TY - JOUR A1 - Müller, Adrian W. A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - Assessing the functions and dimensions of visualizations in foresight JF - Foresight UR - https://doi.org/10.1108/FS-04-2014-0027 Y1 - 2016 UR - https://doi.org/10.1108/FS-04-2014-0027 SN - 1463-6689 VL - 18 IS - 1 SP - 76 EP - 90 PB - Emerald CY - Leeds ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver A1 - Kroehl, Rixa A1 - von der Gracht, Heiko A. T1 - Novels and novelty in trend research — Using novels to perceive weak signals and transfer frames of reference JF - Technological Forecasting and Social Change UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.007 Y1 - 2013 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.007 SN - 1873-5509 SN - 0040-1625 VL - 2014 IS - 84 SP - 66 EP - 73 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver A1 - Liebl, Franz T1 - Cultural products and their implications for business models: Why science fiction needs socio-cultural fiction JF - Futures UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2013.03.006 Y1 - 2013 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2013.03.006 SN - 0016-3287 SN - 1873-6378 VL - 2013 IS - 50 SP - 66 EP - 73 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - von Groddeck, Victoria A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - Perceiving megatrends as empty signifiers: A discourse-theoretical interpretation of trend management JF - Futures UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2013.01.004 Y1 - 2013 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2013.01.004 SN - 0016-3287 SN - 1873-6378 VL - 2013 IS - 47 SP - 28 EP - 37 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - Ex ante strategy evaluation: the case for business wargaming JF - Business Strategy Series UR - https://doi.org/10.1108/17515631111130095 KW - Strategic management Y1 - 2011 UR - https://doi.org/10.1108/17515631111130095 SN - 1751-5637 VL - 12 IS - 3 SP - 122 EP - 135 PB - Emerald CY - Leeds ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Liebl, Franz A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - Normality of the future: Trend diagnosis for strategic foresight JF - Futures UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.017 Y1 - 2009 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.017 SN - 0016-3287 SN - 1873-6378 VL - 42 IS - 4 SP - 313 EP - 327 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - Assessing the future of futures studies in management JF - Futures UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2007.08.018 Y1 - 2007 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2007.08.018 SN - 0016-3287 SN - 1873-6378 VL - 40 IS - 3 SP - 237 EP - 246 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - Pitfalls in implementing a strategic early warning system JF - Foresight UR - https://doi.org/10.1108/14636680510611813 Y1 - 2005 UR - https://doi.org/10.1108/14636680510611813 SN - 1463-6689 VL - 7 IS - 4 SP - 22 EP - 30 PB - Emerald CY - Leeds ER - TY - BOOK A1 - Oriesek, Daniel F. A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - Business Wargaming BT - Unternehmenswert schaffen und schützen UR - https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-8349-8288-9 Y1 - 2009 UR - https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-8349-8288-9 SN - 978-3-8349-1879-6 SN - 978-3-8349-8288-9 PB - Gabler CY - Wiesbaden ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Pace, Lisa A. A1 - Bruno, Carmen A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - Personas in scenario building: Integrating human-centred design methods in foresight JF - Futures N2 - This paper contributes to integrating human-centred design approaches in foresight. We emphasize design thinking as an approach that incorporates user-centred concepts and artefacts, enabling the creation and visualization of potential futures and mediating the exploration of new perspectives and areas of intervention for innovation. However, there is limited discussion in the foresight literature on the meaningful application of design approaches. We focus on the persona method and its roles and applications in scenario building. To be meaningful in scenario building, personas need to appropriately integrate users’ future needs, expectations and behaviours that shape and in turn are shaped by contexts that are yet to be realised. Based on an analysis of published case studies, the paper underscores the role of personas in fostering creative imagination, enhancing scenario engagement, and prospective sensemaking beyond their application as a storytelling vehicle in scenarios. We link persona characteristics and design to their roles in scenario building, allowing design and foresight practitioners the flexibility to tailor the persona approach to different contexts and critically assess the underlying limitations. From this, we provide recommendations for incorporating personas in scenario building and conclude with suggestions for future research. UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2025.103539 Y1 - 2025 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2025.103539 UR - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:573-57730 SN - 1873-6378 VL - 2025 IS - 166 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver A1 - Schropp, Theresa Constanze A1 - Wach, Bernhard A1 - Buder, Fabian T1 - Do internal foresight activities add value to decision-making? Insights from an empirical investigation JF - Futures N2 - In a large empirical investigation of 400 managers in large U.S. and European corporations, we shed light on the effects of internal strategic foresight activities for decision-making, asking