@article{ZouDingWelpetal.2020, author = {Zou, Jie and Ding, Jianli and Welp, Martin and Huang, Shuai and Liu, Bohua}, title = {Using MODIS data to analyse the ecosystem water use efficiency spatial-temporal variations across Central Asia from 2000 to 2014}, series = {Environmental Research}, journal = {Environmental Research}, number = {182}, publisher = {Elsevier}, issn = {0013-9351}, doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2019.108985}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:eb1-opus-5435}, year = {2020}, abstract = {It is important to understand the carbon-water cycle, which accurately reflects the temporal and spatial variabilities in ecosystem water use efficiency (WUE). In this study, the Mann-Kendall (MK) test was used to study the variabilities in the spatial patterns of the gross primary production (GPP), evapotranspiration and WUE across Central Asia [the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region (XJ) in China (CHN), Kazakhstan (KAZ), Turkmenistan (TKM), Uzbekistan (UZB), Kyrgyzstan (KGZ), and Tajikistan (TJK)] from 2000 to 2014. We compared the change results by country, land cover type, population density, and human influence. In addition, the results of GPP, evapotranspiration (ET), and WUE parameter tests were combined and classified to analyse the causes of the changes in WUE. The results showed that (1) the time series of GPP, ET and WUE exhibited no significant changes. The spatial distribution of the WUE exhibited significant increases in the northern part of KAZ, the Ili Valley and the alpine region in KGZ and exhibited decreases in south Xinjiang and the irrigated area of UZB. (2) The main land cover types that exhibited changes in WUE were farmlands and grasslands, and areas with a medium population density exhibited large WUE changes. (3) The increased WUE resulted from an increased GPP and decreased ET. The increased GPP was because of increased precipitation and the Green for Grain Project, and the decreased ET was due to the response of vegetation to drought stress; the decreased WUE was mainly caused by changes in the crops planted and unreasonable water use practices in the irrigated agricultural areas in Central Asia. This study, which is based on the variabilities in WUE spatial patterns, should provide a theoretical basis for ecosystems in arid land areas.}, language = {en} } @incollection{DoellBolchCyffkaetal.2021, author = {D{\"o}ll, Petra and Bolch, Tobias and Cyffka, Bernd and Disse, Markus and Doluschnitz, Rainer and Halik, {\"U}m{\"u}t and Huang, Shaochun and Yiliminuer, and K{\"u}gel, Benno and Krysanova, Valentina and Stahr, Karl and Thomas, Frank M. and Welp, Martin}, title = {Policy recommendations}, series = {Sustainable Management of River Oases along the Tarim River/China (SuMaRiO)}, booktitle = {Sustainable Management of River Oases along the Tarim River/China (SuMaRiO)}, editor = {Cyffka, Bernd and Disse, Markus and Betz, Florian}, publisher = {Schweizerbart}, isbn = {978-3-510-65432-1}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:eb1-opus-5441}, pages = {176 -- 179}, year = {2021}, language = {en} } @article{ShiHalikMamatetal.2021, author = {Shi, Lei and Halik, {\"U}m{\"u}t and Mamat, Zulpiya and Aishan, Tayierjiang and Abliz, Abdulla and Welp, Martin}, title = {Spatiotemporal investigation of the interactive coercing relationship between urbanization and ecosystem services in arid northwestern China}, series = {Land Degradation \& Development}, volume = {32}, journal = {Land Degradation \& Development}, number = {14}, publisher = {Wiley}, issn = {1099-145X}, doi = {doi.org/10.1002/ldr.3946}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:eb1-opus-5451}, pages = {4105 -- 4120}, year = {2021}, abstract = {Rapid urbanization has negative effects on ecosystem structure, function, and balance, leading to the loss of ecosystem services (ES) and posing a threat to regional sustainable development. However, the complex interactive coercing relationship between urbanization and ES is not yet fully understood, especially in arid Northwestern China. In this study, we constructed an evaluative framework for urbanization and ES using land cover/land use data and socioeconomic data from 1990 to 2018. We used global and local autocorrelation models to reveal the spatiotemporal interaction between urbanization and ES. The results revealed that the urbanization index increased from 0.06 in 1990 to 0.16 in 2018 in Xinjiang, and urbanization was significantly negatively correlated with ES. With the acceleration of urbanization, the ecosystem services value (ESV) has decreased 2,698.74 × 109 Yuan from 1990 to 2018 (6.62 Yuan = 1 .00 US\$). Due to geographical advantages, resource conditions, and land use changes, the spatial relationship of urbanization and ES has obvious heterogeneity. High-low correlation areas are mainly concentrated in the Northern Tianshan Mountain Economic Zone, whereas low-high correlation areas are concentrated in the Kashgar and Hotan Oases in southern Xinjiang. Based on regional geographical conditions and the spatial heterogeneity of resources, diversified ecological, social, and economic balance models should be considered to promote future sustainable urban planning and development.