TY - CHAP A1 - Krüger, Clemens A1 - Bechthold, Laura A1 - Prügl, Reinhard ED - Kraus, Sascha ED - Clauss, Thomas ED - Kallmuenzer, Andreas T1 - Serious games to study the management of paradoxes in family firms: Introducing a research agenda T2 - Research Handbook on Entrepreneurship and Innovation in Family Firms UR - https://doi.org/10.4337/9781800889248.00026 Y1 - 2023 UR - https://doi.org/10.4337/9781800889248.00026 SN - 978-1-80088-924-8 SP - 391 EP - 412 PB - Edward Elgar Publishing CY - Cheltenham ER - TY - CHAP A1 - Schönmann, Alexander A1 - Lodes, Lukas A1 - Schiendorfer, Alexander ED - Dumitrescu, Roman ED - Hölzle, Katharina T1 - KI-Augmentation der Reifegradbewertung von Technologien: Können KI-Sprachmodelle Expertenwissen ersetzen? T2 - Vorausschau und Technologieplanung: 17. Symposium für Vorausschau und Technologieplanung, 14. und 15. September 2023, Berlin UR - https://doi.org/10.17619/UNIPB/1-1821 Y1 - 2023 UR - https://doi.org/10.17619/UNIPB/1-1821 SN - 978-3-947647-32-3 SP - 371 EP - 387 PB - Universität Paderborn CY - Paderborn ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Pace, Lisa A. A1 - Bruno, Carmen A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - Personas in scenario building: Integrating human-centred design methods in foresight JF - Futures N2 - This paper contributes to integrating human-centred design approaches in foresight. We emphasize design thinking as an approach that incorporates user-centred concepts and artefacts, enabling the creation and visualization of potential futures and mediating the exploration of new perspectives and areas of intervention for innovation. However, there is limited discussion in the foresight literature on the meaningful application of design approaches. We focus on the persona method and its roles and applications in scenario building. To be meaningful in scenario building, personas need to appropriately integrate users’ future needs, expectations and behaviours that shape and in turn are shaped by contexts that are yet to be realised. Based on an analysis of published case studies, the paper underscores the role of personas in fostering creative imagination, enhancing scenario engagement, and prospective sensemaking beyond their application as a storytelling vehicle in scenarios. We link persona characteristics and design to their roles in scenario building, allowing design and foresight practitioners the flexibility to tailor the persona approach to different contexts and critically assess the underlying limitations. From this, we provide recommendations for incorporating personas in scenario building and conclude with suggestions for future research. UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2025.103539 Y1 - 2025 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2025.103539 UR - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:573-57730 SN - 1873-6378 VL - 2025 IS - 166 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver A1 - Schropp, Theresa Constanze A1 - Wach, Bernhard A1 - Buder, Fabian T1 - Do internal foresight activities add value to decision-making? Insights from an empirical investigation JF - Futures N2 - In a large empirical investigation of 400 managers in large U.S. and European corporations, we shed light on the effects of internal strategic foresight activities for decision-making, asking whether and how firms’ internal foresight activities add value to their decision-making. Enabling and supporting strategy conversations is conceptualized here as a central activity of strategic foresight. Our empirical investigation demonstrates that internal foresight activities have a significant and positive effect on strategy conversations within a firm. Against the assumptions of previous research, however, we cannot confirm the positive influence of strategy conversations in general on challenging the status quo in a firm or the overall helpfulness of strategic foresight activities in the context of decision-making. Future research should delve deeper into organizational studies to gain a more nuanced understanding of the processes and factors influencing future-oriented decision-making, as well as identifying key enablers that facilitate these decisions. UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2025.103548 Y1 - 2025 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2025.103548 UR - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:573-57703 SN - 0016-3287 VL - 2025 IS - 166 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Dörr, Ulrike-Sabine A1 - Schönhofer, Gerhard A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - The state of foresight in small and medium enterprises: literature review and research agenda JF - European Journal of Futures Research N2 - AbstractSmall and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are the backbone of many economies. In today's world of VUCA (Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity, Ambiguity), SMEs face diverse challenges to survive and stay competitive. SMEs must prepare themselves for these challenges by practicing foresight. However, foresight, and especially corporate foresight, has been conceptualized and researched in the context of large corporations. Applying foresight in SMEs is therefore complicated by the question of how to implement foresight in the context of SMEs given their specific requirements and limitations. This article provides an overview on the literature on the application of foresight in SMEs is, along with a summary of the extent to which SMEs conduct foresight from an organizational and individual perspective. Besides offering a compendium on the state of foresight in SMEs, a research agenda is formulated, incorporating the idea of a toolbox tailored to SMEs based on existing approaches and prior works. UR - https://doi.org/10.1186/s40309-024-00237-1 Y1 - 2024 UR - https://doi.org/10.1186/s40309-024-00237-1 UR - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:573-50522 SN - 2195-2248 VL - 12 IS - 1 PB - SpringerOpen CY - Heidelberg ER - TY - CHAP A1 - Schönmann, Alexander ED - Drossel, Welf-Guntram ED - Ihlenfeldt, Steffen ED - Dix, Martin T1 - Transformation Needs Adoption: A Conceptual Framework to Develop Technology Implementation Strategies T2 - Production at the Leading Edge of Technology: Proceedings of the 14th Congress of the German Academic Association for Production Technology (WGP), Chemnitz University of Technology, December 2024 UR - https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-86893-1_68 Y1 - 2025 UR - https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-86893-1_68 SN - 978-3-031-86893-1 SP - 627 EP - 635 PB - Springer CY - Cham ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zehnder, Elena A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - The interplay of future making and foresight: Insights from a family business case study JF - Futures UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2025.103608 Y1 - 2025 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2025.103608 SN - 1873-6378 VL - 2025 IS - 170 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Boddenberg, Felix A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver A1 - Schmies, Peter T1 - Scenario Planning in the Digital Transformation of the Fashion Industry: Starting Point for the Adjustment of Business Processes from a Colour Management Perspective JF - Journal of Futures Studies UR - https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.202403_28(3).0004 Y1 - 2024 UR - https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.202403_28(3).0004 SN - 1027-6084 VL - 28 IS - 3 SP - 49 EP - 63 PB - Tamkang University CY - Taipei ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Bechthold, Laura T1 - Rendering new futures or enshrining pictures of the past? The double-edged sword of using AI-generated imagery for anticipation JF - Journal of Futures Studies Y1 - 2025 UR - https://jfsdigital.org/rendering-new-futures-or-enshrining-pictures-of-the-past-the-double-edged-sword-of-using-ai-generated-imagery-for-anticipation/ SN - 1027-6084 PB - Tamkang University CY - Taipei ER - TY - CHAP A1 - Moser, Christina A1 - Wrobel, Stefanie A1 - Schönmann, Alexander ED - Dumitrescu, Roman ED - Hölzle, Katharina T1 - Open Foresight als Ansatz einer ressourceneffizienten strategischen Vorausschau für KMU T2 - Vorausschau und Technologieplanung : 18. Symposium für Vorausschau und Technologieplanung, 5. und 6. Dezember 2024, Berlin UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.17619/UNIPB/1-2163 Y1 - 2024 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.17619/UNIPB/1-2163 SN - 978-3-947647-44-6 SP - 193 EP - 212 PB - Universität Paderborn CY - Paderborn ER -