whether and how firms’ internal foresight activities add value to their decision-making. Enabling and supporting strategy conversations is conceptualized here as a central activity of strategic foresight. Our empirical investigation demonstrates that internal foresight activities have a significant and positive effect on strategy conversations within a firm. Against the assumptions of previous research, however, we cannot confirm the positive influence of strategy conversations in general on challenging the status quo in a firm or the overall helpfulness of strategic foresight activities in the context of decision-making. Future research should delve deeper into organizational studies to gain a more nuanced understanding of the processes and factors influencing future-oriented decision-making, as well as identifying key enablers that facilitate these decisions. UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2025.103548 Y1 - 2025 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2025.103548 UR - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:573-57703 SN - 0016-3287 VL - 2025 IS - 166 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Dörr, Ulrike-Sabine A1 - Schönhofer, Gerhard A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - The state of foresight in small and medium enterprises: literature review and research agenda JF - European Journal of Futures Research N2 - AbstractSmall and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are the backbone of many economies. In today's world of VUCA (Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity, Ambiguity), SMEs face diverse challenges to survive and stay competitive. SMEs must prepare themselves for these challenges by practicing foresight. However, foresight, and especially corporate foresight, has been conceptualized and researched in the context of large corporations. Applying foresight in SMEs is therefore complicated by the question of how to implement foresight in the context of SMEs given their specific requirements and limitations. This article provides an overview on the literature on the application of foresight in SMEs is, along with a summary of the extent to which SMEs conduct foresight from an organizational and individual perspective. Besides offering a compendium on the state of foresight in SMEs, a research agenda is formulated, incorporating the idea of a toolbox tailored to SMEs based on existing approaches and prior works. UR - https://doi.org/10.1186/s40309-024-00237-1 Y1 - 2024 UR - https://doi.org/10.1186/s40309-024-00237-1 UR - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:573-50522 SN - 2195-2248 VL - 12 IS - 1 PB - SpringerOpen CY - Heidelberg ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zehnder, Elena A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - The interplay of future making and foresight: Insights from a family business case study JF - Futures UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2025.103608 Y1 - 2025 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2025.103608 SN - 1873-6378 VL - 2025 IS - 170 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Boddenberg, Felix A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver A1 - Schmies, Peter T1 - Scenario Planning in the Digital Transformation of the Fashion Industry: Starting Point for the Adjustment of Business Processes from a Colour Management Perspective JF - Journal of Futures Studies UR - https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.202403_28(3).0004 Y1 - 2024 UR - https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.202403_28(3).0004 SN - 1027-6084 VL - 28 IS - 3 SP - 49 EP - 63 PB - Tamkang University CY - Taipei ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver A1 - Wach, Bernhard T1 - The usage of cultural products in design thinking: An assessment of an underestimated approach JF - The Design Journal UR - https://doi.org/10.1080/14606925.2021.2005879 KW - design thinking KW - design research KW - cultural products KW - customers KW - ethnography Y1 - 2022 UR - https://doi.org/10.1080/14606925.2021.2005879 SN - 1460-6925 SN - 1756-3062 VL - 25 IS - 1 SP - 4 EP - 24 PB - Taylor & Francis CY - London ER - TY - BOOK A1 - Oriesek, Daniel F. A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - Winning the Uncertainty Game BT - Turning Strategic Intent into Results with Wargaming UR - https://doi.org/10.4324/9780367853594 Y1 - 2021 UR - https://doi.org/10.4324/9780367853594 SN - 978-0-367-85359-4 SN - 978-0-367-41852-6 PB - Routledge CY - London ; New York ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - From alternative pictures of the future to an organizational intervention: A commentary on Rowland and Spaniol JF - Futures & Foresight Science UR - https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.105 Y1 - 2021 UR - https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.105 UR - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:573-18942 SN - 2573-5152 VL - 4 IS - 1 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Oriesek, Daniel F. A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - Winning the Uncertainty Game: Turning Strategic Intent into Results with Wargaming JF - PM World Journal Y1 - 2021 UR - https://pmworldlibrary.net/pmworld-journal-archives/ SN - 2330-4480 VL - X IS - VIII PB - PM World CY - Dallas ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - Revisiting Scenario Planning and Business Wargaming from an Open Strategy Perspective JF - World Futures Review N2 - The key aim of Open Strategy is to open up the process of strategy development to larger groups within and even outside an organization. Furthermore, Open Strategy aims to include