jamart, Louis and Jankin, Slava and Jatkar, Harshavardhan and Jay, Ollie and Kelman, Ilan and Kennard, Harry and Kiesewetter, Gregor and Kinney, Patrick and Kniveton, Dominic and Kouznetsov, Rostislav and Lampard, Pete and Lee, Jason K W and Lemke, Bruno and Li, Bo and Liu, Yang and Liu, Zhao and Llabr{\´e}s-Brustenga, Alba and Lott, Melissa and Lowe, Rachel and Martinez-Urtaza, Jaime and Maslin, Mark and McAllister, Lucy and McMichael, Celia and Mi, Zhifu and Milner, James and Minor, Kelton and Minx, Jan and Mohajeri, Nahid and Momen, Natalie C and Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar and Morrisey, Karyn and Munzert, Simon and Murray, Kris A and Obradovich, Nick and O'Hare, Megan B and Oliveira, Camile and Oreszczyn, Tadj and Otto, Matthias and Owfi, Fereidoon and Pearman, Olivia L and Pega, Frank and Perishing, Andrew J and Pinho-Gomes, Ana-Catarina and Ponmattam, Jamie and Rabbaniha, Mahnaz and Rickman, Jamie and Robinson, Elizabeth and Rockl{\"o}v, Joacim and Rojas-Rueda, David and Salas, Renee N and Semenza, Jan C and Sherman, Jodi D and Shumake-Guillemot, Joy and Singh, Pratik and Sj{\"o}din, Henrik and Slater, Jessica and Sofiev, Mikhail and Sorensen, Cecilia and Springmann, Marco and Stalhandske, Z{\´e}lie and Stowell, Jennifer D and Tabatabaei, Meisam and Taylor, Jonathon and Tong, Daniel and Tonne, Cathryn and Treskova, Marina and Trinanes, Joaquin A and Uppstu, Andreas and Wagner, Fabian and Warnecke, Laura and Whitcombe, Hannah and Xian, Peng and Zavaleta-Cortijo, Carol and Zhang, Chi and Zhang, Ran and Zhang, Shihui and Zhang, Ying and Zhu, Qiao and Gong, Peng and Montgomery, Hugh and Costello, Anthony}, title = {The 2024 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: facing record-breaking threats from delayed action}, series = {The Lancet}, volume = {404}, journal = {The Lancet}, number = {10465}, publisher = {Elsevier BV}, issn = {0140-6736}, doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(24)01822-1}, pages = {1847 -- 1896}, language = {en} } @article{MunzertTraunmuellerBarberaetal., author = {Munzert, Simon and Traunm{\"u}ller, Richard and Barber{\´a}, Pablo and Guess, Andrew and Yang, JungHwan}, title = {Citizen preferences for online hate speech regulation}, series = {PNAS Nexus}, volume = {4}, journal = {PNAS Nexus}, number = {2}, editor = {Ognyanova, Katherine}, publisher = {Oxford University Press (OUP)}, issn = {2752-6542}, doi = {10.1093/pnasnexus/pgaf032}, abstract = {The shift of public discourse to online platforms has intensified the debate over content moderation by platforms and the regulation of online speech. Designing rules that are met with wide acceptance requires learning about public preferences. We present a visual vignette study using a sample (n=2,622) of German and US citizens that were exposed to 20,976 synthetic social media vignettes mimicking actual cases of hateful speech. We find people's evaluations to be primarily shaped by message type and severity, and less by contextual factors. While focused measures like deleting hateful content are popular, more extreme sanctions like job loss find little support even in cases of extreme hate. Further evidence suggests in-group favoritism among political partisans. Experimental evidence shows that exposure to hateful speech reduces tolerance of unpopular opinions.}, language = {en} } @techreport{MunzertRamirezRuizWatteleretal., type = {Working Paper}, author = {Munzert, Simon and Ramirez-Ruiz, Sebastian and Watteler, Oliver and Breuer, Johannes and Batzdorfer, Veronika and Eder, Christina and Wiltshire, Deborah A and Barber{\´a}, Pablo and Guess, Andrew Markus and Yang, JungHwan}, title = {Publishing Combined Web Tracking and Survey Data}, publisher = {Center for Open Science}, doi = {10.31219/osf.io/y4v8z}, abstract = {Combined survey and web tracking data have great potential for social-scientific research. They allow linking information on online behavior with data on reported offline behavior, opinions, and attitudes. At the same time, ethical, legal, and technical challenges make it difficult to disseminate linked web tracking data to the scientific community. This whitepaper aims to address these challenges by providing guidance for researchers and archivists, discussing legal, practical, and ethical aspects, disclosure risks, and establishing a framework for publishing web tracking data. Recommendations for best practices are also provided based on experiences from a research project funded by the German Consortium for the Social, Behavioural, Educational and Economic Sciences.}, language = {en} } @article{GoebelMunzert, author = {G{\"o}bel, Sascha and Munzert, Simon}, title = {The Comparative Legislators Database}, series = {British Journal of Political Science}, journal = {British Journal of Political Science}, issn = {0007-1234}, doi = {10.1017/S0007123420000897}, abstract = {Knowledge about political representatives' behavior is crucial for a deeper understanding of politics and policy-making processes. Yet resources on legislative elites are scattered, often specialized, limited in scope or not always accessible. This article introduces the Comparative Legislators Database (CLD), which joins micro-data collection efforts on open-collaboration platforms and other sources, and integrates with renowned political science datasets. The CLD includes political, sociodemographic, career, online presence, public attention, and visual information for over 45,000 contemporary and historical politicians from ten countries. The authors provide a straightforward and open-source interface to the database through an R package, offering targeted, fast and analysis-ready access in formats familiar to social scientists and standardized across time and space. The data is verified against human-coded datasets, and its use for investigating legislator prominence and turnover is illustrated. The CLD contributes to a central hub for versatile information about legislators and their behavior, supporting individual-level comparative research over long periods.