@article{SchellerWaldKondziellaetal., author = {Scheller, Fabian and Wald, Stefan and Kondziella, Hendrik and Gunkel, Philipp Andreas and Bruckner, Thomas and Keles, Dogan}, title = {Future role and economic benefits of hydrogen and synthetic energy carriers in Germany: a review of long-term energy scenarios}, series = {Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments}, volume = {56}, journal = {Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments}, issn = {22131388}, doi = {10.1016/j.seta.2023.103037}, pages = {103037 -- 103037}, abstract = {Determining the development of Germany's energy system is the subject of a series of studies. Since their results play a significant role in the political energy debate for understanding the role of hydrogen and synthetic energy carriers, a better discussion is needed. This article provides an assessment of published transition pathways for Germany to assess the role and advantages of hydrogen-based carriers. Twelve energy studies including 37 scenarios for the years 2030 and 2050 were evaluated. Despite the variations, the carrier will play an important role. While their deployment is expected to have only started by 2030 with a mean demand of 91 TWh/a (4\% of the final energy demand) in Germany, they will be an essential part by 2050 with a mean demand of 480 TWh/a (24\%). The outcome of the scenarios depends on the chosen methods and assumptions. A moderately positive correlation (0.53) between the decarbonisation targets and the share of hydrogen-based carriers in final energy demand underlines the relevance for reaching the climate targets. Additionally, value creation effects of about 16 billion EUR/a in 2050 can be expected for hydrogen-based carriers. Hydrogen is expected to be produced domestically while synthetic fuels are projected to be mostly imported.}, language = {en} } @article{SiddiqueKelesSchelleretal., author = {Siddique, Muhammad Bilal and Keles, Dogan and Scheller, Fabian and Nielsen, Per Sieverts}, title = {Dispatch strategies for large-scale heat pump based district heating under high renewable share and risk-aversion: A multistage stochastic optimization approach}, series = {Energy Economics}, volume = {136}, journal = {Energy Economics}, doi = {10.1016/j.eneco.2024.107764}, pages = {107764 -- 107764}, language = {en} } @article{SchellerMorrisseyNeuhoffetal., author = {Scheller, Fabian and Morrissey, Karyn and Neuhoff, Karsten and Keles, Dogan}, title = {Green or greedy: the relationship between perceived benefits and homeowners' intention to adopt residential low-carbon technologies}, series = {Energy Research \& Social Science}, volume = {108}, journal = {Energy Research \& Social Science}, issn = {2214-6296}, doi = {10.1016/j.erss.2023.103388}, abstract = {Transitioning to a net-zero economy requires a nuanced understanding of homeowners' decision-making pathways when considering the adoption of Low Carbon Technologies (LCTs). These LCTs present both personal and collective benefits, with positive perceptions critically influencing attitudes and intentions. Our study analyses the relationship between two primary benefits: the household-level financial gain and the broader environmental advantage. Focusing on the German homeowners' intention to adopt Rooftop Photovoltaic Systems, Energy Efficient Appliances, and Green Electricity Tariffs, we employ Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling to demonstrate that the adoption intention of the LCTs is underpinned by the Theory of Planned Behaviour. Our research also highlights the pivotal role of perceived benefits in shaping attitudes and intentions. Attitudes towards the LCTs are more strongly related to product-specific benefits than affective constructs. In terms of evaluative benefits, environmental benefits exhibit a higher positive association with attitude formation compared to financial benefits. However, this relationship switches as homeowners move through the decision process with the financial benefits of selected LCTs having a consistently higher association with adoption intention. At the same time, financial benefits also positively affect attitudes. Observing this trend across both low- and high-cost LCTs, we recommend that policymakers and businesses enhance homeowners' awareness of the personal advantages and implement strategies to make these financial benefits more tangible and accessible.}, language = {en} }