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Increasing shares of renewable energy sources in combination with rising popularity of demand response applications and flexibility programs forces higher awareness for production and consumption balancing. Accurate models for forecasting are not just necessary for PV- or wind power sources in smart cities, but also the prediction of loads respectively consumption, which can be based on time series analysis or machine learning methods. Three of those methods, namely a linear regression (LM), a long short-term memory network (LSTM) and a neural network model (NN), have been selected to see their performance on predicting the load of a large smart city on the example of the Estonian electricity consumption data. Hourly data of the year 2019 was used as training data to predict the first 20 days of 2020. For this kind of prediction, the LM showed the lowest root mean square error (RMSE) and had the lowest computational time. The neural network was slightly less accurate. The LSTM showed the worst performance in terms of accuracy and computational time. Thus, LSTM is not the preferred method for this kind of prediction and the recommendation for forecasting such loads would be a LM because the RMSE and computational effort needed are lower than for a NN
The widespread implementation of smart meters (SM) and the deployment of the advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) provide large amounts of fine-grained data on prosumers. Machine learning (ML) algorithms are used in different techniques, e.g. non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM), to extract useful information from collected data. However, the use of ML algorithms to gain insight on prosumer behavior and characteristics raises not only numerous technical but also legal concerns. This paper maps electricity prosumer concerns towards the AMI and its ML based analytical tools in terms of data protection, privacy and cybersecurity and conducts a legal analysis of the identified prosumer concerns within the context of the EU regulatory frameworks. By mapping the concerns referred to in the technical literature, the main aim of the paper is to provide a legal perspective on those concerns. The output of this paper is a visual tool in form of a table, meant to guide prosumers, utility, technology and energy service providers. It shows the areas that need increased attention when dealing with specific prosumer concerns as identified in the technical literature.