Disruption of Social Orders in Societal Transitions as Affective Control of Uncertainty
- Bayesian affect control theory is a model of affect-driven social interaction underconditions of uncertainty. In this paper, we investigate how the operationalization of uncertainty in the model can be related to the disruption of social orders—societal pressures to adapt to ongoing environmental and technological change. First, we study the theoretical tradeoffs between three kinds of uncertainty as groups navigate external problems: validity (the predictability of the environment, including of other agents), coherence (the predictability of interpersonal affective dynamics), and dependence (the predictability of affective meanings). Second, we discuss how these uncertainty tradeoffs are related to contemporary political conflict and polarization in the context of societal transitions. To illustrate the potential of our model to analyze the socio-emotional consequences of uncertainty, we present a simulation of diverging individual affective meanings of occupational identities under uncertainty in a climate change mitigation scenarioBayesian affect control theory is a model of affect-driven social interaction underconditions of uncertainty. In this paper, we investigate how the operationalization of uncertainty in the model can be related to the disruption of social orders—societal pressures to adapt to ongoing environmental and technological change. First, we study the theoretical tradeoffs between three kinds of uncertainty as groups navigate external problems: validity (the predictability of the environment, including of other agents), coherence (the predictability of interpersonal affective dynamics), and dependence (the predictability of affective meanings). Second, we discuss how these uncertainty tradeoffs are related to contemporary political conflict and polarization in the context of societal transitions. To illustrate the potential of our model to analyze the socio-emotional consequences of uncertainty, we present a simulation of diverging individual affective meanings of occupational identities under uncertainty in a climate change mitigation scenario based on events in Germany. Finally, we sketch a possible research agenda to substantiate the novel, but yet mostly conjectural, ideas put forward in this paper.…
Verfasserangaben: | Jesse HoeyORCiD, Tobias SchröderORCiDGND |
---|---|
DOI: | https://doi.org/10.1177/00027642211066055 |
ISSN: | 1552-3381 |
Titel des übergeordneten Werkes (Englisch): | American behavioral scientist |
übersetzter Titel (Deutsch): | Störung sozialer Ordnungen in gesellschaftlichen Übergängen als affektive Kontrolle von Ungewissheit |
Verlag: | Sage Publ. |
Verlagsort: | Thousand Oaks |
Dokumentart: | Wissenschaftlicher Artikel |
Sprache: | Englisch |
Datum der Veröffentlichung (online): | 11.11.2022 |
Jahr der Erstveröffentlichung: | 2023 |
Datum der Freischaltung: | 11.11.2022 |
Jahrgang: | 67 |
Ausgabe / Heft: | 2 |
Seitenzahl: | 20 |
Erste Seite: | 311 |
Letzte Seite: | 331 |
Fachbereiche und Zentrale Einrichtungen: | FB1 Sozial- und Bildungswissenschaften |
DDC-Klassifikation: | 100 Philosophie und Psychologie / 150 Psychologie |
300 Sozialwissenschaften / 300 Sozialwissenschaften, Soziologie | |
Lizenz (Deutsch): | Creative Commons - CC BY-NC - Namensnennung - Nicht kommerziell 4.0 International |