broad groups of stakeholders in the various steps of the strategy process. The question at hand is how can Open Strategy be achieved? What approaches can be used? Scenario planning and business wargaming are approaches perceived as relevant tools in the field of strategy and strategic foresight and in the context of Open Strategy because of their participative nature. The aim of this article is to assess to what degree scenario planning and business wargaming can be used in the context of Open Strategy. While these approaches are suitable, their current application limits the number of potential participants. Further research and experimentation in practice with larger groups and/or online approaches, or a combination of both, are needed to explore the potential of scenario planning and business wargaming as tools for Open Strategy. UR - https://doi.org/10.1177/1946756720953182 KW - Open Strategy KW - foresight KW - scenario planning KW - business wargaming Y1 - 2020 UR - https://doi.org/10.1177/1946756720953182 UR - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:573-18967 SN - 2169-2793 VL - 12 IS - 3 SP - 291 EP - 303 PB - Sage Publishing CY - Thousand Oaks ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Eller, Eric A1 - Hofmann, Rupert A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - The Customer Foresight Territory JF - Marketing Review St Gallen Y1 - 2020 UR - https://imc.unisg.ch/shop/marketing-review-st-gallen-3-2020-customer-foresight/ VL - 2020 IS - 3 SP - 888 EP - 895 PB - Universität St. Gallen CY - St. Gallen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver A1 - Rohrbeck, René A1 - Wach, Bernhard T1 - Corporate foresight as a microfoundation of dynamic capabilities JF - Futures & Foresight Science UR - https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.28 KW - corporate foresight KW - dynamic capabilities KW - futures KW - microfoundation KW - peripheral vision KW - strategic foresight Y1 - 2019 UR - https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.28 SN - 2573-5152 VL - 2 IS - 2 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver A1 - Wach, Bernhard A1 - Rohrbeck, René T1 - How to anchor design thinking in the future: Empirical evidence on the usage of strategic foresight in design thinking projects JF - Futures N2 - Many organizations use design thinking (DT) to develop future products and services. DT is often used for its ability to serve as a common “language” and platform to enable market-facing departments and technology-oriented units to cocreate innovations. DT has been shown to be a powerful tool for helping to identify and connect the needs of average customers (personas) with technical solutions that form the basis for winning products. In this paper, we investigate the extent to which DT professionals already use strategic foresight (SF) methods that anticipate future customer needs and highlight emerging technologies to expand classical DT and anchor their projects in the future. Using survey data on 302 DT projects, we report on the extent to which SF methods are used in DT projects, the overriding types of SF methods in DT projects, and their impact on project success. UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2023.103137 KW - Design thinking KW - Strategic foresight KW - Trends KW - Scenarios KW - Science fiction Y1 - 2023 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2023.103137 UR - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:573-36135 SN - 1873-6378 VL - 2023 IS - 149 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - BOOK A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - Strategic Foresight BT - An Introductory Guide to Practice UR - https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003302735 Y1 - 2023 UR - https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003302735 SN - 9781003302735 PB - Routledge CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rohrbeck, René A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - The value contribution of strategic foresight: Insights from an empirical study of large European companies JF - Technological Forecasting and Social Change UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.01.004 KW - Strategic foresight KW - Value creation KW - Weak signals KW - Organizational future orientation Y1 - 2013 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.01.004 SN - 0040-1625 VL - 80 IS - 8 SP - 1593 EP - 1606 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - The ‘Narrative Turn’ in developing foresight: Assessing how cultural products can assist organisations in detecting trends JF - Technological Forecasting and Social Change UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.02.024 KW - Foresight KW - Trends KW - Cultural products KW - Narratives Y1 - 2014 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.02.024 SN - 0040-1625 VL - 2015 IS - 90, Part B SP - 510 EP - 513 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wach, Bernhard A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver A1 - von Held, Felix T1 - Corporate foresight for the benefit of corporates' innovation climate JF - Futures & Foresight Science N2 - Corporate foresight (CF) can be considered a future‐oriented capability that incorporates perceiving and prospecting. Extant CF‐related studies tackle the CF−innovation relationship but do not provide details on how CF relates to innovation climate. As we assume that the innovation climate of companies is a relevant antecedent to innovation, we conduct a quantitative empirical study with 147 upper‐tier managers to investigate how CF and the respective training of managers relate to a corporate's innovation