TY - JOUR A1 - Müller, Adrian W. A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - Assessing the functions and dimensions of visualizations in foresight JF - Foresight UR - https://doi.org/10.1108/FS-04-2014-0027 Y1 - 2016 UR - https://doi.org/10.1108/FS-04-2014-0027 SN - 1463-6689 VL - 18 IS - 1 SP - 76 EP - 90 PB - Emerald CY - Leeds ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver A1 - Kroehl, Rixa A1 - von der Gracht, Heiko A. T1 - Novels and novelty in trend research — Using novels to perceive weak signals and transfer frames of reference JF - Technological Forecasting and Social Change UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.007 Y1 - 2013 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.007 SN - 1873-5509 SN - 0040-1625 VL - 2014 IS - 84 SP - 66 EP - 73 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver A1 - Liebl, Franz T1 - Cultural products and their implications for business models: Why science fiction needs socio-cultural fiction JF - Futures UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2013.03.006 Y1 - 2013 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2013.03.006 SN - 0016-3287 SN - 1873-6378 VL - 2013 IS - 50 SP - 66 EP - 73 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - von Groddeck, Victoria A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - Perceiving megatrends as empty signifiers: A discourse-theoretical interpretation of trend management JF - Futures UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2013.01.004 Y1 - 2013 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2013.01.004 SN - 0016-3287 SN - 1873-6378 VL - 2013 IS - 47 SP - 28 EP - 37 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - Ex ante strategy evaluation: the case for business wargaming JF - Business Strategy Series UR - https://doi.org/10.1108/17515631111130095 KW - Strategic management Y1 - 2011 UR - https://doi.org/10.1108/17515631111130095 SN - 1751-5637 VL - 12 IS - 3 SP - 122 EP - 135 PB - Emerald CY - Leeds ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Liebl, Franz A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - Normality of the future: Trend diagnosis for strategic foresight JF - Futures UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.017 Y1 - 2009 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.017 SN - 0016-3287 SN - 1873-6378 VL - 42 IS - 4 SP - 313 EP - 327 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - Assessing the future of futures studies in management JF - Futures UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2007.08.018 Y1 - 2007 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2007.08.018 SN - 0016-3287 SN - 1873-6378 VL - 40 IS - 3 SP - 237 EP - 246 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - Pitfalls in implementing a strategic early warning system JF - Foresight UR - https://doi.org/10.1108/14636680510611813 Y1 - 2005 UR - https://doi.org/10.1108/14636680510611813 SN - 1463-6689 VL - 7 IS - 4 SP - 22 EP - 30 PB - Emerald CY - Leeds ER - TY - BOOK A1 - Oriesek, Daniel F. A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - Business Wargaming BT - Unternehmenswert schaffen und schützen UR - https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-8349-8288-9 Y1 - 2009 UR - https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-8349-8288-9 SN - 978-3-8349-1879-6 SN - 978-3-8349-8288-9 PB - Gabler CY - Wiesbaden ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Pace, Lisa A. A1 - Bruno, Carmen A1 - Schwarz, Jan Oliver T1 - Personas in scenario building: Integrating human-centred design methods in foresight JF - Futures N2 - This paper contributes to integrating human-centred design approaches in foresight. We emphasize design thinking as an approach that incorporates user-centred concepts and artefacts, enabling the creation and visualization of potential futures and mediating the exploration of new perspectives and areas of intervention for innovation. However, there is limited discussion in the foresight literature on the meaningful application of design approaches. We focus on the persona method and its roles and applications in scenario building. To be meaningful in scenario building, personas need to appropriately integrate users’ future needs, expectations and behaviours that shape and in turn are shaped by contexts that are yet to be realised. Based on an analysis of published case studies, the paper underscores the role of personas in fostering creative imagination, enhancing scenario engagement, and prospective sensemaking beyond their application as a storytelling vehicle in scenarios. We link persona characteristics and design to their roles in scenario building, allowing design and foresight practitioners the flexibility to tailor the persona approach to different contexts and critically assess the underlying limitations. From this, we provide recommendations for incorporating personas in scenario building and conclude with suggestions for future research. UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2025.103539 Y1 - 2025 UR - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2025.103539 UR - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:573-57730 SN - 1873-6378 VL - 2025 IS - 166 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER -