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Disruption of Social Orders in Societal Transitions as Affective Control of Uncertainty

  • Bayesian affect control theory is a model of affect-driven social interaction underconditions of uncertainty. In this paper, we investigate how the operationalization of uncertainty in the model can be related to the disruption of social orders—societal pressures to adapt to ongoing environmental and technological change. First, we study the theoretical tradeoffs between three kinds of uncertainty as groups navigate external problems: validity (the predictability of the environment, including of other agents), coherence (the predictability of interpersonal affective dynamics), and dependence (the predictability of affective meanings). Second, we discuss how these uncertainty tradeoffs are related to contemporary political conflict and polarization in the context of societal transitions. To illustrate the potential of our model to analyze the socio-emotional consequences of uncertainty, we present a simulation of diverging individual affective meanings of occupational identities under uncertainty in a climate change mitigation scenarioBayesian affect control theory is a model of affect-driven social interaction underconditions of uncertainty. In this paper, we investigate how the operationalization of uncertainty in the model can be related to the disruption of social orders—societal pressures to adapt to ongoing environmental and technological change. First, we study the theoretical tradeoffs between three kinds of uncertainty as groups navigate external problems: validity (the predictability of the environment, including of other agents), coherence (the predictability of interpersonal affective dynamics), and dependence (the predictability of affective meanings). Second, we discuss how these uncertainty tradeoffs are related to contemporary political conflict and polarization in the context of societal transitions. To illustrate the potential of our model to analyze the socio-emotional consequences of uncertainty, we present a simulation of diverging individual affective meanings of occupational identities under uncertainty in a climate change mitigation scenario based on events in Germany. Finally, we sketch a possible research agenda to substantiate the novel, but yet mostly conjectural, ideas put forward in this paper.zeige mehrzeige weniger

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Metadaten
Verfasserangaben:Jesse HoeyORCiD, Tobias SchröderORCiDGND
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1177/00027642211066055
ISSN:1552-3381
Titel des übergeordneten Werkes (Englisch):American behavioral scientist
übersetzter Titel (Deutsch):Störung sozialer Ordnungen in gesellschaftlichen Übergängen als affektive Kontrolle von Ungewissheit
Verlag:Sage Publ.
Verlagsort:Thousand Oaks
Dokumentart:Wissenschaftlicher Artikel
Sprache:Englisch
Datum der Veröffentlichung (online):11.11.2022
Jahr der Erstveröffentlichung:2023
Datum der Freischaltung:11.11.2022
Jahrgang:67
Ausgabe / Heft:2
Seitenzahl:20
Erste Seite:311
Letzte Seite:331
Fachbereiche und Zentrale Einrichtungen:FB1 Sozial- und Bildungswissenschaften
DDC-Klassifikation:100 Philosophie und Psychologie / 150 Psychologie
300 Sozialwissenschaften / 300 Sozialwissenschaften, Soziologie
Lizenz (Deutsch):License LogoCreative Commons - CC BY-NC - Namensnennung - Nicht kommerziell 4.0 International
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