}, language = {en} } @article{RomanelloNapoliGreenetal., author = {Romanello, Marina and Napoli, Claudia di and Green, Carole and Kennard, Harry and Lampard, Pete and Scamman, Daniel and Walawender, Maria and Ali, Zakari and Ameli, Nadia and Ayeb-Karlsson, Sonja and Beggs, Paul J and Belesova, Kristine and Berrang Ford, Lea and Bowen, Kathryn and Cai, Wenjia and Callaghan, Max and Campbell-Lendrum, Diarmid and Chambers, Jonathan and Cross, Troy J and van Daalen, Kim R and Dalin, Carole and Dasandi, Niheer and Dasgupta, Shouro and Davies, Michael and Dominguez-Salas, Paula and Dubrow, Robert and Ebi, Kristie L and Eckelman, Matthew and Ekins, Paul and Freyberg, Chris and Gasparyan, Olga and Gordon-Strachan, Georgiana and Graham, Hilary and Gunther, Samuel H and Hamilton, Ian and Hang, Yun and H{\"a}nninen, Risto and Hartinger, Stella and He, Kehan and Heidecke, Julian and Hess, Jeremy J and Hsu, Shih-Che and Jamart, Louis and Jankin, Slava and Jay, Ollie and Kelman, Ilan and Kiesewetter, Gregor and Kinney, Patrick and Kniveton, Dominic and Kouznetsov, Rostislav and Larosa, Francesca and Lee, Jason K W and Lemke, Bruno and Liu, Yang and Liu, Zhao and Lott, Melissa and Lotto Batista, Mart{\´i}n and Lowe, Rachel and Odhiambo Sewe, Maquins and Martinez-Urtaza, Jaime and Maslin, Mark and McAllister, Lucy and McMichael, Celia and Mi, Zhifu and Milner, James and Minor, Kelton and Minx, Jan C and Mohajeri, Nahid and Momen, Natalie C and Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar and Morrissey, Karyn and Munzert, Simon and Murray, Kris A and Neville, Tara and Nilsson, Maria and Obradovich, Nick and O'Hare, Megan B and Oliveira, Camile and Oreszczyn, Tadj and Otto, Matthias and Owfi, Fereidoon and Pearman, Olivia and Pega, Frank and Pershing, Andrew and Rabbaniha, Mahnaz and Rickman, Jamie and Robinson, Elizabeth J Z and Rockl{\"o}v, Joacim and Salas, Renee N and Semenza, Jan C and Sherman, Jodi D and Shumake-Guillemot, Joy and Silbert, Grant and Sofiev, Mikhail and Springmann, Marco and Stowell, Jennifer D and Tabatabaei, Meisam and Taylor, Jonathon and Thompson, Ross and Tonne, Cathryn and Treskova, Marina and Trinanes, Joaquin A and Wagner, Fabian and Warnecke, Laura and Whitcombe, Hannah and Winning, Matthew and Wyns, Arthur and Yglesias-Gonz{\´a}lez, Marisol and Zhang, Shihui and Zhang, Ying and Zhu, Qiao and Gong, Peng and Montgomery, Hugh and Costello, Anthony}, title = {The 2023 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: the imperative for a health-centred response in a world facing irreversible harms}, series = {The Lancet}, volume = {402}, journal = {The Lancet}, number = {10419}, doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(23)01859-7}, pages = {2346 -- 2394}, language = {en} } @article{StoetzerErfortRajskietal., author = {Stoetzer, Lukas F. and Erfort, Cornelius and Rajski, Hannah and Gschwend, Thomas and Munzert, Simon and Koch, Elias}, title = {An election forecasting model for subnational elections}, series = {Electoral Studies}, volume = {95}, journal = {Electoral Studies}, publisher = {Elsevier BV}, doi = {10.1016/j.electstud.2025.102939}, abstract = {While election forecasts predominantly focus on national contests, many democratic elections take place at the subnational level. Subnational elections pose unique challenges for traditional fundamentals forecasting models due to less available polling data and idiosyncratic subnational politics. In this article, we present and evaluate the performance of Bayesian forecasting models for German state elections from 1990 to 2024. Our forecasts demonstrate high accuracy at lead times of two days, two weeks, and two months, and offer valuable ex-ante predictions for three state elections held in September 2024. These findings underscore the potential for applying election forecasting models effectively to subnational elections.}, language = {en} } @techreport{OswaldMunzert, type = {Working Paper}, author = {Oswald, Lisa and Munzert, Simon}, title = {Exposure to untrustworthy news media then and now: Declining news media quality over 7 years}, publisher = {OSF}, doi = {10.31235/osf.io/5ndjx_v1}, pages = {8}, abstract = {In a rapidly evolving digital media landscape, understanding how exposure to untrustworthy news changes over time is essential for evaluating its potential effects on public attitudes and behavior. However, there is limited evidence on how demand for untrustworthy news develops across longer time frames. Linking web data with surveys, we compare exposure to untrustworthy news sources across demographic and political groups and over a 7-year time frame for two samples of German adults (N = 1,212 in 2017 and N = 436 in 2024). Visits to untrustworthy news sources make up less than 1\% of media diets and are associated with low satisfaction with democracy and a preference for a far-right party. Propensity score matching reveals stability in untrustworthy news exposure, yet a notable decline in the average quality of news diets over 7 years. These results suggest that while untrustworthy news exposure remains limited and stable, a broader erosion in news quality may pose a growing challenge for informed democratic engagement.}, language = {en} }