}, language = {en} } @article{ShiHalikMamatetal.2021, author = {Shi, Lei and Halik, {\"U}m{\"u}t and Mamat, Zulpiya and Aishan, Tayierjiang and Welp, Martin}, title = {Identifying mismatches of ecosystem services supply and demand under semi-arid conditions: The case of the Oasis City Urumqi, China}, series = {Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management}, volume = {17}, journal = {Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management}, number = {6}, publisher = {Wiley}, issn = {1551-3777}, doi = {10.1002/ieam.4471}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:eb1-opus-5469}, pages = {1293 -- 1304}, year = {2021}, abstract = {Understanding the balance between supply and demand of ecosystem services (ESs) is helpful for sustainable urban management. However, the interactions among multiple ESs supplies and demands remain under-researched, and ESs supply and demand spatial heterogeneity and correlation characteristics at the city level are rarely studied, especially in arid areas. To fill this gap, we established a comprehensive assessment framework of ESs supply and demand through integrating multi-source remote sensing data, social economy, and policy objectives, for the oasis city of Urumqi, China. The ESs supply-demand mismatches were revealed at the city level, and the spatial relationship between the ESs supply and demand was analyzed using spatial statistics. The results demonstrated that: (1) The total quantity of supply and demand of food provision, carbon sequestration, PM10 removal, and recreation services in Urumqi revealed that the demand was greater than the supply, the deficits being 16.10 × 107 kcal/ha, 6.88 × 104 t/ha, 155.86 kg/ha, and 697.26, respectively. (2) The supply and demand assessment of ESs revealed spatial differences from the city center to the suburbs, which further indicated that there are neighborhood similarities between the supply and demand of ESs. (3) The matching types of ESs supply and demand present obvious spatial heterogeneity, which can be divided into four types: High-high, high-low, low-high, and low-low. Owing to rapid urban development in the inner city, the city center is dominated by low-high, whereas the urban-rural ecotone is characterized by high-low, owing to the higher elevation and water resource advantages in the suburbs. Based on the analysis of the supply, demand, and matching of ESs, economic development and sustainable management policies are proposed for different ecological spaces. Integr Environ Assess Manag 2021;17:1293-1304. © 2021 SETAC}, language = {en} } @article{StaviThevsWelpetal.2022, author = {Stavi, Ilan and Thevs, Niels and Welp, Martin and Zdruli, Pandi}, title = {Provisioning ecosystem services related with oak (Quercus) systems: a review of challenges and opportunities}, series = {Agroforestry Systems}, volume = {96}, journal = {Agroforestry Systems}, publisher = {Springer Nature}, issn = {0167-4366}, doi = {10.1007/s10457-021-00718-3}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:eb1-opus-5478}, pages = {293 -- 313}, year = {2022}, abstract = {Natural, semi-natural, and extensively managed oak woodlands and forests are prevalent across the world. These lands fulfil a range of ecosystem services, goods, and functions. Increasing natural and anthropogenic pressures impose threats to these lands. This paper first describes the Quercus genus and discusses management and mismanagement practices of oak systems. Then, the provisioning ecosystem services related with oak systems are reviewed, including: (1) oak's agroforestry and silvopasture systems for the production of food, pasture, and additional products; (2) browsing of oak leaves and acorns by livestock; (3) harvesting of oak wood for timber; (4) cork oak stripping, and the uses of cork; (5) acorn-based foods and beverages; and (6) others uses, such as the production of medicines and extraction of tannins for the leather industry. We discuss the multi-purpose and multi-functional nature of oak systems, and demonstrate how they diversify sources of income for local communities, resulting in improved economic and food security. Further, we show the important role of woodlands certification, aimed at protecting oak systems while ensuring environmental equity. Also, we demonstrate how providing of financial support for reforestation and afforestation schemes of degraded oak woodlands, could restore ecosystem functioning and reverse land degradation. Then, we stress the need to involve traditional knowledge in restoration schemes of degraded oak systems. Lastly, we demonstrate how policymaking and legislation regarding the oak's commercial plantations and farming systems could alleviate stresses imposed on the world's oak woodlands and forests by producing alternative sources of wood for the timber industry.