climate. Results show that strong perceiving and prospecting positively influence the innovation climate, whereby prospecting is of particular importance. Further, we find that training managers in future‐oriented capabilities is only under certain circumstances (i.e., low prospecting) beneficial to the innovation climate in companies. UR - https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.195 Y1 - 2024 UR - https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.195 UR - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:573-51201 SN - 2573-5152 VL - 7 IS - 1 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken ER - TY - CHAP A1 - Köbe, Philipp A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver ED - Pfannstiel, Mario A. T1 - Superintelligenzen in der Technologie-gestützten Gesundheitsversorgung: Szenarien zu den Chancen und Risiken für Mensch und Gesundheit T2 - Technologien und Technologiemanagement im Gesundheitswesen: Potenziale nutzen, Lösungen entwickeln, Ziele erreichen UR - https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-43860-9_35 Y1 - 2024 UR - https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-43860-9_35 SN - 978-3-658-43860-9 SN - 978-3-658-43859-3 SP - 679 EP - 698 PB - Springer Gabler CY - Wiesbaden ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Koebe, Philipp A1 - Schillings, Tobias A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - How Superintelligence Affects Human Health: A Scenario Analysis JF - Journal of Futures Studies UR - https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.202312_28(2).0005 Y1 - 2023 UR - https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.202312_28(2).0005 SN - 1027-6084 VL - 28 IS - 2 SP - 79 EP - 99 PB - Tamkang University CY - Taipei ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schropp, Theresa Constanze A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver A1 - Buder, Fabian T1 - Corporate foresight in light of the COVID‐19 pandemic—The crisis as a driver? JF - Futures & Foresight Science N2 - AbstractOur study emphasizes the evolving nature and increasing relevance of corporate foresight (CF) in a volatile, uncertain, complex, and ambiguous world. This research, therefore, contributes to the foresight literature, concerned with the antecedents and motivators of CF as it investigates how external events that are characterized by great uncertainty influence the CF practice of large companies. On the example of the COVID‐19 pandemic and based on a study of 25 interviews, this empirical research reveals that such events provoke an intensified engagement with the future within companies as implied by a greater resource commitment and interest in foresight. Thereby, CF and especially the development of multiple future scenarios, are considered helpful in countering uncertainty and facilitating responsiveness. UR - https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.178 Y1 - 2024 UR - https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.178 UR - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:573-45121 SN - 2573-5152 VL - 6 IS - 2 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken ER - TY - BOOK A1 - von Held, Felix A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - Robust Leadership BT - Sicheres Führen in unsicheren Zeiten Y1 - 2024 SN - 978-3-96251-205-7 PB - Frankfurter Allegmeine Buch CY - Frankfurt am Main ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Gordon, Adam A1 - Rohrbeck, René A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - Escaping the ‘Faster Horses’ Trap: Bridging Strategic Foresight and Design-Based Innovation JF - Technology Innovation Management Review N2 - Design thinking is inherently and invariably oriented towards the future in that all design is for products, services or events that will exist in the future, and be used by people in the future. This creates an overlap between the domains of design thinking and strategic foresight. A small but significant literature has grown up in the strategic foresight field as to how design thinking may be used to improve its processes. This paper considers the other side of the relationship: how methods from the strategic foresight field may advance design thinking, improving insight into the needs and preferences of users of tomorrow, including how contextual change may suddenly and fundamentally reshape these. A side-by-side comparison of representative models from each field is presented, and it is shown how these may be assembled together to create a foresight-informed design thinking process. UR - https://doi.org/10.22215/timreview/1259 Y1 - 2019 UR - https://doi.org/10.22215/timreview/1259 UR - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:573-41916 SN - 1927-0321 VL - 9 IS - 8 SP - 30 EP - 42 PB - Talent First Network CY - Ottawa ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schönhofer, Gerhard A1 - Komonen, Pauli A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver A1 - Bechthold, Laura T1 - Futures of Everyday Life: A Qualitative Content Analysis of Future Personas in Scenarios JF - Futures & Foresight Science N2 - Scenario reports, holding a long‐standing tradition in foresight and futures studies, act as an essential document for organizations to prepare for possible, plausible, and alternative futures. Focusing on descriptions and representations of everyday life, we examined 29 future persona narratives from six publications—covering a wide field from public to private sector—through qualitative content analysis. Our guiding question is: How can anthropological perspectives such as cultural relativism or postcolonial discourses contribute to an in‐depth, qualitative interpretation