@article{KreyenfeldGoldsteinJasilionieneetal., author = {Kreyenfeld, Michaela and Goldstein, Joshua and Jasilioniene, Aiva and Karaman {\"O}rsal, Deniz Dilan}, title = {Fertility reactions to the "Great Recession" in Europe : Recent evidence from oder-specific data}, series = {Demographic Research}, volume = {29}, journal = {Demographic Research}, publisher = {Max-Planck Institut f{\"u}r demografische Forschung}, address = {Rostock}, issn = {1435-9871}, doi = {10.4054/DemRes.2013.29.4}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:b1570-opus4-8511}, pages = {85 -- 104}, abstract = {Objective: This paper provides recent cross-national evidence of the impact of the great recession on fertility in Europe in the context of the recent decade. Methods: Using data from the Human Fertility Database (HFD), from Eurostat, and from the OECD database, we employ fixed-effects modeling to study how changes in unemployment rates have affected birth rates across Europe. Results: We find that countries that were hit hard by the recession show reduced fertility when compared with a continuation of recent trends, especially at younger ages. Conclusions: Our results indicate a strong relationship between economic conditions and fertility. However, there is variation by region, age, and parity suggesting the importance of life course and institutional factors.}, language = {en} } @article{KreyenfeldGoldstein, author = {Kreyenfeld, Michaela and Goldstein, Joshua R.}, title = {Has East Germany overtaken West Germany? : Recent trends in order-specific fertility}, series = {Population and Development Review}, volume = {37}, journal = {Population and Development Review}, number = {3}, publisher = {Wiley-Blackwell}, address = {Hoboken [u.a.]}, issn = {1728-4457}, doi = {10.1111/j.1728-4457.2011.00430.x}, pages = {453 -- 472}, abstract = {Some 20 years after reunification, the contrast between East and West Germany offers a natural experiment for studying the degree of persistence of Communist-era family patterns, the effects of economic change, and fertility postponement. After reunification, period fertility rates plummeted in the former East Germany to record low levels. Since the mid-1990s, however, period fertility rates have been rising in East Germany, in contrast to the nearly constant rates seen in the West. By 2008, the TFR of East Germany had overtaken that of the West. We explore why fertility in East Germany is higher than in West Germany, despite unfavorable economic circumstances in the East. We address this and related questions by (a) presenting an account of the persisting East/West differences in attitudes toward and constraints on childbearing, (b) conducting an order-specific fertility analysis of recent fertility trends, and (c) projecting completed fertility for the recent East and west German cohorts. In addition to using the Human Fertility Database, perinatal statistics allow us to calculate a tempo-corrected TFR for East and West Germany.}, language = {en} } @incollection{KreyenfeldJaschinskiFuernkranzPrskawetzetal., author = {Kreyenfeld, Michaela and Jaschinski, Ina and F{\"u}rnkranz-Prskawetz, Alexia and Sobotka, Tomas and Philipov, Dimiter and Bernardi, Laura and Goldstein, Joshua and Zeman, Krystof}, title = {Demographische Analyse der Fertilit{\"a}tsentwicklung}, series = {Zukunft mit Kindern: Fertilit{\"a}t und gesellschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland, {\"O}sterreich und der Schweiz}, booktitle = {Zukunft mit Kindern: Fertilit{\"a}t und gesellschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland, {\"O}sterreich und der Schweiz}, publisher = {Campus}, address = {Frankfurt a.M.}, pages = {116 -- 197}, language = {de} } @techreport{GoldsteinKreyenfeldRoessgar, type = {Working Paper}, author = {Goldstein, Joshua and Kreyenfeld, Michaela and R{\"o}ßgar, Felix}, title = {Gibt es eine Trendumkehr in der Kinderzahl nach Geburtsjahrg{\"a}ngen in Deutschland?}, series = {Berliner Demografie Forum - Working Paper}, journal = {Berliner Demografie Forum - Working Paper}, number = {4}, publisher = {European School of Management and Technology - ESMT}, address = {Berlin}, pages = {12}, language = {de} }