}, language = {en} } @article{WeiHalikAishanetal.2022, author = {Wei, Zhicheng and Halik, {\"U}m{\"u}t and Aishan, Tayierjiang and Abliz, Abdulla and Welp, Martin}, title = {Spatial distribution patterns of trunk internal decay of Euphrates poplar riparian forest along the Tarim River, northwest China}, series = {Forest Ecology and Management}, journal = {Forest Ecology and Management}, number = {522}, publisher = {Elsevier}, issn = {0378-1127}, doi = {10.1016/j.foreco.2022.120434}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:eb1-opus-5488}, year = {2022}, abstract = {Trunk internal decay is a common phenomenon in forest ecosystems, causing the loss of forest resources. Euphrates poplar (Populus euphratica Oliv.) is the only constructive tree species of the desert riparian forests along the Tarim River in northwestern China. The ecosystem stability of these forests has been damaged due to widespread internal decay or hollow rot in many tree trunks. However, forest resource conservation is difficult due to the unclear spatial patterns of P. euphratica trunk decay under different water conditions and tree morphology in the middle (MTR) and lower reaches (LTR) of the Tarim River. We conducted a field experiment and lab analysis to assess the reliability of the ARBOTOM® 2D stress wave Non-Destructive Testing (NDT) technique on P. euphratica populations. We explored the quantitative characterization method and the spatial distribution patterns of P. euphratica trunk internal decay in the MTR and LTR. Our study found that (1) the accuracy of the stress wave NDT technique in detecting trunk decay of P. euphratica in the arid desert area was more than 80\%; The severity of internal trunk decays can be quantitatively characterized by the combination of the Matlab Image Processing Toolbox, (2) the trunk decay proportion of P. euphratica showed an increasing trend with the tree height in the MTR. The LTR first increased, then decreased. The degree of decay was highest when the tree height was 6-7 m. The trunk decay proportion of individual trees positively correlated with the diameter at breast height and crown loss (p < 0.001) and negatively correlated with the crown diameter (p < 0.001). The higher the decay occurrence, the worse the individual size was, and vice versa, and (3) the decay proportion of the P. euphratica showed an overall increasing trend with an increase in groundwater depth. The trunk decay was significantly higher in the LTR compared to the MTR at the same distance of 300-1050 m from the river channel. Our findings suggested that the trunk decay in P. euphratica had a higher difference among different tree morphology, and the occurrence of decay in the LTR was much higher than in the MTR. The water stress at the site is one of the leading factors in internal defects in the riparian forests along the Tarim River. The results provide a theoretical basis and scientific support for desert riparian forest ecosystems' conservation and sustainable management.}, language = {en} } @article{GanHalikShietal.2023, author = {Gan, Lu and Halik, {\"U}m{\"u}t and Shi, Lei and Welp, Martin}, title = {Multi-scenario dynamic prediction of ecological risk assessment in an arid area of northwest China}, series = {Ecological Indicators}, volume = {154}, journal = {Ecological Indicators}, publisher = {Elsevier}, doi = {10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110727}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:eb1-opus-8274}, pages = {12}, year = {2023}, abstract = {Ecological security is essential for the development of environmental health and human society. However, the driving mechanisms and spatial non-stationarity of ecological risks are still unknown, particularly in arid areas. Thus, this study constructed an ecological risk index (ERI) research framework in arid areas based on land use and socio-economic data from 1980 to 2020 to investigate the spatiotemporal evolution trend, driving mechanisms, and spatial non-stationarity of ecological risk and predict the ecological risk under business-as-usual, economic development, and ecological protection scenarios using a patch-generating land use simulation (PLUS) model. The results show that: (1) cropland and build-up land were expanding, whereas forestland and grassland water bodies were shrinking. Compared with the two development stages from 1980 to 2000 and from 2000 to 2020, cropland increased by 4.73\% and 51.52\%, respectively, whereas build-up land increased by 12.64\% and 106.52\%, respectively, indicating rapid development and drastic changes in the past 20 years. (2) With the change in landscape diversity, the regional ecological risks showed an increasing trend, whereas the future ecological risks showed an increasing trend because of the cumulative effect of landscape pattern changes caused by human activities. (3) Moreover, dramatic changes in ecological risk, particularly in areas of intense human activity in build-up land, agricultural land, artificial oases, and mountainous areas. Corresponding to the analysis of driving mechanisms, population, GDP, distance to government, water, and primary roads; have a significant effect on ecological risk, whereas DEM has direct and indirect effect paths. Ultimately, the proposed analysis framework can present the spatiotemporal changes of ecological risks and their influencing mechanisms, which can help develop sustainable development policies.}, language = {en} } @inproceedings{LitschelBerendtWelpetal.2023, author = {Litschel, Johannes and Berendt, Ferr{\´e}ol and Welp, Martin and Cremer, Tobias}, title = {Perspektiven von Schl{\"u}sselakteuren auf das Potenzial der Agroforstwirtschaft in Nordostdeutschland}, series = {Tagungsband 9. Forum Agroforstsysteme, 27. \& 28. September 2023}, booktitle = {Tagungsband 9. Forum Agroforstsysteme, 27. \& 28. September 2023}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:eb1-opus-8040}, pages = {16 -- 17}, year = {2023}, language = {de} } @incollection{SpiesWelp2021, author = {Spies, Michael and Welp, Martin}, title = {Stakeholder-based knowledge mapping for re-establishing agroforestry systems in Central Asia}, series = {Beyond post-Soviet: layered legacies and transformations in Central Asia}, booktitle = {Beyond post-Soviet: layered legacies and transformations in Central Asia}, editor = {Schmidt, Matthias and Steenberg, Rune and Spies, Michael and Alff, Henryk}, publisher = {Institut f{\"u}r Geographie, Universit{\"a}t Augsburg}, address = {Augsburg}, isbn = {978-3-948283-05-6}, issn = {1862-8680}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:eb1-opus-6205}, publisher = {Hochschule f{\"u}r nachhaltige Entwicklung Eberswalde}, pages = {38 -- 48}, year = {2021}, abstract = {The existing land use policies in Central Asia are not well prepared to tackle current and future risks related to climate change, soil degradation, and increasing global and domestic demand for food, fiber, and biomass. In post-socialist countries with rather short traditions of state-led democracy, it is particularly relevant to strengthen the role of civil society and to test and experiment with participatory methods to increase the fairness, acceptance and effectiveness of policies for sustainable land use. As part of a collaborative project on agroforestry for livelihood improvement in Central Asia, we have developed a participatory method to formalize local and external expert knowledge as a means to inform strategy development for the wider adoption and re-establishment of agroforestry systems. In a sequence of collecting, visualizing, processing and feeding results back to local experts, our approach aimed at cocreating a semi-quantitative systemic knowledge map. Inspired by the MARISCO-methodology, this map included different agroforestry practices, related ecosystem services, as well as factors contributing to or hindering the adoption of agroforestry practices. This paper outlines our systemic approach of formalizing knowledge from diverse stakeholders, provides a brief stepwise description of our developed methodology, and discusses its wider applicability.}, language = {en} } @article{LitschelBerendtCremeretal.2022, author = {Litschel, Johannes and Berendt, Ferr{\´e}ol and Cremer, Tobias and Welp, Martin}, title = {Mit regenerativen Materialien zur Brandenburger Bauwende?}, series = {Holz-Zentralblatt}, volume = {148}, journal = {Holz-Zentralblatt}, number = {36}, publisher = {DRW-Verlag Weinbrenner GmbH \& Co. KG}, issn = {0018-3792}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:eb1-opus-6213}, pages = {608 -- 608}, year = {2022}, abstract = {Gemeinsam mit zahlreichen Akteuren aus Berlin und Brandenburg untersucht die Hochschule f{\"u}r nachhaltige Entwicklung Eberswalde (HNEE) in einem breit angelegten Modellvorhaben die Potenziale regenerativer Materialien f{\"u}r die Baubranche.}, language = {de} } @article{ChenHalikShietal., author = {Chen, Siying and Halik, {\"U}m{\"u}t and Shi, Lei and Fu, Wentao and Gan, Lu and Welp, Martin}, title = {Habitat Quality Dynamics in Urumqi over the Last Two Decades: Evidence of Land Use and Land Cover Changes}, series = {Land}, volume = {14}, journal = {Land}, number = {1}, editor = {Al Sayah, Mario and Der Sarkissian, Rita and Nedja{\"i}, Rachid}, publisher = {MDPI}, issn = {2073-445X}, doi = {10.3390/land14010084}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:eb1-opus-9652}, abstract = {The integrity of habitat quality is a pivotal cornerstone for the sustainable advancement of local ecological systems. Rapid urbanization has led to habitat degradation and loss of biodiversity, posing severe threats to regional sustainability, particularly in extremely vulnerable arid zones. However, systematic research on the assessment indicators, limiting factors, and driving mechanisms of habitat quality in arid regions is notably lacking. This study takes Urumqi, an oasis city in China's arid region, as a case study and employs the InVEST and PLUS models to conduct a dynamic evaluation of habitat quality in Urumqi from 2000 to 2022 against the backdrop of land use changes. It also simulates habitat quality under different scenarios for the year 2035, exploring the temporal and spatial dynamics of habitat quality and its driving mechanisms. The results indicate a decline in habitat quality. The habitat quality in the southern mountainous areas is significantly superior to that surrounding the northern Gurbantunggut Desert, and it exhibits greater stability. The simulation and prediction results suggest that from 2020 to 2035, habitat degradation will be mitigated under Ecological Protection scenarios, while the decline in habitat quality will be most pronounced under Business-As-Usual scenarios. The spatial distribution of habitat quality changes in Urumqi exhibits significant autocorrelation and clustering, with these patterns intensifying over time. The observed decline in habitat quality in Urumqi is primarily driven by anthropogenic activities, urban expansion, and climate change. These factors have collectively contributed to significant alterations in the landscape, leading to the degradation of ecological conditions. To mitigate further habitat quality loss and support sustainable development, it is essential to implement rigorous ecological protection policies, adopt effective ecological risk management strategies, and promote the expansion of ecological land use. These actions are crucial for stabilizing and improving regional habitat quality in the long term.}, subject = {-}, language = {en} } @article{GanHalikShietal., author = {Gan, Lu and Halik, {\"U}m{\"u}t and Shi, Lei and Ru, Jiayu and Wei, Zhicheng and Li, Jinye and Welp, Martin}, title = {Integrating Multi-Source Data to Explore Spatiotemporal Dynamics and Future Scenarios of Arid Urban Agglomerations: A Geodetector-PLUS Modelling Framework for Sustainable Land Use Planning}, series = {Remote Sensing}, volume = {17}, journal = {Remote Sensing}, number = {11}, editor = {Alexakis, Dimitrios D.}, publisher = {MDPI}, issn = {2072-4292}, doi = {10.3390/rs17111851}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:eb1-opus-9993}, abstract = {Land use and landscape changes undermine the balance between humans and the environment, threatening sustainable regional development, yet their driving mechanisms and future trends remain insufficiently understood, particularly in arid areas. This study establishes a long-term analytical framework for the temporal evolution and driving mechanisms of land use and landscape patterns in arid areas, based on Landsat remote sensing imagery and socio-economic data. We investigate spatiotemporal evolution trends, driving mechanisms, and spatial non-stationarity of regional landscapes, and apply the Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) model to predict future landscape changes under business-as-usual (BAU), economic development (ED), and ecological protection (EP) scenarios. The results show that: (1) Grassland and unused land together account for over 80\% of the total area. From 1990 to 2020, built-up land expanded by 1471.58 km 2 , an increase of 190.09\%. The comprehensive land use dynamic degree in the Urumqi-Changji-Shihezi (UCS) region was 0.22\%, with the highest value observed between 2000 and 2010. (2) At the class level, spatial heterogeneity and fragmentation of different landscape types increased, enhancing regional landscape diversity. (3) Spatiotemporal changes in land use and landscape patterns were driven by the combined effects of natural factors, socio-economic conditions, and policy influences. (4) By 2030, under all three scenarios, unused land is expected to decrease, with the most significant reduction under the EP scenario. Grassland will increase most notably under the EP scenario, built-up land will expand, especially under the ED scenario, and cropland will also grow, mainly under the EP scenario. Forest and water areas will show slight decreases with minimal fluctuations. Overall, the proposed framework effectively captures the spatiotemporal dynamics and driving forces of land use and landscape changes, providing support for the formulation of long-term sustainable development policies.}, subject = {-}, language = {en} }