depictions of future everyday life? Acknowledging anthropology's colonial origins and its growing commitment to the interests of indigenous and other marginalized groups, we offer alternative readings of prominent scenario reports. Our findings suggest that scenario reports, in addition to anticipating possible futures, construct certain futures based on a systematic analysis of empirical data but also speculative interpretation. The results of these interpretative acts often appear elitist, stereotypical, and technocratic, often replicating dominant societal narratives rather than fostering substantive shifts in how the future is imagined. We therefore call for a more polyphonic representation of futures in scenario writing and foresight work that can produce more discontinuous and transformative images of the future. We understand polyphonic representations as coined by various independent, predominant as well as subaltern perspectives on the same issue at stake while being offered the same amount of space. Therefore, as we will indicate in our analysis, most of the reports referred to are rather monophonic and do not offer discuptive perspectives on the future of everyday life. As an avenue of methodological development, we propose a more nuanced and comprehensive perception of culture and social structures in scenario narrative writing. In addition, ethnographic methods could increase our understanding of how futures are collaboratively constructed and produced by different actors and their respective backgrounds and knowledge in scenario processes. UR - https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.70030 Y1 - 2026 UR - https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.70030 UR - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:573-66024 SN - 2573-5152 VL - 8 IS - 1 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver A1 - Ram, Camelia A1 - Rohrbeck, René T1 - Combining scenario planning and business wargaming to better anticipate future competitive dynamics JF - Futures N2 - The deliberate exploration of how the future competitive landscape may evolve is critical to uncovering threats and opportunities for firms that seek to improve their core businesses and advance to a superior position in the markets of the future. While techniques such as business wargaming can effectively support this process, such techniques can benefit from placing competitive considerations within a broader future landscape shaped by geopolitical, social, technological and economic forces. Scenario planning allows for the exploration of interactions across multiple external forces to create a rich set of narratives on how the future may unfold. This paper will discuss the potential of combining scenario planning and business wargaming to enable strategists to anticipate moves and countermoves and foresee their consequences. We use a real-life case study to illustrate how a scenario-planning exercise can guide the crucial stage of selecting relevant future competitors of a firm prior to engaging in a business-war-gaming exercise. We then introduce what we term the prospective competitive strategy process to guide the analysis of potential competitive dynamics, emphasizing the synergies between scenario planning and business wargaming. UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2018.10.001 Y1 - 2019 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2018.10.001 UR - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:573-41938 SN - 1873-6378 VL - 2019 IS - 105 SP - 133 EP - 142 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schimpf, Sven A1 - Lauster, Michael A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver A1 - John, Marcus T1 - Science fiction and innovation: A literature analysis on science fiction-related methods mapped into the innovation process JF - Futures N2 - In the development of innovations over the past decades, data-driven methods have become commonplace. Alongside advantages in effectiveness and efficiency comes the danger of relying on data describing past rather than future developments which can result in a loss of imagination and creativity. In parallel, a growing awareness of the interface between innovation and science fiction can be observed in academia and among practitioners. This awareness is most often based on the hypothesis that taking inspiration from science fiction can create value in the development of innovations. Despite numerous case studies in the literature describing this interface, a major part of methods applied seem to have been chosen in an unstructured, almost random way. This study investigates the literature in search of science fiction-related methods able to support the development of innovations. With around 60.000 publications considered based on a high-level search, a refined search combined with a manual search led to 17 science fiction-related methods to support the development of innovations. Using a six-phase generic innovation process, the methods identified were mapped into the process based on semantic similarities between the objectives of each method and the objectives of innovation process phases. This mapping is understood as an overview and conceptualization offering a baseline for future academic research and guidance for practitioners on choosing the most appropriate science fiction-related methods for developing innovations. UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2026.103770 Y1 - 2026 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2026.103770 UR - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:573-66648 SN - 1873-6378 VL - 2026 IS - 177 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER -